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US Airfare Trend Report Week of March 9, 2015

FLYR Weekly 2015-03-09

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US Airfare Trend Report

Week of March 9, 2015

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

Notes• Major movement detected for JetBlue flights, with a whopping 66% of flights seeing

increases.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

Notes• At a median of $29, the hikes at JetBlue aren’t trivial.• Virgin America is also seeing $35 median hikes for just over half of its flight inventory.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

Notes• We know that a broad fare changes are in the works when major hubs start popping up in

these charts, like both airports at Houston on the upside.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

Notes• We see some drops among traditionally warmer destinations like Miami, Orlando, and

Long Beach. Could recent weather be affecting demand for these Spring Break hotspots?

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

Notes• Discrepancies between the top names in origin vs. destination suggests the possibility of a

supply/demand imbalance for this cohort. (i.e., more people flying out of a city than flying in).

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

Notes• There was a near-universal

but de minimis change in the pricing of a couple routes: ANC/SEA and HNL/LAX. In both cases, the vast majority of fares were only raised by a fraction of a dollar.

• Somewhat more impacted are a number of flights involving JFK and SFO, which did see fares gap up by $30-50.

TRENDS AMONG 25 MAJOR AIRPORT ROUTES

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

ABOUT OUR DATA

• We observed the cohort of non-stop US domestic airfares departing March 14, 2015 to April 18, 2015, or roughly on a one-week to six-weeks forward basis.

• These fares were observed over a seven-day period ending March 7, 2015.• Most commercial carriers in the US are represented.

FLYR Inc.fb.com/getflyr FLYRLabs.com @FLYR_Research

Data cohort: Flights departing March 14, 2015 – April 18, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending March 7, 2015

ABOUT FLYR

FLYR is a data science company that constructs technologies to predict and mitigate future airfare volatility. Our goal is to develop tools that are able to neutralize uncertainty in travel planning.

Our open airfare prediction beta is currently available at http://www.getFLYR.com.

We welcome your comments and questions, as well as ideas and suggestions for future reports.

Steady Travels,FLYR Research

© 2014-2015 FLYR Inc. All Rights Reserved.

All data, charts, and commentary are provided for informational purposes only.Permission to reproduce the contents contained herein must be obtained with prior consent of FLYR Inc.For reproduction/distribution authorizations or other media requests, please contact:

Andrew JingFLYR [email protected] De Boom St., San Francisco, CA 94080