RenewOrCancel.tv

GOAL:

Predict the probability of a show being renewed after its first season!

[tv-cafe.com]

Data

Feature Vector (X):

● Network: (ABC, CBS, FOX, HBO, NBC, CW/WB, Showtime, Other)● Episode Length● Time Slot: (8, 8.5, 9, 9.5, 10, 10.5)● Day of Week● Content Rating (TV-G, TV-PG, TV-14, TV-MA, Other)● Time of Year (Jan-Apr, May-Jul, Aug-Dec)● Year

Data Histograms

Validation

5-fold Cross-validation

AUCs

Logistic Regression: 0.704

Random Forest: 0.657

Decision Tree: 0.612

Daniel Johnson

PhD, Applied Mathematics, Brown University (2009-2015)Mathematical Self-Assembly

Statistical Consultant, Pleio Inc. (2012-2015)