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Adventure Travel Trade Association and Vital Wave Consulting present adventure tourism industry statistics and forecasts for emerging markets, November 2012 at World Travel Market in London.
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Vital Wave Consulting Field Teams
Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Costa Rica Dominican Republic Mexico Peru
Asia India China Cambodia
Eastern Europe Estonia Uzbekistan Ukraine
Africa Egypt South Africa Nigeria Kenya
Middle East United Arab Emirates
United States California (Headquarters)
“Mainstreaming the Fringe”: Adventure Tourism Trends & Perspectives
for Established and Emerging Markets November 2010
Shannon Stowell Adventure Travel Trade Association
Christina Heyniger Vital Wave Consulting
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
ATTA
• More than 750 members representing 70+ countries- tourism boards, tour providers, etc.
• Education & Professional Development
• Adventure Tourism Development- Norway, Brazil, Mexico, Quebec…..
• AdventureTravelNews.com
• Research Initiatives
• Leadership activity worldwide: GSTC, WTM, ITB, Tourism for Tomorrow, National Geographic Geotourism Summit, Sustainable Communities Guild, PURE, ABETA, NCE, etc.
• ATTA’s online community, The HUB: more than 1300 professionals online- networking, best practices sharing, business getting done
• ATTA Regional Meetings and Adventure Travel World Summit
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Vital Wave Consulting Solving the problems of business in emerging markets
Social & Mobile Strategies & Implementation
Market Research & Strategic Planning
Platform Implementation
• Mobile services strategy and implementation
• Travel product development
• Emerging market sizing and ROI
• Niche tourism strategies – adventure, eco, heritage tourism
• Best practices & sustainability
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
…Adventure Travel
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Factors contributing to adventure tourism’s growing popularity
1. Traveler demand for authentic experiences
2. Consumer demand for ethical products and green, sustainable products
3. Travelers becoming more experienced and seeking new and unusual destinations
4. Changing values and a prioritization of fulfillment, a meaningful life.
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Spend Shifters - a sea change
Brand Asset Valuator (BAV) 1million consumers, 20 years, 50 countries, 70 brand metrics
• Exclusive DOWN 60%
• Sensuous DOWN 30%
• Daring DOWN 20%
• Friendly UP 148%
• Socially Responsible UP 63%
• Kindness/Empathy UP 391%
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Governments are shifting
Survey of over 100 tourism boards:
In 2007, less than half recognized adventure tourism…
Today- 85% do.
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Tourism Industry Growth: Mass Tourism and Adventure
1950s 2000s
Mass Tourism; 4% average growth per year
Adventure Tourism; 17% growth in 2009 and 2010
2010
26% penetration
50% penetration
2050
?
Time
Gro
wth
(re
ceip
ts)
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Tour Operator Revenue in 2010 vs 2009
18.79%
33.78%
0% 5%
10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Revenue is Down Revenue is Up
Average Change in Gross Revenue in 2010 compared to
2009 66%
15% 14%
5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Up Down Flat I Don't Know
Total Gross Revenue in 2010 compared to 2009
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Tour Operators
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Adventure Travelers
10
WOMEN, MEN, YOUNG, OLDER…
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Adventure Traveler Demographics and Purchasing Behavior
11
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
<18 18-‐41 42-‐74 >74
Adventure Traveler by Age GroupSource: Consumer Survey by ATTA, Vital Wave Consulting & George Washington University
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
<20 21-‐40 41-‐70 >70
Adventure Traveler by Age GroupSource: ATTA Tour Operator Survey 2010
Younger adventure travelers book less often with tour operators than their older counterparts
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Traveler Demands
• They say they don’t want luxury, but there better be hot water and a good meal.
• They say they welcome risk and excitement… and they emphasize safety
• They don’t want to be labeled as exclusive… but they do want small groups and special one-of-a-kind experiences
• They say they want authenticity… and they want it guaranteed
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Emerging Markets Tourism Forecasts 5% growth per year compared to world average of 4%
Mill
ion
unwto.org/facts/eng/vision.htm
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 0
200
400
600
1000
800
1200
1400
1600
Actual Forecasts
1.6 bn
1 bn
694 mn
South Asia
Middle East
Africa
East Asia/Pacific
Americas
Europe
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Top markets as % of growth for major credit card company
• Seychelles • Sri Lanka • Lebanon • Ghana • Bangladesh • Tanzania • UAE • Ethiopia • Kuwait • Syria • Egypt • Uganda
14
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Emerging Markets: Products and Travelers of the Future
15
INDIA
CHINA
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Politics & Media: Emerging Destination Perspective
• New Zealand
• Mexico vs. Texas vs. Politicians
• Egypt
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Egypt – Tahrir Square
17
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Egypt According to
18
U.S. Embassy resumes normal operations in Egypt- April 29, 2011
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Destination Opportunities for Adventure Travel
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Destination Opportunities for Adventure Travel
Emerging Markets
Israel Latvia Romania Jordan Slovenia Bulgaria Czech Republic Estonia Chile Slovakia
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Destination Opportunities for Adventure Travel
Developed Countries
Switzerland Iceland New Zealand Canada Germany Sweden Ireland Norway Finland Austria
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Technology & Travel, Where We’re Headed
Connected Support for Guided and Self-Guided Trips
Carrier partners allow connection in global markets
Enable mobile purchases while travelling
Feature phone or smartphone depending on network capabilities in destination
Facilitate sharing during trip with secure mobile uploads
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Key Take-Aways
• Adventure will be a component of an increasing number of tourism experiences
• Emerging markets represent a source of new destination products and a source of travelers
© 2011 Vital Wave ConsultingTM Proprietary and Confidential: Do not copy or distribute.
Thank You!
For more information contact….
Shannon Stowell: [email protected]
Christina Heyniger: [email protected]