CNNIC UPDATE -...

9/7/06

CNNIC UPDATE

APNIC 22

Outline

1. Update of CNNIC IP allocation work

2. Historical Resources Status in

China Mainland

3. Our next plan

CNNIC has 188 members

The structure of CNNIC members

Some service are welcome bymembers

Local service: language,Chinese Whois registration

Policy and application consultation

Address planning

Regular visiting, face to face:

IP address application period, annual fee period

Get information about the utilization of

their IP and as, assist them with getting necessary

new IP address

guide member how to deal with spam complaint

The growth of CNNIC IP addressesallocation

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Historical Resources Status in

China Mainland

What is Historical Resources?

Allocated before APNIC establishment

Early Registration Transfer (ERX)

completed in February 2005

Assisting holders to reclaim HRs

Historical Resources Status inChina

Historical Resources -IPv4: 7 /16s -AS: none

Enterprises holding HistoricalResources

-59

Historical Resources Status inChina

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Assignment Distributing Condition

How we did the Transfer Project?

Time

May 2006 – Now

Procedure

How we did the Transfer Project?

List of HRs in China

Sort out contacts of HRsthrough WHOIS

Contact relative persons

Discussion

Transfer theirHRs to CNNIC

Not plan to transferat this time

Results

Results until now:

Hold Historical Resources: 59

Contact available: 12

Have intent to transfer: 7

(in discussion now)

Problems

Fail to contact many HRs holders

Some HRs holders think there is nonecessity to transfer the HRs

Some HRs holders are reluctant topay maintenance fee for HRs,

we hope to adopt flexible fee policyfor them

Our next plan

Improving member service platform

reverse delegation function,

utilization rate etc

Member meeting

IP policy training meeting for ChinaISP

9/7/06

How many IP addresses does Chinamainland need in near future?

APNIC 22

Backgroud

The research indicates that the IANAand RIR free pool of IPv4 addressesmay run out between 2009-2012.

CNNIC made a projection on IPaddress in China mainland as a partof CNGI project research.

Two method

1.using historical IP addresses data

stable growth period: 1998 – 2005

2.using the historical number ofnetizen and online computer

Sample data: the data of stablegrowth period of China Internet

743869442005

682910722005

603704322004

494136322004

416773122003

324858882003

295183362002

253219842002

218168322001

200965122001

132899842000

102056962000

75760641999

64947201999

54297601998

40568321998

First method: function fitting

Quadratic and cubic function aresuitable

The second method: MultipleLinear Regression analysis

The number of IPv4 has strongpertinence with netizen and onlinecomputer

We expect the number of netizen willincrease by 16,000,000 and theonline computer will increase by8,000,000 each year in order toproject the number of IPv4 requiredby China mainland

IP address projection

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conclusion

1.Multiple Linear Regression give aconservative projection, but linearfunction do not fit the growth trend, itneglects new network application and otherfactors, so we adopt Quadratic and cubicfunction to make projection.

Using this first method, china mainlandneeds other 10 A – 15A class IP addressesby the end of 2012. We will assist APNICto allocate the enough IP address forChina ISP.

9/7/06

Thank You!