FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

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Agenda Item No. 6a. FORENSIC PERFORMANCE. Dr. Richard Bullock. SETTING THE SCENE. BURGLARY SCENE ATTENDANCE. FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05. Process changes will in coming months improve position given current trends. A WORD OF CAUTION. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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FORENSIC PERFORMANCE

Dr. Richard Bullock

Agenda Item No. 6a

SETTING THE SCENE

Performance Area Delivery Direction

Reducing Crime Good Stable

Investigating Crime Fair Stable

Performance area Delivery DirectionStatutory indicators

6b Percentage of offences brought to justice F S7a Percentage of sanction detections F S7b Burglary sanction detection rate F D7c Violent crime sanction detection rate F S7d Robbery sanction detection rate G S7e Vehicle crime sanction detection rate G SBaseline AssessmentMajor and serious crime investigation F Not gradedTackling cross border crime F Not gradedInvestigating hate crime / victimisation of the vulnerable G SVolume crime investigation F DForensic management F I

BURGLARY SCENE ATTENDANCESelect Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 412 408 #N/AAttendance 272 332 #N/A% Attendence 66.0 81.4 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotal

Burglary Dwelling

0

100

200

300

400

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

01000200030004000500060007000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 61

6263646566676869

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Process changes will in coming months improve position given current trends

A WORD OF CAUTION

Over 100% of scenes attended!! - national definition issues on what is a scene and repeat visits

Burglary Family Comparisons to Sept DNA

Improving

Good

Improving

Burglary Family Comparisons to Sept FP

Improving

Good

Improving

5.5

Force

Burglary Dwelling

Proportion Crimes Attended where DNA Taken

Select Area

Select Crime

Select Analysis

5.5

6

6.5

7

7.5

8

8.5

9

Mar

-04

Apr

-04

May

-04

Jun-

04

Jul-0

4

Aug

-04

Sep

-04

Oct

-04

Nov

-04

Dec

-04

Jan-

05

Feb-

05

Mar

-05

Apr

-05

May

-05

Jun-

05

Jul-0

5

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb-

06

Mar

-06

EXHIBIT RECOVERY DNA

20.1

Force

Burglary Dwelling

Proportion Crimes Attended where FP Taken

Select Area

Select Crime

Select Analysis

20.1

21.1

22.1

23.1

24.1

25.1

26.1

27.1

28.1

Mar

-05

Apr

-05

May

-05

Jun-

05

Jul-0

5

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb

-06

Mar

-06

EXHIBIT RECOVERY FP

39.6

File updated to Nov-05

Select FP / DNA / Both Both

Force

Domestic Burglary

Proportion of Idents after Elimination

Select Area

Select Crime

Select Analysis

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35A

pr-

04

Ma

y-0

4

Jun

-04

Jul-

04

Au

g-0

4

Se

p-0

4

Oct

-04

No

v-0

4

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

FORENSIC IDENTS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Jun-

04

Jul-

04

Aug

-04

Sep

-04

Oct

-04

Nov

-04

Dec

-04

Jan-

05

Feb

-05

Mar

-05

Apr

-05

May

-05

Jun-

05

Jul-

05

Aug

-05

Sep

-05

Oct

-05

Nov

-05

Dec

-05

Jan-

06

Feb

-06

Mar

-06

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - DOMESTIC BURGLARY

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 34 31.5Trying to Locate Suspect 12 11.1Suspect Eliminated 16 14.8Decision Made Not to Progress 11 10.2Other - Miscellaneous 14 13.0Suspect on Bail 7 6.5Undetected: More Evidence Required 6 5.6No Action 6 5.6Suspect in Prison 0 0.0Suspect in Custody 2 1.9Suspect in another Force Area 0 0.0Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 108

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceDomestic Burglary

Both

31%

11%

15%

10%

13%

6%

6%

6% 0%2%

0%

0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

Select Area

Select Crime Type

Time Period Forecast Based On

Number or RateDetection TypeForecast Forward

ValueCurrent Total 15.6Forecasted Total 18.4

3 MonthsSanction

Force

Domestic Burglary

6 Months

Rate

18.4

12.4

9.9

10.9

11.9

12.9

13.9

14.9

15.9

16.9

17.9

18.9

De

c-0

4

Jan

-05

Fe

b-0

5

Ma

r-0

5

Ap

r-0

5

Ma

y-0

5

Jun

-05

Jul-

05

Au

g-0

5

Se

p-0

5

Oct

-05

No

v-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jan

-06

Fe

b-0

6

Ma

r-0

6

Ap

r-0

6

Ma

y-0

6

Jun

-06

Jul-

06

Au

g-0

6

Se

p-0

6

Oct

-06

No

v-0

6

De

c-0

6

DETECTION FORECASTS

12 month rolling total of selected crime Previous Year End totalYear End Forecast Target

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

BurglaryNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Mer

seys

ide

North

ampt

onsh

ire

Linc

olns

hire

Hum

bers

ide

Clev

elan

d

Leice

ster

shire

War

wick

shire

Suss

ex

North

umbr

ia

Surre

y

Kent

Hertf

ords

hire

Derb

yshi

re

Bedf

ords

hire

Met

ropo

litan

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

North

Yor

kshi

re

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Tham

es V

alle

y

Durh

am

Suffo

lk

Staf

ford

shire

Glo

uces

ters

hire

Dors

et

Sout

h W

ales

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Esse

x

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Cum

bria

Lanc

ashi

re

Norfo

lk

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Ches

hire

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

Wes

t Mer

cia

North

Wal

es

Gwe

nt

City

of L

ondo

n

Ham

pshi

re

NATIONAL PERFORMANCE DETECTION RATES

Select Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 249 312 #N/AAttendance 99 159 #N/A% Attendence 39.8 51.0 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotal

Theft of Motor Vehicle

0

50

100

150

200

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

0500

1000150020002500300035004000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 0

10

20

30

40

50

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

THEFT OF VEHICLE SCENE ATTENDANCE

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Select Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 833 853 #N/AAttendance 257 314 #N/A% Attendence 30.9 36.8 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotal

Theft from Motor Vehicle

0100200300400500

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

02000400060008000

100001200014000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 27

28

29

30

31

32

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

THEFT FROM VEHICLE SCENE ATTENDANCE

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 26 31.0Trying to Locate Suspect 11 13.1Suspect Eliminated 13 15.5Decision Made Not to Progress 10 11.9Other - Miscellaneous 10 11.9Suspect on Bail 6 7.1Undetected: More Evidence Required 3 3.6No Action 0 0.0Suspect in Prison 3 3.6Suspect in Custody 0 0.0Suspect in another Force Area 2 2.4Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 84

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceTheft of Vehicle / TWOC

Both

31%

13%

15%

12%

12%

7%

4%0%4% 0%2% 0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - THEFT OF VEHICLE

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 28 41.2Trying to Locate Suspect 3 4.4Suspect Eliminated 14 20.6Decision Made Not to Progress 4 5.9Other - Miscellaneous 4 5.9Suspect on Bail 7 10.3Undetected: More Evidence Required 2 2.9No Action 2 2.9Suspect in Prison 1 1.5Suspect in Custody 2 2.9Suspect in another Force Area 1 1.5Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 68

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceTheft from Vehicle

Both

42%

4%21%

6%

6%

10%

3%

3%

1%3%

1%

0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - THEFT FROM VEHICLE

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Vehicle CrimeNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Met

ropo

litan

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Hum

bers

ide

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Suss

ex

Mer

seys

ide

Durh

am

Hertf

ords

hire

Linc

olns

hire

Clev

elan

d

Sout

h W

ales

Surre

y

North

ampt

onsh

ire Kent

Suffo

lk

Bedf

ords

hire

North

Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

Avon

and

Som

erse

t

Ham

pshi

re

Esse

x

Norfo

lk

Derb

yshi

re

Staf

ford

shire

City

of L

ondo

n

Tham

es V

alle

y

North

umbr

ia

Leice

ster

shire

War

wick

shire

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Dors

et

Lanc

ashi

re

Glo

uces

ters

hire

North

Wal

es

Ches

hire

Cum

bria

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Wes

t Mer

cia

Gw

ent

NATIONAL PERFORMANCE DETECTION RATES

Select Area:

Select Role:

Crime Type:

Visit Type:

Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05Crimes 10633 10167 #N/AAttendance 1296 1467 #N/A% Attendence 12.2 14.4 #N/A

Last 3 Months Performance

Scene

ForceTotalTotal

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Apr-

03

Jun-0

3

Aug-0

3

Oct-

03

Dec-0

3

Feb-0

4

Apr-

04

Jun-0

4

Aug-0

4

Oct-

04

Dec-0

4

Feb-0

5

Apr-

05

Jun-0

5

Aug-0

5

Oct-

05

Dec-0

5

Feb-0

6

Number Visits

Trend in Visits

020000400006000080000

100000120000140000160000

Mar-

04

Apr-

04

May-0

4

Jun-0

4

Jul-04

Aug-0

4

Sep-0

4

Oct-

04

Nov-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jan-0

5

Feb-0

5

Mar-

05

Apr-

05

May-0

5

Jun-0

5

Jul-05

Aug-0

5

Sep-0

5

Oct-

05

Nov-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jan-0

6

Feb-0

6

Mar-

06 11.2

11.4

11.6

11.8

12

12.2

12.4

12 Month Rolling Crime 12 Month Rolling Visits 12 Month Rolling % Attendance

Trend Crime (12 Month Rolling) Trend Attendance (12 Month Rolling)

THIS ATTENDANCE DATA IS COLLECTED VIA THE WORKLOAD SHEETS FILLED IN BY SOCO OFFICERS. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF CONCERNS OVER THIS DATA, INCLUDING THE FACT ONLY BCU LEVEL DATA IS AVAILABLE, ACROSS LIMITED CRIME TYPES. IT IS PROPOSED THAT CIS BE USED AS A MORE ACCURATE MEASURE, BUT THIS WILL TAKE A WHILE TO GET ACCURATE DUE TO NECESSARY CHANGES IN WORKING PRACTICES.

TOTAL CRIME SCENE ATTENDANCE

FAMILY SCENE ATTENDANCE - 12 Month to Sept 05

Total Crime Family Comparisons to Sept DNA

Improving

Good

Good

Total Crime Family Comparisons to Sept FP

Improving

Good

Improving

Select AreaSelect Crime TypeSelect Type of Ident

Action Taken Number PercentMove to Finalised - Detected 226 36.8Trying to Locate Suspect 77 12.5Suspect Eliminated 67 10.9Decision Made Not to Progress 63 10.3Other - Miscellaneous 62 10.1Suspect on Bail 45 7.3Undetected: More Evidence Required 28 4.6No Action 25 4.1Suspect in Prison 7 1.1Suspect in Custody 7 1.1Suspect in another Force Area 7 1.1Unable to Progress - Currently Abstrated 0 0.0Total 614

Figures are for the period Sep-05 to Dec-05

ForceTotal Crime

Both

37%

13%11%

10%

10%

7%

5%

4%1%1%1% 0%

Move to Finalised - Detected

Trying to Locate Suspect

Suspect Eliminated

Decision Made Not to Progress

Other - Miscellaneous

Suspect on Bail

Undetected: More Evidence Required

No Action

Suspect in Prison

Suspect in Custody

Suspect in another Force Area

Unable to Progress - CurrentlyAbstrated

CONVERSION OF IDENTS - TOTAL CRIME

Select Crime TypeSelect 12 Month End PeriodSelect Rate or Percent Point Change

Total CrimeNov-05

Rate

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Met

ropo

litan

Notti

ngha

msh

ire

Hum

bers

ide

North

ampt

onsh

ire

Durh

am

Hertf

ords

hire

Clev

elan

d

Sout

h Yo

rksh

ire

Mer

seys

ide

Gre

ater

Man

ches

ter

Sout

h W

ales

Bedf

ords

hire

Avon

and

Som

erse

t Kent

Norfo

lk

War

wick

shire

Ches

hire

Surre

y

Devo

n an

d Co

rnwa

ll

Wes

t Mid

land

s

Suss

ex

Cam

brid

gesh

ire

Linc

olns

hire

Wes

t Yor

kshi

re

Ham

pshi

re

Gwe

nt

Staf

ford

shire

Suffo

lk

Derb

yshi

re

Esse

x

Glo

uces

ters

hire

North

Yor

kshi

re

Wilts

hire

Lanc

ashi

re

Dors

et

Leice

ster

shire

Cum

bria

North

Wal

es

Tham

es V

alle

y

North

umbr

ia

Wes

t Mer

cia

Dyfe

d-Po

wys

City

of L

ondo

n

NATIONAL PERFORMANCE DETECTION RATES

CONCLUSIONS

• Some Areas of Improvement

• Other Areas need further review and improvement

• Forensic Performance Group

• Lanner / Carrier Reports

• Performance Reviews

• Crime Scene Managers

• SOCRATES implementation

• Process Reviews

• Intelligence Led - in line with Targets, Priorities and Control Strategy

Recommended