SustainAgility - Green tech innovation to help save the world. Conference keynote speaker on...

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http://www.globalchange.com The $40 trillion green tech revolution could transform the future of our planet, with innovations that will provide answers to global warming if rolled out on a large enough scale. Impact of technologies already available in energy industry, water conservation, carbon reduction, recycling, power transmission over long distances, alternative power generation, buildings management. Conference keynote speaker and Futurist Patrick Dixon - lecture for Air Liquide global team.

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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltdhttp://www.globalchange.com

SustainAgility

Related                                                                              Issues

Agile                                                                                          Ideas   2

Strategies of many corporations are

being overtaken by events

Wild  Cards:  Risk  Management

Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million

� Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia

• Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles

11

Huge  bets  on  future  price  

13

You need more than

one strategy

16

$40bn a month

£1 trillion debt 33% bought back

23

Text

Touch, Voice, Gesture,

Thought Control

The future is about

EMOTION

30

80%  lost  in  10  seconds  

               

1 billion children à cities

1 billion children alive today

300 million à cities in China by 2020$4 trillion infrastructure in next 5 years

Commodity pressures

Emissions

� IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity

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>40% WDP Asia by 2015

1 billion over 60s in 10 years

1  week                              every  4

Europe Dying

4 couples needed to produce just one

great-grandchild

Computersknow more than

physicians

•Ottawa Hospital, Ontario, Canada - 3,000 iPads.

•Mayo Clinic - 10,000 iPhones and 2,000 iPads

Read Human Genome in an Hour for $1000($100 million in 2000)

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• Harvard Bioscience

• Bioreactor

• Bone m stem cells

• Polymer scaffold

•lexmark print new skin

• Diabetes, congestive heart failure, obstructive pulmonary

• 2.2 million at home

• > $22bn by 2015

•Mobile telephony

Home Oxygen$2bn pa by 2018

Can we stop ageing ?

Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improves heart failure – and helps wrinkled skin.

Grow New Teeth

• Pigs teeth grown inside rats

• Mice grow new teeth from nerve cells / gum tissue

Successful Heart repair

• Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass

• Improves heart function

Monkeys on diet live longer• After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories• Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay

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Slow or no ageing is a reality

• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales

• No signs of getting old

1  trillionpages  a  month

Why had to change

Would they recommend to a friend ?

Rebalancing Portfolio

5-10% increase in efficiency from nanotech

33%  in  UK  don’t  watch  live  TV

70%  UK  bandwidth  =  YouTube  +  BBC  Neflix  video  streams  =  25%  US  bandwidth  (27m  users)

•Allow or Block ?

Some  users  in  France  >  30  gig  in  days

Google Mobile Wallet Monetise (mobile payments for banks) Square startup $3bn valuation

Mobile Payments

•PayPal  -­‐  $141m  to  $4bn  from  2009-­‐11  

• Kenya  -­‐  15m  people• $9bn  pa  -­‐  33%  GDP•

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Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / pay

2010                                                  2013                                  2015                                                    

TelcoBanks

$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism

Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”

Shale gas 33% US supplies

200 years global supplyUp from 60 years in 5 years

5 coal plants replace with gas = 9000 megawatts wind

57 will close in US in 2012

� 30 million acres lost

� EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food

25% of 2010 US grain fuel

30% US grain burnt in cars

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30% US grain

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert

“40% EU power = wind by 2050”Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use

Power whole Europe from 20km x 80km desert

•Only 5% EU power crosses borders

Solar cell generation parity

Fuel cell shipments up 300% in 2012

Australia Power Shortage• 10% capacity used 4 days a year• Average $50 à peak $10,000 per MWhr

Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week

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Burning in oxygen

LIFE IS SHORT - only sell what you believe in

BeyondCompliance

Future revenue from legislation Rapid changes in regulations

and public mood

�For individuals�For family�For community �For whole earth

Building a Better WorldConnecting with passion for life

Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

http://www.globalchange.com4 MILLION VIDEO VIEWS

�How did you feel ?�Immediate thoughts�Big questions

Groups

�Key issues impacting strategy�Major opportunities

�Which ones can you fix yourselves ?�Imagine opportunity for 3 minute conversation with your Chairman about an issue / opportunity and a solution....

Groups

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