Future agenda 2.0 Singapore SMU 05 11 2015

TheWorldin2025|EmergingInsightsFromFutureAgenda2.0SMU|Singapore|5November2015DrTimJones|ProgrammeDirector

FutureAgendaTheFutureAgendaistheworld’slargestopenforesightprogram

thataccessesmulFpleviewsofthenextdecadesoallcanbebeHerinformedandsFmulateinnovaFon.

LookingForwardsOrganisaFonsincreasinglywanttoidenFfyandunderstand

boththeanFcipatedandunexpectedchangessothattheycanbebeHerpreparedforthefuture.

FutureAgenda1.0TopInsightsfor2020Fromthe2010program,52keyinsightsonthenextdecadeweresharedwidelyandhavebeenextensivelyusedbyorganisaFonsaroundtheworld.AndFutureAgendabecametheworld’slargestopenforesightplaNorm.

FutureAgendainNumbersThefirstFutureAgendaprogrammeengagedawiderangeofviewsin

25countries.FutureAgenda2.0hasdoubledtheface-to-faceinteracFonandsignificantlyraisedonlinesharing,debateanddiscussion.

FutureAgenda1.01HOST16TOPICS25COUNTRIES50WORKSHOPS1500ORGANISATIONS

FutureAgenda2.050HOSTS25TOPICS38COUNTRIES112WORKSHOPS5000ORGANISATIONS

FutureAgenda2.0TopicsThesecondversionoftheFutureAgendaprogramistakingplaceduring2015andhasbeenaddressing20+topicsvia100+eventsin45ciFesin38countriesinpartnershipwitharound50corehosts.

Ageing

CiOes

Company

ConnecOvity

Data

EducaOon

Energy

Food

Government

Health

Learning

Loyalty

Payments

Privacy

Resources

Transport

Travel

Water

Wealth

Work

EightKeyThemesAcrossthemulFplediscussions,86emergingissuesseemtobetouchinguponandconnecFngwitheightunderlying,andinterwoven,themes.

ManyoftheseprovidesignificantopportuniFesforinnovaFon.

TheFiveCertainOes

InterconnectedSystems

TheDataRevoluOon

UnequalAccess

OurHabitat

BeliefsandBelonging

PowerandInfluence

ChangingBusiness

FiveCertainOes

ImbalancedPopulaOonGrowthAgrowingpopulaFonisaddinganotherbillionpeoplebutitisalsorapidlyageing:

Achildbornnextyearwilllive6monthslongerthanoneborntoday.WhilemigraFonhelpstorebalancesomesocieFes,increasingdependencyraFoschallengeall.

ShiVingPowerandInfluenceThecentreofgravityofeconomicpowerconFnuesshi_ingeastwards,backtowhereitwas200yearsago.RecentsuperpowersseektomoderatethepaceofchangebuttherealiFesofpopulaFonandresourcelocaFonsareimmoveable.

EverythingConnectedBy2025over1trillionsensorsareconnectedtomulFplenetworks:EverythingthatcanbenefitfromaconnecFonwillhaveone.Wedeliver10,000xmoredata100x

moreeffecFvelybutneedtomakesenseoftheinformaFonthatflows.

InterconnectedSystems

AirQualityRisingairpolluFoninmanyemergingciFesiskillingpeopleandbecomesthevisiblecatalystforchangingmind-sets.Itdrivespublicsupportfornew

policiesacrosshealth,energy,transportaFonandurbandesign.

FoodWasteThe30-50%offoodwastedeitherinthesupplychainorinconsumpFoncouldfeed

another3billioneveryday.FocusisonusingdatatoopFmisedistribuFonandstorageindevelopingcountriesandenablingbeHerconsumerinformaFoninothers.

UrbanObesityMassurbanisaFon,reducedacFvityandpoordietsareacceleraFngtheriseofobesity.AshalftheglobalpopulaFonisoverweight,levelsofobesityinmostciFesaregrowingfastandtheassociatedhealthcareburdenwillsoonaccountfor5%ofglobalGDP.

TheDataRevoluOon

TheIncreasingValueofDataAsorganisaFonsgrabmoredata,itbecomesacurrencywithavalueandaprice:Itthereforerequiresmarketplaces–transparentecosystemsfortradingdata

-soanythingthatisinformaFonisrepresentedindatamarketplaces.

DataOwnershipIndividualsrecognizethevalueoftheirdigitalshadows,privacyagentsanddata

brokerscurateclients’datasetswhilepersonaldatastoresgiveustransparentcontrolofourinformaFon:Weretainmoreownershipofourdataandopttoshareit.

EthicalMachinesMachinesareassmartashumansasautomaFonspreadsbeyondtradinganddronestodriverlesscarsandmanagingsystemicrisk.Asweapproachtechnologysingularity,autonomousrobotsandalgorithmsmakeethicaljudgmentsthatimpactlifeordeath.

UnequalAccess

RisingYouthUnemploymentWithunemploymentratesalreadyover50%insomenaFons,accesstoworkisarisingbarriertomany.EspeciallyacrossNorthAfrica,theMiddleEastandsouthernEurope,

alostgeneraFonof100mfailstoconnectwithandgainfromglobalgrowth.

EducaOonRevoluOonNetworkedschoolsandlearningplaNormsencourageself-organisededucaFonforall.Teachersprovideprompts,notanswers,andhelpstudentslearnfromoneanother.Non-linearhighcontentlearningbecomestheglobalnorm.

OurHabitat

HousingEveryoneMassmigraFonandlocalisedpopulaFonexplosionsdriveupthecostofboth

housingaccessandhomeownership.InmanyciFes,thisleadstothedevelopmentofnewlivingspacesandownershipmodelsthattrytoaccommodatemoreofus.

Off-PlanetLivingRapidtechnologicaladvances,coupledwiththeambiFonsofemergingpowersand

wealthyindividuals,leadtoanewracetocolonisespace.Apriorityinthisislong-termhabitaFononMarsastheseedforafutureNewWorldmigraFon.

PreparingforResilienceAswemoveforwardwiderrecogniFonofadaptaFontoclimatechangeplaysanincreasinglyimportantroleindefiningandshapingbothgovernmental

andbusinessahtudesandriskstrategies.

AcceleraOngDisplacementAfasterchangingclimateandrapidlyincreasinginequaliFesofopportunityaddtoconflictassFmulusformassmigraFonnorthatanunprecedentedscale.

Over1billionareonthemoveoverthenext30to50years.

BeliefsandBelonging

SocialCoagulaOonGeographicallydisparategroups(re)connecttoreinforceideasandexcludeothers-creaFngopportuniFestoreinforceideasandnormaliseacFonswhichotherwisemightseemextremeastheygrowmorepowerful.

AginginCommunityIndividuals,familiesaswellashealthcarepayersdesiretokeepolder

peoplelivinghealthyandindependentloner.Thisrequiresupgradedinfrastructure,transportaFonsystemsandthoughNulproductsandservices.

TheAgeofWomenInmanyregions,womenhavegreatercontrol,influenceandincreasedleadership

parFcipaFon.Thischangesdecision-making,strengthenstherepresentaFonofthefeminineviewandhelpstodrivemorebalancedacFons.

PowerandInfluence

NewWorldOrderAsdemographicshi_s,newalliancesandeconomicchallengesre-alignglobalpowerandinfluence,newleadersemergeandcontrolintheworldchanges

infavourofsome-butwithotherssFllholdingthebalance.

AfricaGrowthDespiteconcernsaroundgovernanceandcorrupFon,theaHracFonofrising

populaFons,agrowingworkforce,500mnewmiddleclassconsumersandconFnuedresourcesuppliesaHractmulFpleglobalbrandstomakeAfricathe#1targetmarket.

PurposeofCompaniesSuccessfulorganisaFonsaligntheirpurposewithaddressingspecificsocietalandstakeholderneedsandmovebeyondjustfocusingoncreaFngshareholdervalue.

AmulF-capitalapproachtointegratedreporFngtakesholdandspreads.

ChangingBusiness

SpeedtoScaleGreaterglobalconnecFvity,growingaverageconsumerwealth,broaderreach

andtheadopFonofstandardplaNormsallcombinetoacceleratetheFmeto1bncustomersforstart-upsandnewcorporateventuresalike.

DigitalMoneyCashisgraduallyreplacedbydigitalmoneyprovidingconsumerswithmore

convenienceandchoice–andorganisaFonswithlowercosttransacFons.WideradopFonenablesnewofferstoproliferate–includingintheblackeconomy.

OrganisaOon3.0NewformsofflaHer,project-based,collaboraFve,virtual,informal

organisaFonsdominate-enabledbytechnologyandaglobalmobileworkforce.AssuchthenatureofworkandtheroleoforganisaFonitselfblurs.

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