120316 EVCA Conference - Mega Trends

8/2/2019 120316 EVCA Conference - Mega Trends

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/120316-evca-conference-mega-trends 1/152

The Power

Megatrendsof

The Driving Forces of ChangeDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

The Age of Anxiety?

Donnerstag, 15. März 2012

HolisticFuturism

System &

ComplexityTheory

Game Theory

ProbabilityTheory

BehavioristicEconomy

EvolutionaryPsychology

Long Term

Megatrends are:

Ubiquitous

Economy Culture

ValuesDaily Life

ConsumerismDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

Resilient !

Slow !The one % per year rule

1 % increase in female income per year

1 % urban population worldwide

1 % increased education in all countries

1 % more renewable energy

1 % more REAL internet-users

1 % more non-typical workplaces

1 % more centenarians

1 % more patchwork families

1 % more productivity

1 % more connectivity

The Tipping Point Rule

47 46 39404142434445%

Tipping

1970 1975 1980 1985 1991 1995 2000 2005 2009 2015

Cigarettes Smoked

The Nonsmoking Infection

A quantitative change,sooner or later, becomes a

qualitative one.

Friedrich Engels

Megatrend

Countertrend

Synthesis

Networking

Regression

StressIndividualisation

New Tribalism

Meta-Mobility

Non-mobile Mobility

Trafc JamMobility

GloCALisation

HomesicknessGlobalisation

Separatism

Authentic-Trend

Flexicurity

New Work

Insecurity

Life-Phasing

Downaging

Megatrends

are the Hybrid-Makers of

History

Pro sumer

Glocal isation

Flexi curity

Free miumCoo petition

Real virtualityDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

ALWAYS ON

FLEXIBILISIERUNG

LIFE-LONG-LEARNING

WERTEWANDEL

FLASHMOB-KONSUM

EIGEN-VERANTWORTUNG

KREATIV-WIRTSCHAFT

TOURISMUS

WORK-LIFE-BALANCE

MOBILEBÜROS

FLEXICURITY

ICH-AG

BIO-BOOM

CREATIVEHOTSPOTS

WISSENS-GESELLSCHAFT

WOMANOMICSSELFNESSHEALTHSTYLE LEBENS-

QUALITÄT

AGELESSCONSUMING

DEMOGRAFISCHERWANDEL

DOWNAGING

SUPER GRANNYS

SILVERPRENEURE

BEST AGER

GREYHOPPERSILVER-SURFER

INNOVATIONECONOMY

HIGH POTENTIALS

PRIVATSCHULEN-BOOM

E-LEARNING

CLEVERKIDS

BILDUNGS-BUSINESS

DIY-PRINZIP

DEEP SUPPORT

MASSCUSTOMIZATION

LEBENSSTILEPLURALISIERUNG

MULTIGRAPHIE

PATCHWORK-FAMILIEN

SINGLE-GESELLSCHAFT

E-HEALTH

GEO TAGGING

WORLD WIDE WEB

OPEN SOURCE

DIGITALEVERNETZUNG

SOCIAL MEDIA

CLIP-KULTUR

DIGITAL LIFESTYLE

REAL DIGITAL

OFFLINE TREND

E-COMMERCE

SMART PHONES

APPS WORLD

WEB 2.0

OPENINNOVATION

SINN-MÄRKTE

SELBST-VERWIRKLICHUNG

CASTING-KULTUR

KOLLEKTIVEVERNETZUNG

LOHASNEO-CITYSURBAN FARMING

GREEN TECH

KLIMAWANDELFAIR TRADE

ENERGY GRIDS

ECO-FASHION

GREENINVESTMENTS

ERNEUERBAREENERGIE

SOCIAL BUSINESS

GREEN IT AUTHENTIC TREND

UMWELTBEWUSSTSEIN

ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ

NACHHALTIGKEIT

STRATEGISCHERKONSUM

FEMINISIERUNG

NEUE MÄNNER

BILDUNGS-GEWINNER

NEUEMÜTTER

FEMALE POWER

GLEICH-BERECHTIGUNG

M-COMMERCE

GLOBETROTTER

24/7 GESELLSCHAFT

VENDING CULTURE

CAR-SHARING

THIRDPLACES

UNTERWEGS-MÄRKTE

E-MOBILITÄT

INTERNATINALISIERUNG

BRICITIZING

EMERGINGMARKETS

NEXT ELEVEN

YOUNG GLOBALISTS

WACHSTUMS-ZENTREN MEGA-CITYS

GLOBAL BRANDSDIVERSITY

WELTHANDEL

REGIONALISIERUNG

VERSTÄDTERUNG

BEVÖLKERUNGS-WACHSTUM

LANDFLUCHT

WIRTSCHAFTSKRAFT

GESUNDHEITS-MANAGEMENT

MEDICALWELLNESS

CORPORATEHEALTH

FUNCTIONAL FOOD

SOCIALNETWORKS

ZWEITERGESUNDHEITSMARKT

PUBLIC HEALTH

KÖRPERBEWUSSTSEIN

UNIQUABILITY

TALENTE

FACHKRÄFTE-MANGEL

SERVICE-ÖKONOMIE

NEUEBUSINESS-MORAL

MEGATREND-MAPDie Megatrend-Map zeigt die elf zentralen Megatrends unserer Zeit.Megatrends sind nie linear und eindimensional, sondern vielfältig,komplex und vernetzt. Die Form der Darstellung zeigt daher nicht nurdie Trends an sich, sondern vi sualisiert auch die Überschneidungenund Parallelen zwischen den Megatrends.Die einzelnen Stationen einer Megatrend-Line wiederum verdeutlichendie unterschiedlichen Dimensionen, Facetten und Trendaspekte.Sie bilden die Vielschichtigkeit eines Megatrends und die diversenEinussfaktoren ab, die im Umfeld eines Megatrends wirken.

Megatrendssind jene Trends, die einen großen und epochalen Charakter haben. IhreHalbwertszeit (die Zeit bis zum Zenit ihrer Wirksamkeit) nehmen wir mit 30 Jahrenoder mehr an.Das entscheidende Merkmal von Megatrends ist aber weniger ihre Dauer, sondern ihr„Impact“. Sie verändern nicht nur einzelne Segmente oder Bereiche des sozialenLebens oder der Wirtschaft. Sie formen ganze Gesellschaften um.

CONNECTIVITY

GLOBALISIERUNG

MOBILITÄT

NEW WORK

FEMALE SHIFT

BILDUNG

INDIVIDUALISIERUNG

SILVER SOCIETY

GESUNDHEIT

URBANISIERUNG

NEO-ÖKOLOGIE

GESUNDHEIT

NEW WORK

SILVER SOCIETY

BILDUNG

INDIVIDUALISIERUNG

URBANISIERUNG

GLOBALISIERUNG

CONNECTIVITY

FEMALE SHIFT

MOBILITÄT

NEO-ÖKOLOGIE

GLEICH-BERECHTIGUNG

MEDICALWELLNESSNEW WORK

LIFE-LONG-LEARNING

CREATIVEHOTSPOTS

WSELFNESSHEALTHSTYLE LEBENS-

QUALITÄT

SILVERPRENEURE

BEST AGER

GREYHOPPERSILVER-SURFER

INNOVATIONECONOMY

HIGH POTENTIALS

PRIVATSCHULEN-BOO

CLEVERKIDS

BILDUNGS-BUSINESS

DIY-PRINZIP

DEEP SUPPORT

MASSCUSTOMIZATION

LEBENSSTILEPLURALISIERUNG

MULTIGRAPHIE

PATCHWORK-FAMILIEN

SINGLE-GESELLSCHAFT

E-HEALTH

GEO TAGGING

WORLD WIDE WEB

DIGITALEVERNETZUNG

LOHASURBAN FARMING

KLIMAWANDEL

STRATEGISCHERKONSUM

BERECHTIGUNG

24/7 GESELLSCHAFT

VENDING CULTURE

WACHSTUMS-ZENTREN

VERSTÄDTERUNG

BEVÖLKERUNGS-WACHSTUM

WELLNESS

TALENTE

FACHKRÄFTE-MANGEL

SERVICE-ÖK

CONNECTIVITY

GLOBALISIERUNG

MOBILITÄT

NEW WORK

GESUNDHEIT

URBANISIERUNG

NEO-ÖKOLOGIE

NEW WORK

BILDUNG

URBANISIERUNG

FLEXIBILISIERUNG

EIGEN-VERANTWORTUNG

WORK-LIFE-BALANCE

MOBILEBÜROS

ICH-AG

WOMANOMICSSELFNESSLEBENS-QUALITÄT

AGELESSCONSUMING

DEMOGRAFISCHERWANDEL

DOWNAGING

SUPER GRANNYS

EPRIVATSCHULEN-BOOM

SINGLE-GESELLSCHAFT

E-HEALTH

DIGITALEVERNETZUNG

NACHHALTIGKE

EMINISIERUNG

EUE MÄNNER

BILDUNGS-GEWINNER

GLEICH-BERECHTIGUNG

M-COMMERCE

GLOBETROTTER

THIRDPLACES

UNTERWEGS-MÄRKTE

FUNCTIONAL FOOD ZWEITGESUN

PUBLIC HE

SILVER SOCIETY

FEMALE SHIFT

MOBILITÄT

NEO-ÖKOLOG

OPENINNOVATION

FLASHMOB-KONSUM

KREATIV-WIRTSCHAFT

OPEN SOURCESOCIAL MEDIA

CLIP-KULTUR

DIGITAL LIFESTYLE

REAL DIGITAL

OFFLINE TREND

E-COMMERCE

SMART PHONES

APPS WORLD

WEB 2.0

INNOVATION

KOLLEKVERNET

GREEN TECH

FAIR TRADE

ERGY GRIDS

ECO-FASHION

FEMALE POWER

A-CITYS

LTHANDEL

LANDFLUCHT

WIRTSCHAFTSKRAFT

SOCIALNETWORKS

CONNECTIVITYDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

ICH-AG

BIO-BOOM

GREENINVESTMENTS

ERNEUERBAREENERGIE

SOCIAL BUSINESS

GREEN IT AUTHENTIC TREND

UMWELTBEWUSSTSEIN

ENERGIEEFFIZIENZ

GESUNDHEITS-MANAGEMENT CORPORATEHEALTH

ZWEITERGESUNDHEITSMARKT

PUBLIC HEALTH

KÖRPERBEWUSSTSEIN

UNIQUABILITY

BUSINESS-MORAL

EIGEN-E-HEALTH

ALWAYS ON

FLEXIBIL

VERANTWORTU

TOURISMUS

WOMANOMICSSELFNESSLEBENS-QUALITÄT

HIGH POTENTIALS

PRIVATSCHULEN-BOOM

E-LEARNING

-FAMILIEN

SINGLE-GESELLSCHAFT

GEO TAGGING

WORLD WIDE WEB

DIGITALEVERNETZUNG

BILDUNGS-GEWINNER

24/7 GESELLSCHAFT

NG CULTURE

SNSERVICE-ÖKONOMIE

Megatrend

GlobalisationDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

Gapminder.com

Hans Rosling

The NewGLOBALMIDDLECLASS

The NewUpwardly

Mobile POOR

Third World

The Old System

Europe

The Multipolarity-System

Europe

USA China

ArabCountries

Africa

Jeff! Rubin and Benjamin Tal: Will Soaring Transport Costs Reverse Globalization?

4 % Production

Transport

1999Oil = 20 $/Gallon

200819 % Herstellung

Transport

Work CostsRaw Material Costs

GloCALisation = Export Peak

Yearly Earnings 2005

Eastern Europe

Russia

Indonesia/ Philippines

100.000 $

Bangladesh/Vietnam

Canada

Ireland

Germany

Atlas der Globalisierung

Yearly Earnings 2030

50.000 $

Supercycles

1850 1900 1950 2000

5 %4 %

2050800

Foundation Era

Economic Miracle MillenniumBoom

Standard Chartered Bank

Countries whose economic complexity isgreater than what we would expect, giventheir level of income, tend to grow faster

than those that are “too rich” for theircurrent level of economic complexity. Inthis sense, economic complexity is not justa symptom or an expression of prosperity:it is a driver.

Poland

Thailand

Turkey

Megatrend

WomenDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 19601970

19801990

20002010 2020

1991 2004

1,6NorwaySaudi Arabia

FranceAustria, South AfricaIran

Switzerland

South Korea

1991 2004

Ratio of girls to boys in tertiary education, gender parity, United Nations Statistic Division

EducationEquality

female/male

Eurostat

Men, SwedenMen, GermanyWomen, SwedenWomen, Germany

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2002Donnerstag, 15. März 2012

When Women Rescue the World...

Elin SigdfúsdóttirNEW Landesbanki

Birna EinarsdóttirNew Glitnir Bank

Kandar KocharICICI, Indien

Manuala BetterHyp Real Estate

Hanna SievinenNokia Deutschland

Jo HarlowNokia worldwide

Susan RiceSecurity Council

The Libya War Makers...

Hillary ClintonForeign Minister

Samantha PowerForeign Ofce

James Taylor Liberia

Ellen Johnson Sirleaf

Liberia

Mary Broh, Mayor of Monrovia

Julia Cuncan-Casell,Governor

Muna Sieh,

Police DepartmentChief

WomanomicsThe feminized economy

Women will haveMORE incomeincrease than

men! 0

2008 2013

Female World Income in Trillion Dollar,Worldbank

USA Germany UK Japan Brazil China S-Arab

Boston Consulting, What Women Want, Economist

They will decidemore and moreabout consumer

goods andnancial

investment

Finance

Investments

Health

Car Insurance

0 10 20 30 40 50

Which branches should do much more for theneeds of women?

Boston Consulting, What Women Want

Moreconsumer

demand andspending power

Robusteconomic

systemMore demandfor complex

services

Morehappiness in

society =optimism Risingproductivityvia “diversitymanagement“

Fasterstructural

change / moreinnovation

Megatrend

DownagingDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

40 years old in

the year1940

40Today

Megatrend

ismDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

10%1900

50 %2007

75 %2050

THE VITAL DWELLERS

THE WORLD OF SHOPS

MULTI-MOBILITY

CLASH OF CULTURES

VERTICALITY

KNOWLEDGE SOCIETIES 2.0CHINESE UNIVERSITY, HONGKONG

PROJEKT

DATE CUSTOMER

2050 ERDEDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

Great cities represent an incredibleopportunity for a sustainable future:- they promote innovation throughproximity.- they can reduce population growth.- they can radically reduce carbonfootprint per person.- they can ease development pressure on

rural areas.- they can offer economic opportunity,culture, education.

Ecopolis

Bosco Vertikale Mailand

Ecopolis

Megatrend

Individual-isationThe Culture of Choice

Canada

Euromonitor International/TIME 12.3.2012

Brazil

Sweden

Britain

Russia

South Africa

34%47%

29%28%

Canada

Euromonitor International/TIME 12.3.2012

Brazil

Sweden

Britain

Russia

South Africa

40%50%

46%42%

GreenomicsDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

The Cyces of

NicolaiKondratieff

Energy GridsDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

Network Energy Markets

European Energy Grid

Occupation Summer

You see what you get Schrift an den Wänden

HomeApps

Touchwall: instinctive room control device

Sm rt a Tech

implehu an

eleg ntadicaladap ive

Simplex ity

Retro -Tech

Nike combat boots

Resilience

Technic AccuDonnerstag, 15. März 2012

S i I i

Service Integration

Empowerment

Rightsizing

Bionics

Network Integration

From Industrial to Post-industrial Economies

CreativeEconomy

Building

Finance

Cars Machines

Environmental

Industries

Logistics

Health& Social

Tourism

Energy/

Culture/Sports

Building

Pharma

MachinesIT

Building

Finance Cars

Environment

Logistics

Health&

Social

Tourism

Energy/ Water

CreativeEconomy

Pharma

Communi-cation

CulturalIndustries

Sports

ArtsMuseums

Festivals

Design

Architecture

Gastronomics

MusicAcademies

Events

AdultEducation

E-Learning

NewEducation

CorporateSocial

management

NewSchools

Kinder-gartens

PrivateUniversities

Education

LifeCoaching

Empowerment

Training,Coaching

EducationalSponsoring Age

Learning

Holistic

Spiritual

CareProviding-

SektorHealthAssistance

Inter-generative

Living

ProvidedCare

HealthManage-

HealthClusters

HolisticMedicine

HolisticHealth

AgeTraining

Rehabilitation

HealthTraining

pOffers

Palliative

Hospitals/ Pharma

Living

E G id H d g

GreenIndustries

Architec-ture

E-Housing

Telematics

& Wind

Energy-conversion

Biofuels

Recycling/

NewMaterials

E-Storage

E-Grid(IT)

Hydrogen

GreenCities

LandscapeRestauration

JustI t lli t

Workow

SmartLogistics

RFID New

DeliveryArchitectures

Integrative

Recycling

Telematic

Just-in time

GreenTransport

Information

Management

IntelligentStoring

Management

UrbanManagement

Content

SmartTech

Web basedknowledge

systems

Humanconsulting

SoftwareSupport

ProductDesign

Systems

Storage

Social

Networks

Information

Management

Content

ContentProviding

TouchTechnologies

Progress is only possible if you change the rules

intelli - gently.

Borislaw Barlog

No clue, why people areafraid of new ideas. I amscared of the old ones.

John Cage

www.zukunftsinstitut.de

www.horx.com

M AT T H I A SHORX Wie Menschen Zukunft gestaltenDAS BUC H DES WANDELS

120316 EVCA Conference - Mega Trends

Documents

LG-E400g Mexico Telefonica 120316 LGESP

MEGA-UNIVERSITY 2003 World Summit of Mega-universities 2003 World Summit of Mega-universities Shanghai, China 7-9 November 2003 Mega-universities = Mega-impact

[ ] Press Release EVCA TF

Smart grid jenifer 120316

MEGA - MEGA Game Intermediary Report

Enhanced Vulnerability Capacity Assessment (EVCA)

Mega chic by mega image

SUPER MEGA MEGA

IP4160 282 UM Eng GB 04 120316 - Alcatel Mobilesupport.alcatelonetouch.com/Alcatel_Support_Files/Manuals/3e6df... · purchasing this mobile phone. Outline † Easy and comfortable

GT-S5300 QSG Open HongKong Eng Rev.1.0 120316 Screen

Evca Yearbook 2011

EVCA Special Paper, Central and Eastern Europe Statistics 2010

Argus Classified 120316

BENCHMARKING PRIVATE EQUITY PERFORMANCE EVCA FINANCE & ADMINISTRATION COURSE DAVID BERNARD 5 JUNE 2009

EVCA Quarterly Activity Indicator: Q1 2007-Q2 2011

MEGA - MEGA Impact 2015 Championship

MEGA - MEGA Generation Overview

PT BANK MEGA Tbk Menara Bank Mega Mega Call...Strategi Keberlanutan P Bank Mega bk 5 SUSTAINABILITY STRATEGY PT Bank Mega Tbk (Bank Mega) is committed to implement sustainable finance

Mega Engineering vehicles MEGA Armored military Vehicles · MEGA Armored military Vehicles Mega Engineering vehicles Mega armored military vehicles is division of Mega Engineering

Performance Benchmarks 2008 European Private Equity Conducted by Thomson Reuters on behalf of EVCA