2012 Political Landscape

2012 PoliticalLandscape

2012 SENATE DEMOCRATIC DASHBOARDSAFE

DPROBABLY

D???????? PROBABLY

RSAFE

RFeinstein

CarperHawaii-Open

CardinKlobucharMenendezGillibrand

WhitehouseSanders

Connecticut-Open

StabenowCasey

CantwellBrown

Manchin

McCaskillTester

New Mexico-Open

Virginia-OpenWisconsin-Open

Nelson (FL)

North Dakota-Open

Nelson (NE)

NINE SIX SIX TWO ZERO

2012 SENATE REPUBLICAN DASHBOARD

SAFE D

PROBABLY D

????????? PROBABLY R

SAFE R

HellerBrown

Arizona-OpenLugar

SnoweTexas-Open

WickerCorker

Hatch- seatBarasso

Nebraska-Open

ZERO ZERO TWO FOUR FIVE

Democrats need a gain of 26 seats in the House to win the Majority.

33 Seats being vacated (20D, 13R). Dem gains likely; Dem takeover highly

unlikely.

192242

1

DemocratRepublicanVacancy

Current Divide

Running for Senate (6D,

5R)

Running for Other Office

(2D, 2R)

Retiring (9D, 5R)

Resigned (3D, 1R)

The Fight for 218 Votes in the House

States to Watch

Florida: Adding 2 (likely Dem) seats

Illinois: Losing 1 seat, but Rs losing advantage in three more

California: No new seats, but Dems likely gain advantage in at least 2 R seats

North Carolina: No new seats, but Rs gaining advantage in at least 3 seats

Who Controls Re-Districting? (By District)

Republicans: 202Democrats: 47Bi-Partisan: 92Divided: 87At Large: 7

Redistricting Impact on 2012 House Elections

AR 4 (Open) NC 11 (Schuler) AZ 9 (NEW)

CA 21 (Open) NC 13 (Open) NV 4 (NEW)

GA 12 (Barrow) NY 1 (Bishop) SC 7 (NEW)

IN 2 (Open) NY 23 (Owens) WA 10 (NEW)

KY 6 (Chandler) PA 12 (Crtiz v Altmire)

NC 7 (McIntyre) OK 2 (Open)

NC 8 (Kissell) UT 4 (Matheson)

Republican House Targets: Vulnerable Democratic Seats

CA 19 (Denham) NH 1 (Guinta) PA 8 (Fitzpatrick)

FL 22 (West) NH 2 (Bass) PA 7 (Meehan)

IL 13 (Biggert) NJ 3 (Runyan) PA 11 (Barletta)

IL 10 (Dold) NY 13 (Grimm) TX 23 (Conseco)

IL 17 (Schilling) OH 18 (Gibbs) VA 2 (Rigell)

IA 3 (Latham) OH 6 (Johnson) WI 7 (Duffy)

NV 3 (Heck) OH 16 (Renacci)

Democratic House Targets: Vulnerable Republican Seats