1 Streets and Highways: Not Making the Grade Hamid Bahadori Automobile Club of Southern California...

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Streets and Highways: Streets and Highways:

Not Making the GradeNot Making the Grade

Hamid BahadoriHamid BahadoriAutomobile Club of Southern Automobile Club of Southern California (AAA)California (AAA)

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Auto Club’s RoleAuto Club’s Role

… because we’ve been an advocate for mobility for over 100 years

… because our 52 million members nationally, including 6 million in southern California, need and want options for travel

… … because because California needs California needs mobility to mobility to prosper and growprosper and grow

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Good and Adequate Roads =Good and Adequate Roads =Mobility and Safety =Mobility and Safety =Economy =Economy =Quality of Life.Quality of Life.

• Automobiles: 92% to 95%

of all home-to-work trips,

98% of all trips

• Highways: Almost all trips,

including transit trips

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Road Capacity Has Not Kept UpRoad Capacity Has Not Kept Up

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Decades of Under-InvestmentDecades of Under-InvestmentCalifornia DataCalifornia Data

Population, Travel and Per Capita Highway Capital Expenditures in California1

Adjusted for Inflation (1955 - 2000)

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Year

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Pop

ula

tion

(1

,000

s)VM

T (

Tens

of

Milli

ons)

1) Includes expenditures for local assistance and state highway capital outlay.

Highway ExpendituresPer Capita

Population

Vehicle MilesTraveled

Cap

ital Exp

en

dit

ure

s P

er

Cap

ita (

200

0 D

ollars

)

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Similar Trend NationallySimilar Trend Nationally

Vehicle Miles Traveled Nationwide Verses Lane Miles

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Ve

hic

le M

iles

Tra

ve

led

(x

00

0,0

00

)

7,500

7,750

8,000

8,250

8,500

La

ne

Mile

s (

x0

00

)Lane Miles (Thousands)

Vehicle Miles Traveled (Billions)

Source: Federal Highway Administration Highway Statistic Series

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Federal Highway Spending per 1,000 Vehicle Miles Traveled and Loss of Federal Highway Spending per 1,000 Vehicle Miles Traveled and Loss of Purchasing Power Due to Inflation (1960 - 2005)Purchasing Power Due to Inflation (1960 - 2005)

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

$4.50

90¢

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Actual Average VMT per Gallon of Fuel Consumed

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Source: Federal Highway Administration's Highway Statistic Series

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The Results...The Results...

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Breakdown of Maintained Centerline Miles by Agency in Breakdown of Maintained Centerline Miles by Agency in California California

California’s 58 counties and 480 cities maintain 141,235 centerline miles of

highways (82% of the state’s total)

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California’s Pavement Condition Index California’s Pavement Condition Index (PCI)(PCI)

2008 682010 66 (At Risk)2020 54 (if funding remains

the same)

The unfunded backlog will double from $39.1 billion to $63.6 billion

71-80 (good) 50-70 (at risk) 25-49 (poor)

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What Is NeededWhat Is Needed

• $70.5 billion over the next 10 years to bring the PCI to BMP or most cost effective condition

• $2.3 billion will be needed annually to maintain the BMP conditions once it is achieved

• $3.1 billion is needed to maintain the existing conditions …….. More than TWICE the current level of funding at $1.42 billion/year

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What shall (or can) be done ?What shall (or can) be done ?

• To even simply maintain the existing condition for our investment, valued at $271 billion, we NEED MORE MONEY

1) Efforts by the California Transportation Commission (CTC)2) The newly, soon to be formed, Stakeholders Working Group3) The federal transportation reauthorization bill4) Regional transportation sales taxes, etc

• The squeaky wheel gets the grease

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Adapting to New Economic RealitiesAdapting to New Economic Realities

• Changing the red tape to red carpet• More targeted and focused application for

competitive funds• Forming inter-jurisdictional collaborative• Using economy-of-scale in delivering

projects• Innovate funding sources (PPP, tolling, etc)• Technological breakthroughs

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Adapting to New RealitiesAdapting to New RealitiesWorking Smarter – Delivering More with LessWorking Smarter – Delivering More with Less

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Hamid BahadoriAutomobile Club of Southern

California3333 Fairview Rd. A-131

Costa Mesa, Ca 92626(714) 885-2326

Bahadori.Hamid@aaa-calif.com