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The 2017 Recommended BudgetThe 2017 Recommended Budget
Tompkins County, New York
• Low growth budgetg g– Spending up less than 1%
3% i i t lThe Short
• 3% increase in tax levy– 1.5% to offset sales tax loss
Story – 0.5% for capital
– 1.0% for all else1.0% for all else
• 1.5% decrease in tax rated– 3rd Straight Decrease
– Lowest since 2011
• Resources aligned with
The Short priorities– Adaptation to climate change
Storyp g
– Regulatory Compliance
Recruitment and Retention– Recruitment and Retention
– ATI’s/Re‐entry
Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
The Economy
July Unemployment, Tompkins County
The Economy6 0%
7.0%
y
5.0%
6.0%
4.6%• July unemployment at pre‐recession
3 0%
4.0%4.0%
at pre recession levels
2.0%
3.0%
0.0%
1.0%2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
July Inflation (CPI) Rate
The Economy5.0%
6.0%
3.0%
4.0%• Inflation at 0.8%
2.0%
0.0%
1.0%
8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
‐2.0%
‐1.0% 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
‐3.0%
Consumer Sentiment, U.S., January 2008‐July 2016
The Economy100
120
• Consumer confidence strong 80
100
confidence strong (but wavering)
60
40
0
20
0
Jan‐08
Sep‐08
May‐09
Jan‐10
Sep‐10
May‐11
Jan‐12
Sep‐12
May‐13
Jan‐14
Sep‐14
May‐15
Jan‐16
Dow Jones Average, 2001‐Present
The Economy16,500
18,500
12,500
14,500 • Stock market at record high
8 500
10,500
12,500 record high
4 500
6,500
8,500
2,500
4,500
500
3/30
/200
110
/31/20
015/31
/200
212
/31/20
027/31
/200
32/27
/200
49/30
/200
44/29
/200
511
/30/20
056/30
/200
61/31
/200
78/31
/200
73/31
/200
810
/31/20
085/29
/200
912
/31/20
097/30
/201
02/28
/201
19/30
/201
14/30
/201
211
/30/20
126/30
/201
31/30
/201
48/30
/201
43/30
/201
510
/30/20
155/30
/201
6
Mid‐Year Taxable Sales, Tompkins County (millions)
The Anomaly $750
y ( )
$700 • Decline in local consumer spending
$
$650 consumer spending on taxable goods
• January‐June
$550
$600 y
spending down nearly 4% from 2014
$500
$550
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
Programmatic Indicators of NeedNeed
P iTompkins County SNAP
Cases, January 2008‐June 2016Programmatic Trends 5,000
5,500
, y
• SNAP (food stamp) caseloads declining 3 500
4,000
4,500
caseloads declining
2,500
3,000
3,500
1,500
2,000
500
1,000
‐
Feb‐08
Aug‐08
Feb‐09
Aug‐09
Feb‐10
Aug‐10
Feb‐11
Aug‐11
Feb‐12
Aug‐12
Feb‐13
Aug‐13
Feb‐14
Aug‐14
Feb‐15
Aug‐15
Feb‐16
P iFamily Assistance Cases, January
2008‐June 2016Programmatic
Trends 450
500
• Family Assistance cases continue to 350
400
cases continue to decline
250
300
150
200
50
100
0
Jan‐08
Jul‐0
8
Jan‐09
Jul‐0
9
Jan‐10
Jul‐1
0
Jan‐11
Jul‐1
1
Jan‐12
Jul‐1
2
Jan‐13
Jul‐1
3
Jan‐14
Jul‐1
4
Jan‐15
Jul‐1
5
Jan‐16
P iSafety Net Cases, January 2008‐
June 2016Programmatic Trends
600
700June 2016
• Safety Net cases remain above
500
600
remain above recession levels
• Recent increases in 300
400
caseload200
0
1008 8 9 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6
Jan‐0
Sep‐0
May‐0
Jan‐1
Sep‐1
May‐1
Jan‐1
Sep‐1
May‐1
Jan‐1
Sep‐1 4
May‐1
Jan‐1
2017 Budgetary Goals2017 Budgetary Goals
Maintain Current Levels of Service
Sustain the Investment in Facilities and Infrastructure
Maintain fiscal strength and resiliencyresiliency
Address Evolving Priorities• Adaptation to Climate Change• Adaptation to Climate Change• Compliance• Alternatives to Incarceration/Re‐Entry• Recruitment and Retention
Major Budget Driversj g
• Sales TaxMajor Budget
• Labor CostsBudget Drivers • Mandates
• Capital Investment• Capital Investment
• Agency Funding g y g
• Declines in 5 of past 6 quarters
Sales Tax
Declines in 5 of past 6 quarters
• Worst performance in 20 yearsSales Tax• Projecting:
Drop of 1 5% in 2016– Drop of 1.5% in 2016
– Increase of 1.4% in 2017
$37.6 $38
County Sales Tax Revenue (mil.)
$36.3
$
$37
Sales Tax $34 0
$35.2 $35
$36
Sales Tax $34.0
$34.0
$33.4 $33 3$33
$34
$$32.9
$33.3
$31
$32
$30
$31
2014 2015 2016 20172014 2015 2016 2017
Normal Actual/Projected
$37.6 $38
County Sales Tax Revenue (mil.)
$36.3
$
$37
Sales Tax $34 0
$35.2 $35
$36
$4.3 millionSales Tax $34.0
$34.0
$33.4 $33 3$33
$34
$$32.9
$33.3
$31
$32
$30
$31
2014 2015 2016 20172014 2015 2016 2017
Normal Actual/Projected
Sales Tax • $694,000 Budget‐to‐Budget decline in sales tax addsSales Tax decline in sales tax adds 1.5% to property tax levy
• Most contracts settledLabor Costs
• Most contracts settled through 2017
Wage Growth • All settled contracts at 2.25%
• Increase of 10.8 FTEs
Labor Costs • Most created in 2016 and self funded by grants andWorkforce self‐funded by grants and earned revenue
• 1.7 new FTEs proposed in Budget
800Budgeted FTEs
775.8
731 5750
800
FTE History 720.7
731.5
700 FTE History650
600
550
Roster down 6% since 2009
500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
• Up slightlyLabor Costs
• Up slightly
• Health costs down $209,000Fringe
• Pension rate reduced to 15 3%15.3%
• Salary and fringe up 1 3%Labor Costs
• Salary and fringe up 1.3%
• $831,000 total Overall
• $613,000 local dollars
Mandates • Local costs down $144,000Mandates Local costs down $144,000
2nd ti d li• 2nd consecutive decline
– PreK Special Ed and Early
MandatesIntervention down by $394,000Mandates
– DSS flat
Assigned Counsel up– Assigned Counsel up $100,000
– Mental Health Psychiatric up $76,000
Change in Local Costs of Mandated Programs, 2016‐2017
$300,000
g ,
Mandates $100,000
$200,000
Mandates$‐
$ ,
J A M P M J S O M S C F D E P
$(100,000)
D Care
Assigned Counse
Medicaid
Psychiatric
Medical Exam
ine
ail Medical/B.O
Safety Net
Outside Colleges
Medical Assistan
State Training
Child Care
Family Asst
Day Care
EI PreK
$(200,000)
el er . s nce
$(300,000)
Medicaid Costs, 2001‐2016
$12
$14 $12.40
$11.58
Mandates $10
$12
Mandates
$
$8 Millions
$4
$6 M
$2
$0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
• Light 2015‐16 winter = $250 000 savings in 2017
Snow Plow $250,000 savings in 2017 payments to towns
Contracts • Half of savings re‐purposed to highway materialsg y
• Mitigates tax impact when normal winter returnsnormal winter returns
• Levy increase of 0.5%, or $233 318 for capital
Capital R i
$233,318, for capital improvements
Reinvestment • New $200,000/year Natural Infrastructure Programf g
– Ongoing program funded with cash rather than debtwith cash rather than debt
Projected Capital Expense vs. Available Funding 2016‐26
8,000,000
9,000,000
Funding, 2016 26
Capital R i t t
6,000,000
7,000,000
Reinvestment4,000,000
5,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
‐
1,000,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20262016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capital Levy Capital Expense
• TC3 flatSponsored and Partner
• $50,000 Onetime for TCAT (same as 2016)and Partner
Agencies(same as 2016)
• $125,000 shift from property tax to room tax support for TCAD
*Sponsored Agencies: Cornell Cooperative Extension, TCPL, Rural Libraries, Soil & Water, The History Center, Human Services Coalition and Agencies, TCAction, SPCA, Recreation Partnership
Sponsored and Partner
• 2% ($117,200) target increase to agenciesand Partner
Agencies • $194,000 in Onetime OTRs
*Sponsored Agencies: Cornell Cooperative Extension, TCPL, Rural Libraries, Soil & Water, The History Center, Human Services Coalition and Agencies, TCAction, SPCA, Recreation Partnership
• Up by $230,000
Contingency• Mitigates risks of:
Contingency– Sales tax
– Jail board‐outs
– Assigned Counsel eligibility
E i F dEnterprise Funds
• Year 3 of 3 year plan to
Airport
• Year 3 of 3‐year plan to forego County administrative charges to airportAirport charges to airport
• $126,000 in savings to airport
Solid Waste• Adapts to lower prices for recycled commoditiesSolid Waste recycled commodities
• Annual Fee remains at $55
Major Over Target Requests Funded in Recommended Budget
$Major Funded OTRs
• $78,000 to Personnel to increase recruitment capacity Funded OTRs
(Target) and employee engagement
Major Funded OTRs
• $49,000 to hire a half‐time Inspector in Weights and Funded OTRs
(Target) Measures
Major Funded OTRs
• $125,000 to re‐purpose a portion of town plowing Funded OTRs
(Target) savings for road work
Major Funded OTRs
• $408,000 in major highway equipmentFunded OTRs
(Onetime) • (From Highway Fund Balance)
• $172 000 for conventionalMajor Funded OTRs
• $172,000 for conventional equipment in Sheriff’s Office
Funded OTRs(Onetime) – Jail appliances
– Desks in Civil UnitDesks in Civil Unit
– Bullet Proof Vests
– In‐car computers and radar
• $102 000 in AssessmentMajor Funded OTRs
$102,000 in Assessment technology
Funded OTRs(Onetime) • $50,000 for records
digitization
• $70 500 for staffMajor Funded OTRs
$70,500 for staff development and training
Funded OTRs(Onetime) • $10,000 for employee
recognition
Major Funded OTRs
• $50,000 in continued support for TCAT (same as 2016)Funded OTRs
(Onetime)
• 1st year of 3‐year plan forMajor Funded OTRs
• 1 year of 3‐year plan for countywide performance measuresFunded OTRs
(Onetime) • Results Based Accountability
• $52,890
• $30,000 for public use Major
Funded OTRs
$ , pcomputers at Library
$15 000 f blFunded OTRs(Onetime)
• $15,000 for new tables at Borg Warner Room
• $7,500 for e‐content services at rural libraries
OutcomesOutcomes
Goal:Maintain No reduction in serviceMaintain Services
Goal: • Fully funds projects inGoal:Maintain C i l
Fully funds projects in Updated CIP
Capital Investment
• New natural infrastructure program dealing with effects of climate change
G l • Sustains ATIs including re‐Goal:Adapt to
Sustains ATIs including reentry
Addi i l DSS iEvolving Priorities
– Additional DSS commitment to housing assistance, jail evals and Family TreatmentPriorities evals, and Family Treatment Court
G l lGoal:Adapt to
• Incorporates compliance management initiatives bEvolving
Priorities
begun in 2016
Priorities
G lGoal:Adapt to
• Funding for diversity recruitment, employee
Evolving Priorities
recognition, staff development and training
Priorities
G lGoal:Adapt to • Natural infrastructure
initiativeEvolving Priorities
initiative
Priorities
• Recommended levy upGoal:Stay within
• Recommended levy up 3%
Stay within 3% Levy • Tax Cap projected at
2 22%Limit
2.22%
RisksRisks
• Sales Tax
• Jail CostsRisks • Assigned Counsel
Eligibility ThresholdsEligibility Thresholds
Structuring the Budget within Fiscal Parameters
Financial Summary
Recommended Levy GrowthRecommended Levy Growth
3%3%
Recommended Levy GrowthRecommended Levy Growth
$1 4 million$1.4 million
Over Target RequestsOver Target Requests
Total Revenue Reserves Levyy
Requested $3.14 mil. $0.07 mil. $1.50 mil. $1.58 mil.
Over Target RequestsOver Target Requests
Total Revenue Reserves Levyy
Requested $3.14 mil. $0.07 mil. $1.50 mil. $1.58 mil.
Recom. $1.74 mil. $0.03 mil. $1.38 mil. $0.33 mil.
Over Target RequestsOver Target Requests
Total Revenue Reserves Levyy
Requested $3.14 mil. $0.07 mil. $1.50 mil. $1.58 mil.
Recom. $1.74 mil. $0.03 mil. $1.38 mil. $0.33 mil.
Difference ‐$1.41 mil. ‐$0.03 ‐$0.12 mil. ‐$1.25 mil.
2017 $173.0
Total Budget2016 $171.7
g(millions) $ Change $ 1.4
% Ch 0 8%% Change 0.8%
2016 Modified Budget. Excludes sales taxes distributed to municipalities
2017 $84.7
Local Budget2016 $84.1
g(millions) $ Change $ 0.7
% Ch 0 9%% Change 0.9%
2017 $48.06
Tax Levy2015 $46.66
y(millions) $ Change $ 1.40
% Ch 3 00%% Change 3.00%
2017 $6.63
Tax Rate2016 $6.73
per $1,000 $ Change ($0.10)
% Ch (1 5%)% Change (1.5%)
2017 $1,160
Average Tax Bill($
2016 $1,143($175,000 median in 2017,
$170,000 in 2016) $ Change $ 16
% Ch 1 4%% Change 1.4%
The 2017 Recommended BudgetThe 2017 Recommended Budget
Tompkins County, New Yorkwww.tompkinscountyny.govp y y g
Recommended