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Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD George Mason University School of Public Policy Center for Regional Analysis Shifting Demographics and Housing Choice May 18, 2012

Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

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Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD, George Mason University, School of Public Policy, Center for Regional Analysis

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Page 1: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhDGeorge Mason University

School of Public PolicyCenter for Regional Analysis

Shifting Demographics and Housing Choice

May 18, 2012

Page 2: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Movement Into and Out of the Washington DC Metro Area

Source: IRS County-to-County Migration Files

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

InOut

Page 3: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Age Distribution of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area

Age of Household Head

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 or older0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

11.6

38.4

27.4

13.8

4.9 3.9

15.5

37.7

21.3

14.2

7.24.2

1995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 4: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Age Distribution of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area

Age of Household Head

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 or older0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

11.6

38.4

27.4

13.8

4.9 3.9

15.5

37.7

21.3

14.2

7.24.2

1995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 5: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Housing Tenure of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

Owner Renter0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

36.1

63.9

19.5

80.6

1995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 6: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Housing Tenure of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area

25-to-34 year olds

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

Owner Renter0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

26.9

73.1

11.8

88.2

1995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 7: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Location of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

DC Arlington/Alexandria Fairfax/Montgomery Other0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

13.6 12.5

37.0 37.0

15.8 14.7

37.6

31.91995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 8: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Location of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area25-to-34 year olds

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

DC Arlington/Alexandria Fairfax/Montgomery Other0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

16.4 15.5

35.033.1

18.717.4

37.9

26.0

1995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 9: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Housing Type of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

SFD SFA Multi-Family0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

30.3

17.7

51.0

23.6

16.5

59.4

1995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 10: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Housing Type of Movers into the Washington DC Metro Area

25-to-34 year olds

Source: 2000 Census PUMS file; 2008-10 American Community Survey 3-Year PUMS file

SFD SFA Multi-Family0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

20.3 18.2

60.7

15.7 16.5

67.3

1995-20002008-2010

Per

cen

t

Page 11: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

Housing Demand in the Washington DC Metro Area

• Increasing demand among newcomers for:– Homes close to existing and growing job

centers– Urban living– Smaller houses– Multi-family and rental units

Page 12: Residential Movement in the Greater Washington DC Area

George Mason University

Center for Regional Analysis

cra.gmu.edu