View
53
Download
0
Category
Preview:
Citation preview
Body Level One
Body Level Two
Body Level Three
Body Level Four
Body Level Five Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
Fellow, Centre for Management Development London Business School
TheFutureofAlmostEverythingGlobaltrends,disrup;veeventsandleadershipdevelopment
Ins;tu;onalBlindnessinEveryLeader
do things you really believe in Life is Short
Complexity and scale create risks
Title Text
http://images.google.fr/imgres?imgurl=www.linuxgazette.com/issue42/gm/images/radar.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.linuxgazette.com/issue42/gm/musings.html&h=432&w=576&prev=/images?q=radar+screen&svnum=10&hl=fr&lr=&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&sa=N
ClicktoeditMastertextstyles
9
ClicktoeditMastertextstyles
12
Leadership Development overtaken by events World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting
Agility
Yet many trends changing more slowly
than people think
Cash growing - bank branches continue -
music, fashions, food - homes look the same, robots, 3D printing etc
Robots in Factories only 7% pa 92,000-170,000 2000-2012
3D scans - 3D printing
What is the future of the global
ECONOMY
WGP(%,constantprices)
VietnamGDP1985-2011
$3.4trillion($50trillionby2020globally)
>>$2.4trillion
Reserves
One word will dominate ALL
FUTURE
The future is aboutEMOTION
Up to 70% of sales of new convenience
stores from people who live
40% of adults in UK dont know by 4pm what they will eat for dinner tonight
85% of world population will be living in emerging
markets in 10 years
1% owns 50%
1 billion will migrate over next 30 years
Science,technologyengineering,
maths
MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets
ChinaandIndiadominate
STEMdegreesincludingpost-graduate/PhDs
Europe Dying 4 couples to produce single great-grand child
1 million over 90 year olds in Italy in 12 years time
Title Text Body Level One
Body Level Two
Body Level Three
Body Level Four
Body Level Five
>65%spend>65years
1billion>60by2020
1weekevery4
following coronary, stroke or sight loss using adult stem cells
Repair Heart / Brain / Eyes with stem cells
53
After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay
Monkeys on diet live longer
Read your genes in 2 hours for
$2000
Slow or no ageing is a reality
Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales
No signs of getting old
Rougheye rockfish (Sebastes aleutianus) 205 years Aldabra Giant Tortoise 255 years Lobsters are believed to live 100 or more years Ocean Quahog clam 405 years
Some animals do not age in normal way
Language - Music Culture - History
1trillionpagesamonth
People love Cities and Offices
ReproduceownimageTendtorecruitpeoplewithfamiliarname,voice,
accent,personality,culture,appearance
85%ofleadersoflargestUScorporaWonssaydiversityiskey
toinnovaWon
Forbesstudy
Diversitylinkedtohighersales,marketshareandprofits,talentrecruitment-andmoreaccurateunderwriWng
Big Data = Pattern
Little Data = Person
Globalised+BarriersIncreasingScale
World too small for more than:2 airline manufacturers
3 mobile operating systems10 large pharma
5 large auto companies
With rapid growth of niche manufacturing
8%wageinflaWoninChina-partoffsetbycurrencyfall
NearshoringBoom
Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but now growing LESS than production
MOBILE >50% of all online sales in many
nations are using mobile
LocaWonMarkeWng
isnextBIGTHING
79
80
Internet of Things
2bn new smart home devices a year by 202027% of Internet of Things will be in homes
MobilePayment
Mobiledevicesalreadyusedtomakepaymentsofover$640bnpa-growing40%annually
40%ofKenyaseconomyisnowcarriedoutusingm-Pesaplaeormalone-e-walletlikeEZ-Cash
86
90%MicrosogR&D SalesForceR&D>$3bnpa
CLOUD
180bnspamemailsaday600mnewviruses,malware,trojansayear>220mpeoplesdetailslostinsinglealack70%largecorporaWonshavebeenhacked
100,000alacksanhouronUSNavyParalysisofEstoniagovernmentin2007
WorriesaboutUS,Russia,ChinapenetraWon
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
Shale gas 33% US supplies
3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil
produced than Saudi by 2020
200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years
75% global growth in green energy was in China in 2014
SolarCells$/wal1990-2015
subsidies
PriceParity
SurplusPowertoGas:13EUplants/26planned
EnergyusehashalvedperunitofproducWoninEUchemicalindustry
overlast20years
CO2 emissions stable for 24
months of global economic growth
Beyond Compliance
do things you really believe in Life is Short
AllleadershipcomesfromVISIONofabelerfuture
TeamsintophalfofEngagement 86% more likely to have better customer metrics 70% more likely to have low staff turnover 70% more likely to be highly productive 44% more likely to be profitable
Gallup meta-survey > 10 million people
LessonfromNon-ProfitsandAcWvists
Connectwithallthepassionspeoplehaveandtheywillfollowyoutothe
endsoftheearth,promotewhatyoudowithpride,andmayevenbewillingto
workforyoufornexttonothing
.andthefourwordphraseis.
BuildingaBelerWorld
Body Level One
Body Level Two
Body Level Three
Body Level Four
Body Level Five
Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
globalchange.com@patrickdixon#MCE55
Recommended