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1 Orrick Presentation How long will the music keep playing and what should an entrepreneurs strategy be in this environment September 23, 2014

What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

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It seems as though Silicon Valley has more money than it knows what to do with these days, but how long do we have until the trend of lofty valuations is over? Should you accrue funding in prep of a downturn? What does this mean for the cloud industry specifically?

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Page 1: What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

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Orrick Presentation How long will the music keep playing and what should an entrepreneurs strategy be in this environment

September 23, 2014

Page 2: What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

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The Cloud Market Has Bounded Back Nicely and Valuations are Rich

260%  

230%  

173%  160%  149%  

80%

100%

120%

140%

160%

180%

200%

220%

240%

260%

280% BVP  Cloud  Computing  Index38  Publicly  Traded  Cloud  CompaniesIndexed  as  of  Jan.  2011  |  @  9/19/14

BVP  Cloud  Index Nasdaq  Index S&P  Index Dow  Jones

Page 3: What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

Cloud Multiples are Lower Than Feb/Mar Levels But Still Healthy Compared to Historical Standards

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9.6x

4.8x

6.1x

2.0x

3.0x

4.0x

5.0x

6.0x

7.0x

8.0x

9.0x

10.0x

11.0x1/1/2012

2/1/20

123/1/20

12

4/1/20

125/1/20

12

6/1/20

127/1/20

12

8/1/20

12

9/1/20

1210

/1/201

2

11/1/201

212

/1/201

2

1/1/2013

2/1/20

133/1/20

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4/1/20

135/1/20

13

6/1/20

137/1/20

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8/1/2013

9/1/20

1310

/1/201

3

11/1/201

312

/1/201

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1/1/20

14

2/1/20

143/1/20

14

4/1/20

145/1/20

14

6/1/20

147/1/20

14

8/1/20

14

9/1/20

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NTM  Multiples  Over  Time

NTM  Multiples

Page 4: What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

Cloud Valuations Are Rich Compared To On-Prem Software

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Cloud On-­‐Prem

Total  Market  Cap  ($  in  mm) $159,731 $1,024,518

Median  2015  Revenue  ($  in  mm) $238 $5,951

Median  FCF  Margin 6.6% 25.1%

#  of  Companies 38 12

#  of  Companies  >$1bn  Market  Cap 23 12

2015  Revenue  Mut

Median 5.4x 3.8x

Low 1.0x 2.3x

High 16.2x 6.3x

Cloud includes the 38 public companies in the BVP Cloud Index.!On-Prem includes Adobe, Autodesk, CA, Citrix, EMC, IBM, Intuit, Microsoft, Oracle, Red Hat, SAP, VMware!

Page 5: What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

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Multiples Have Been Even Higher In the Private Markets

Page 6: What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

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300+ Great Cloud Companies Are Already At Escape Velocity

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You!!

Page 7: What does a tech bubble mean for the cloud market?

The Panel

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Byron Deeter !Bessemer!

Vik Singh !CEO/Co-Founder Infer!

Jason Green !Emergence Capital!

Godard Abel CEO/Founder SteelBrick !

Kirk Dunn !COO Cloudera!