Answer to the Ultimate Question of - Tervetuloa Thomas... · 2019-11-22 · Answer to the Ultimate...

Answer to the Ultimate Question of

Life, the Universe, and Everything

The energy eco system:

habitat for heat pumps? An EU perspective | SULPU | HELSINKI | 21.11.2019

Reality check: What is a heat pump?

4 The energy eco system:

The development curve of

heat pump recognition rejection

geothermal?

energy efficicient vs

renwable

HP renewable

and efficient .......... but only residential

ok, also industrial

district heating? Seriously?

Well, ok, HP work, but

too expensive ...

... Maybe for new builds, but

not suitable for renovation

HP use too much electricity

habitat for heat pumps? An EU perspective

Thomas Nowak

Secretary General EHPA

thomas.nowak@ehpa.org

+49 176 6320 1140

twitter: ehpabrussels

The urgency to act … has just increased

«The main headlines from this

year‘s stats review is that both

global energy demand and

carbon emissions grew in 2018

at their fastest rate in 7-8 years»

Spencer Dale, Chief Economist BP

Reality: Energy demand is growing, so are CO2 emissions (+2%)

Source: Global Energy System based on 100% Renewable Energy – Energy Transition in Europe Across Power, Heat, Transport and Desalination Sectors

100% renewable heating is possible – with heat pumps

The electrification of industrial heat

Approx. 27% in 2050

Energy efficiency

directive

Energy efficiency on systems level (+calculations for HP)

Comprehensive assessments on heating and cooling

Energy performance of

buildings directive

New builds, renovation strategy + modernisation of H&C

Smart buildings +

Renewable energy

directive

Definitions: renewable energy / renewable cooling

Sectorial target for renewable heating / cooling

+Governance Regulation

National energy and climate plans (NECP)

Improved data situation

Electricity market design Flexible tariffs, smart grids

F-gas regulation Reduction of F-Gas related emissions + -

European Green Deal

Transition towards a zero-CO2 emission society

More ambitious CO2 – emission target

Price for CO2-emission

If not

successful

Long term strategy fossil molecules ➔ green molecules (H2/CH4) or biomass

National legislation F-gas taxation, certification requirements, standards + -

+ -Ecodesign regulations Revision of lot 1&2, 10 and 33

< 1% annual increase of

renewable share

Total final energy demand for heating / cooling | EU28

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/de/web/energy/data/shares

1st RES D RES D II

• RE heating/cooling, acknowledge waste heat

• Min. share of RES in buildings

• Annual increase of RE heating/cooling (Art. 23)

• More power to prosumers (heat & electricity)

• Upward revision

• Part of national energy & climate plans (NECP‘s)

+1.3pp

Renewable Energy DirectiveHeat pumps use renewable energy from air / water / soil, waste energy treated similarly

renewable

indicative

Energy efficiency directive (2012/27/EU, 2018/2002/EU) Heat pumps are the most efficient technology for heating and cooling

• Obligation to reduce annual

final energy demand (Art. 7)– 1.5% annually until 2020

– 0.8% annually until 2030

– Specific rules for HP

• New primary energy

factor: 2.1

• Comprehensive

Assessments on H&C due

by 31.12.2020 (Annex VIII)

energy efficiency

Reduction of CO2 emissionsHeat pumps are one of the lowest-emission technologies

%“I want Europe to become the first climate

neutral continent in the world by 2050. To make

this happen, we must take bold steps together ... .

A two-step approach is needed to reduce

CO2 emissions by 2030 by 50, if not 55%.“ President-elect Ursula von der Leyen

And what are potentially „green solutions“

Heating/

cooling

Transport

Electricity

electrification

heatpumps

hybrids

direct

green gas

biomass

Waste heat

solarthermal

Direct geothermal

Shares are for illustration only!

neither expacted or agreed by EHPA

biofuels

• Central/DHC

• storage

market growth ‘05 – ’18 | HP stock2018: 11.8 mill. installed

Growth of sanitary hot water heat pumps

2018: 1 million units open the floor for HP deployment

The EU leaderboard of annual HP sales 2018

Huge untapped potential

in large

heating and cooling

markets ...

Heat pump benefits 2018Based on 11.8 million heat pumps installed

Renewable energy

savings

energy

savings128TWh

32.8Mt

Demand response

potential Up to3.2

Clean air163TWh

No PM at point of

operation

5.6 million

boilers

1.1 mill. heating heat

pumps (19.6%)

7.8 million

sanitary hot water

161 000 dedicated hot

water heat pumps (2%)

• Use of fossil energy for heating dominates in Europe!

• To decarbonise heating and cooling heat pumps are a perfect option

Industrial

heating and

cooling?

Heat Pumps in the EU heating system 2018

Huge untapped potential for

Heat Pumps in all Europe

Units sold per 1000 households in 2018

If Norway was everywhere ...

• Potential of an increase in

sales by factor 8-10

• Is the value chain ready?

The glass ceiling

• Energy/price ratio• Energy taxation• No CO2-price signal• Fossil fuel subsidies• “We can’t electrify everything” argument (+ debated role of H2 / eMethane)The energy eco system:

Relative prices: electric power vs. gas in Europa

Relative prices: electric power

vs. gas in Europa

High factors

=High operative

costs for heat

130 Members

Heat pump manufacturers

Component manufacturers

National associations

Consultants

Research & test institutes

22countries

represented

EHPARue d Arlon 63 - Brussels

Vision

In a fully decarbonised

Europe, heat-pump

technologies are the

number one heating

and cooling solution,

being a core enabler

for a renewable,

sustainable and smart

energy system.

The European Heat Pump Association aisbl / founded 2000

EHPA secretariat

• Thomas NowakSecretary General

• Maja De Noyette

Senior Office Manager

• Oliver JungEU Affairs manager

• Stella BenfattoPolicy Officer

• Pascal Westring (external)Statistics

• Dan StefanicaProject Manager

• Serena ScottonProject Officer

• Eirini LitinaCommunications Manager

• N.N.Communications assistant

• N.N.Policy assistant

• Savina CenuseSenior communication manager

• Francesca CorazzaHP KEYMARK Secretariat

EHPA Vision

• In a fully decarbonised Europe, heat-pump technologies are

the number one heating and cooling solution, being a core

enabler for a renewable, sustainable and smart energy

system.

• ...

Long term strategy (LTS)

for a decarbonised heating/cooling sector

The energy eco system: habitat for heat pumps? An EU perspective | SULPU | HELSINKI | 21.11.2019

Europe has approx. 115 - 120 million buildings

90 million single family residential

15 million multi-family residential

10 – 15 million commercial and office buildings

If heat pump reach a market penetration of 75% of all boilers...

More than 86 million HP need to be manufactured and installed by 2050

2.9 million every year (2.5 times todays annual sales)

40% Boiler exchange

in ”high temperature heating

buildings”

technologytechnology

Technical potential of HP in the building stock

➔ Is the technology only fit for purpose in new builds?

40%Boiler exchange

little/no renovation

HP ready

under conditionstechnology

HP challenge: What if Norway was really everywhere? Is the HP value chain ready for a mass market?

Solutions for the renovation sector, multi-family buildings, industrial applications, district energy

Solutions for sector coupling and demand side flexibility

Manufacturing capacity and availability of components (including F-gas)?

Knowledgable planners, architects and installers?

Building codes?

Financing and business models

The energy eco system: habitat for heat pumps? An EU perspective | SULPU | HELSINKI | 21.11.2019

What can we do together?

Co-Lobby

Helsinki

Brussels

• I love HP: • the mug

• the sticker

• the smarties

• HP icecream

• Decarbheat

• Plan(t) for the future

• ....

habitat for heat pumps? An EU perspective | SULPU | HELSINKI | 21.11.2019Per Grankvist “chief storyteller” for Sweden’s Viable Cities program

A 100% renewable society is possible – by 2050

habitat for heat pumps? An EU perspective | SULPU | HELSINKI | 21.11.2019http://hpc2.stage3.de/

Answer to the Ultimate Question of - Tervetuloa Thomas... · 2019-11-22 · Answer to the Ultimate...

Documents

The Ultimate Talents Book - Classic Marvel Forever _Foreword_ Why create an Ultimate Talents Book? I created this book as an answer to the Ultimate Powers Book. It was great for those

6 th NUMA 2012 Nokia Ubimedia MindTrek Award 2012 Tervetuloa Tampereelle Artur Lugmayr Cai Melankoski Ville Luotonen Tim Merritt (Honorary

Seven Ultimate Questions Every Pastor Must Answer: How to Change Lives with Christ’s Changeless Truth 1 Thessalonians 2:8

Willkommen Bienvenue Welcome - ICP-TEXINFINE · Willkommen Bienvenue Benvenuto Bienvenida yôkoso tervetuloa welkom ... Cinchona officinalis promotes, not only the effectiveness of

THE ULTIMATE GUIDE TO PSIM - CNL Software · ‘The Ultimate Guide to PSIM’ is designed to answer any questions you have about this essential enabling technology. It will demonstrate

Mother Earth Foods€¦ · Nordic Naturals Ultimate Omega $2239 60 ct Dr. Tung's Smart Floss SMART FLOSS $399 Nature's Answer ULTIMATE' OMEGA SAMBUCUS GUMMIES ELDERBERRY CLEANSE 'More

The God Confusion, Why Nobody Knows the Answer to the Ultimate Question - G.cox (2013)

The Second World War - kellenrtibor.weebly.com · Question: What caused the Second World War? Proximate Answer: Invasion of Poland in 1939 Ultimate Answer: Social unrest resulting

Welkom – accueil 欢迎 – velkommen – willkommen tervetuloa –ברוך הבא – dobrodošli velkommen – powitanie – добро пожаловать – bienvenido –

The International Euphoniumietfestival.com/uploads/3/5/4/9/35494489/2017_iet_program.pdf · WELCOME Bienvenidos • Tervetuloa • Dobrodošli • Willkommen Supporting Sponsors Welcome

The Ultimate Answer To Google Slap 2009 Dr Harlan Kilstein Affilicon Israel June 1 2 2009

Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer ...hshsmathhughes.weebly.com/.../math_iii_benchmark_review_answer…Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer: Answer:

ORIENTATION autumn 2014 TERVETULOA!.??????? Kotkantien kampus Kulttuurialan yksikkö Tekniikan ja luonnonvara-alan yksikkö Opiskelijaravintola

Eco-Tax Reform: ultimate answer to Climate Change & Green Growth

ENSEMBLES Work Package 6.2 Meeting, Helsinki, Finland, 26-27 April 2007 ENSEMBLES in Helsinki WELCOME / TERVETULOA!

Tervetuloa JHL-opistoon

Nature Based Solutions seem to Provide the Ultimate Answer ... · nature based solutions seem to provide the ultimate answer for a sustainable water management bensonneveld

Standard Features Optional Features The Ultimate! Close echnical Requirements Question and Answer

External wall solutions - The Ultimate · fermacell External wall solutions Render or rainscreen, fermacell has the answer

Herzlich Willkommen zum Comenius Projekt Tervetuloa Comenius-hankkeen Witamy w projekcie Comenius