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RenewOrCancel.tv
GOAL:
Predict the probability of a show being renewed after its first season!
[tv-cafe.com]
Data
Feature Vector (X):
● Network: (ABC, CBS, FOX, HBO, NBC, CW/WB, Showtime, Other)● Episode Length● Time Slot: (8, 8.5, 9, 9.5, 10, 10.5)● Day of Week● Content Rating (TV-G, TV-PG, TV-14, TV-MA, Other)● Time of Year (Jan-Apr, May-Jul, Aug-Dec)● Year
Data Histograms
Validation
5-fold Cross-validation
AUCs
Logistic Regression: 0.704
Random Forest: 0.657
Decision Tree: 0.612
Daniel Johnson
PhD, Applied Mathematics, Brown University (2009-2015)Mathematical Self-Assembly
Statistical Consultant, Pleio Inc. (2012-2015)
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