Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltdhttp://www.globalchange.com

SustainAgility

Related                                                                              Issues

Agile                                                                                          Ideas   2

Strategies of many corporations are

being overtaken by events

Wild  Cards:  Risk  Management

Indonesia: Islamic radicalisation88% of 200 million

� Expect struggle for political power by radical groups in Indonesia, Malaysia

• Click  to  edit  Master  text  styles

11

Huge  bets  on  future  price  

13

You need more than

one strategy

16

$40bn a month

•

£1 trillion debt 33% bought back

23

Text

Touch, Voice, Gesture,

Thought Control

The future is about

EMOTION

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80%  lost  in  10  seconds  

               

1 billion children à cities

1 billion children alive today

300 million à cities in China by 2020$4 trillion infrastructure in next 5 years

Commodity pressures

Emissions

� IMF - adjusted for Purchasing Power Parity

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>40% WDP Asia by 2015

1 billion over 60s in 10 years

1  week                              every  4

Europe Dying

4 couples needed to produce just one

great-grandchild

Computersknow more than

physicians

•Ottawa Hospital, Ontario, Canada - 3,000 iPads.

•Mayo Clinic - 10,000 iPhones and 2,000 iPads

Read Human Genome in an Hour for $1000($100 million in 2000)

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• Harvard Bioscience

• Bioreactor

• Bone m stem cells

• Polymer scaffold

•lexmark print new skin

• Diabetes, congestive heart failure, obstructive pulmonary

• 2.2 million at home

• > $22bn by 2015

•Mobile telephony

Home Oxygen$2bn pa by 2018

Can we stop ageing ?

Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improves heart failure – and helps wrinkled skin.

Grow New Teeth

• Pigs teeth grown inside rats

• Mice grow new teeth from nerve cells / gum tissue

Successful Heart repair

• Inject bone marrow stem cells after bypass

• Improves heart function

Monkeys on diet live longer• After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories• Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay

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Slow or no ageing is a reality

• Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales

• No signs of getting old

1  trillionpages  a  month

Why had to change

Would they recommend to a friend ?

"Perfection!,"  TripAdvisor Member, Sept 13, 2012 This was the most beautiful hotel. Delightful, all perfect. We will stay again v soon. "Terrible! TripAdvisor Member, Nov 10, 2011 Terrible place, rats, dirty, noisy - sick with food poisoning for 2 weeks. Nearly died.

Rebalancing Portfolio

5-10% increase in efficiency from nanotech

33%  in  UK  don’t  watch  live  TV

70%  UK  bandwidth  =  YouTube  +  BBC  Neflix  video  streams  =  25%  US  bandwidth  (27m  users)

•Allow or Block ?

Some  users  in  France  >  30  gig  in  days

Google Mobile Wallet Monetise (mobile payments for banks) Square startup $3bn valuation

Mobile Payments

•PayPal  -­‐  $141m  to  $4bn  from  2009-­‐11  

• Kenya  -­‐  15m  people• $9bn  pa  -­‐  33%  GDP•

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Free mobile devicescalls / web / TV / games / pay

2010                                                  2013                                  2015                                                    

TelcoBanks

$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism

Oil >$100 a barrel accelerates innovationEven strong climate sceptics “go green”

Shale gas 33% US supplies

200 years global supplyUp from 60 years in 5 years

5 coal plants replace with gas = 9000 megawatts wind

57 will close in US in 2012

� 30 million acres lost

� EU 5% gasoline and diesel from food

25% of 2010 US grain fuel

30% US grain burnt in cars

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30% US grain

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total global power usePower Moscow from Libyan Desert

“40% EU power = wind by 2050”Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day7,000 times total power use

Power whole Europe from 20km x 80km desert

•Only 5% EU power crosses borders

Solar cell generation parity

Fuel cell shipments up 300% in 2012

Australia Power Shortage• 10% capacity used 4 days a year• Average $50 à peak $10,000 per MWhr

Enough salt caverns to power germany for a week

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Burning in oxygen

LIFE IS SHORT - only sell what you believe in

BeyondCompliance

Future revenue from legislation Rapid changes in regulations

and public mood

�For individuals�For family�For community �For whole earth

Building a Better WorldConnecting with passion for life

Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

http://www.globalchange.com4 MILLION VIDEO VIEWS

�How did you feel ?�Immediate thoughts�Big questions

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�Key issues impacting strategy�Major opportunities

�Which ones can you fix yourselves ?�Imagine opportunity for 3 minute conversation with your Chairman about an issue / opportunity and a solution....

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