Figure One. Small Wars and the Theory of Games Open, Living Conflict EcoSystem DoveHawkRetailator...

Figure One. Small Wars and the Theory of GamesOpen, Living Conflict EcoSystem

Dove Hawk Retailator

Dove 35,35 0, 100 35,35

Hawk 100, 0 -25,-25 -25,-25

Retailator 35,35 -25,-25 35,35

100

100

-25

-25 State

Counter-State

(0, 100)

(100, 0)

(-25,-25)

Figure Two. Evolutionary Stable System- Small WarsAdapted Version of Maynard Smith’s ESS

100

100

-25

-25 State

Counter-State

(0, 100)

(100, 0)

(-25,-25)

Dove Hawk Retailator

Dove 35,35 0, 100 35,35

Hawk 100, 0 -25,-25 -25,-25

Retailator 35,35 -25,-25 35,35

100

100

-25

-25

Figure Three. External Nash Intervention Towards Negotiated Fair Settlement

State

Counter-State

(0, 100)

(100, 0)

(-25,-25)

(50, 50)

100

100

-25

-25

Figure Four. Evolutionary Stable System- Small Wars:When Intervention and Reconciliation cannot be reached,

The violence descends into a lose-lose

State

Counter-State

(0, 100)

(100, 0)

(-25,-25)

100

100

-25

-25

Figure Five. Changing The Rules of the GameWarden’s Third Ring: Structure Change (Construction, Reconstruction, or Deconstruction of State)

Host Nation

Insurgency

(0, 100)

(100, 0)

(-25,-25)