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INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20081 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Should Pakistan leapfrog the developed world in Broadband?
Aamir SardarNokia Siemens NetworksMay 3rd 2008
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20082 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Agenda
• BB Pakistan : Where are we now?
• BB Pakistan : Where should we be heading?
• BB Pakistan : How to get there?
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20083 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Pakistan Broadband Market
BB Definition : Always-On Internet Connection with download speed of 128 kbps
Total ~120k users (approx.) as of Dec 2007 (0.067 % penetration, 143rd in World)
Technologies on the map include ADSL, HFC, FTTH, WiMAX, EVDO
13 operators, with only a few having independent infrastructure
17 Million Internet users, mostly on Dialup
Broadband Market in Pakistan (As of Dec 2007)
28%
2%
8%3%7%5%1%5%
31%
1%
1%
2%
6%
PTCL
NTC
Cybernet
Multinet
Micronet
Maxtel
Nayatel
WOL
WorldCall
COMSATS
BrainTel
Nexlinx
Dancom
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20084 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Regional Broadband Outlook
Indian Govt. plans to offer free BB Connectivity across the country by 2009
Philippines’ ICT targets 100% BB penetration in main cities and 50% in others
Malaysia targets covering 2.2 Million premises by 2010 (50% penetration)
BB Prices have fallen by 19% in OECD countries in 2006 alone
Pakistan ranks 5th from last among neighboring economies : lot of potential exists
MoITT, USF– Feb 9, 2008:
“Currently there are around 100K Broadband subscribers which need to be taken to 1.6 million by 2010 (1% of population)”
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20085 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Agenda
• BB Pakistan : Where are we now?
• BB Pakistan : Where should we be heading?
• BB Pakistan : How to get there?
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20086 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Nokia Siemens Networks’ market vision of 2015 – the World connected
Applications pre-dominantly
in Internet
Broadband Everywhere
5 Bn people connected
Multitude of business models
Applications predominantly
in Internet
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20087 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Broadband – the relation to well being
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20088 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Multitude of New BB Applications emerging
Fun: WWW, video, post card, snapshots, text, picture and multimedia messaging, datacast, personalisation applications (ring tone, screen saver, desk top), jukebox, virtual companion / pet ...Work: Rich call with image and data stream, IP telephony, B2B ordering and logistics, information exchange, personal information manager, dairy, scheduler, note pad, 2-way video conferencing, directory services, travel assistance, work group, telepresence, FTP, instant voicemail, colour fax ...Media: Push newspaper and magazines, advertising, classified ...Shopping: E-commerce, e-cash, e-wallet, credit card, telebanking, automatic transaction, auction, micro-billing shopping ...Entertainment: News, stock market, sports, games, lottery, gambling, music, video, concerts, adult content ...Education: Online libraries, search engines, remote attendance, field research ... Peace of Mind: Remote surveillance, location tracking, emergency use ...Health: Telemedicine, remote diagnose and heath monitoring ...Automation: Home automation, traffic telematics, machine-machine communication (telemetry) ...Travel: location sensitive information and guidance, e-tour, location awareness, time tables, e-ticketing ...Add-on: TV, radio, PC, access to remote computer, MP3 player, camera, video camera, watch, pager, GPS, remote control unit ...
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 20089 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Broadband as Economic Development Catalyst• Improvement in Worker Productivity, Job Skills, Growth opportunities, Wage levels,
Business Portfolios
• Potential for Offshoot Industries– Computer & Home Networking Equipment– Wireless handheld devices– Increased e-Commerce, Entertainment and Content sharing
• Drivers for Broadband Proliferation in Pakistan– Large population with 50% between 15&24 years of age– 27 Million matriculates and 7 Million Graduates– 80 Million telephone users including 74 Million Mobile users– 5 Million PCs in the country– Only 3.5 Million Internet Connections
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200810 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Agenda
• BB Pakistan : Where are we now?
• BB Pakistan : Where should we be heading?
• BB Pakistan : How to get there?
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200811 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Connectivity today in Pakistan
More than half of Pakistanis
Mostly mobile only
High end
Voice Data
Mobile+ fixed line
Mobile only ormobile + fixed line
No mobile orfixed line
Broadband athome/office
Dial-up or no Internet access
No Internet
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200812 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Mobile voice: GSM, Village Connection
How to Connect Pakistanis?
Voice
Mobile Wireline VoIP
Broadband everywhereOffice, Home, On the move
Data
3G HSPA, WiMAX, xDSL,
PON, Metro Ethernet
‘Super-broadband’PON, LTE,
WiMAX
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200813 © Nokia Siemens Networks
WCDMA0,384 Mbps
HSPA1,8 – 14 Mbps
Mobile and fixed BB complement each other
Year of user availability
Wireline
ADSL
ADSL
ADSL2plus
2000 2005 20100,01
0,1
1
10
100
1.000
Use
r d
ata
rate
[M
bp
s]
1-3 Mbps
6-8 Mbps
16-20 Mbps
VDSL225-50 Mbps
GPON100 Mbps
GPRS0,075 Mbps
NG-PONDSM L3
Wireless
LTE
WiMAXHSPAevolution
Fast Internet,Streaming Media,Tele-workingVoIP
WebbrowsingE-mail
Multimedia Home,Broadcast TV / VoDFast BroadbandPremium VoIP
Multi channel -HD TVFastest Broadband
Wireless Broadband provides ubiquitous coverage, VDSL and GPON provide bandwidth for next generation home entertainment
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200814 © Nokia Siemens Networks
LTE / WiMAX
User density and installed base imply technology choice
DSL
DSLPON
PON
HSPA 2100
HSPA 900 / LTE 900
Scarcely populated area
Always best connected - Bandwidth and mobility optimized
Mobile broadband - Mobility and coverage optimized
Residential access - Bandwidth optimizedBroadband
access strategy
WiMAX
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200815 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Projected Market Trends
• In mature markets with high tele-densities, 60-65% of broadband penetration comes from Wireless Access
• MoITT forecast : Similar behaviour in Pakistani Market
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200816 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Counter price/MB decline with cost/MB efficiency
Multimedia services drive bandwidth demand
Competition drives down revenue per MB
Revenue per MB
2000 2005 20100,01
0,1
1
10
100
Use
r d
ata
rate
[M
bp
s]
GPRS*0,075 Mbps
UMTS*0,384 Mbps
HSDPA*3.6 -7.2 Mbps
LTE*
HSDPA*1.8 Mbps
WiMAX*HSPA MIMO*
*
Data volumes goes up, price per MB go down …
Eliminate inefficiencies
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
10% AnnualDecrease
Western EuropeMiddle East & AfricaUS & CanadaChina
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200817 © Nokia Siemens Networks
GPON
VDSL2
FE/GE
ADSL2+/SHDSL
POTS/ISDN/VoIP
Be prepared for the future withMulti Service Access and Multi Radio
Multi Service Access
MSANMulti Service Access Node
Multi Radio
• Efficient and flexible multiradio sites• SW Upgrade to HSPA and LTE
• Synergies in network rollout and maintenance• Common O&M processes• Investment protection
LTE
WCDMA
WiMAX
GSM/EDGE
Flexi BTS
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200818 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Flexi Base StationMulti Radio macro coverage at a micro footprint
Efficiency at work: The Flexi Multimode BTS
Energy efficiency enables 3x 60W in one module system module
LTE
One platform for EDGE, WCDMA, LTE and WiMAX
Feederless site and distributed architecture
Ethernet backhaul
Remote Radio Head
SW-upgrade
WCDMA
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200819 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Be prepared for the flat-rate worldFlat architecture and all-IP
Common design: Flat architecture (2 user plane nodes) and all-IP
I-HSPA
RNC
SGSN
MSAN eNode-BBTS Node-B
Works with standard WCDMA/HSPA devices
MME
GGSN SAE GWASN GWBRAS
LTEWiMAXDSL
Nokia Siemens Networks I-HSPA introduces broadband efficiency to 3G
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200820 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Summary
NSN_vision_small.wmv
– Realize that Broadband is the key to socio-economic development
– Create an aggressive BB vision for Pakistan
– Usage of all available technologies to reach BB deployment goals
– Eliminate inefficiencies via Network simplicity
– Focus on increasing Total Value of Ownership
NSN_Broadband_Everywhere_video_-_low_resolution.wmv
INCC 2008 / May 3rd 200821 © Nokia Siemens Networks
Should Pakistan leapfrog the developed world in Broadband?
Aamir SardarNokia Siemens NetworksMay 3rd 2008
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