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Alex Ortiz
• VP Marketing, QuanticMind
• Product Marketing, Salesforce
• Product, Rakuten / LinkShare
Justin Smith
• VP Data Science, QuanticMind
• VP of Analytics, Answers.com
• Manager of Analytics, NexTag
Marlin Gilbert
• VP Revenue, QuanticMind
• Industry Head, Google
• VP Business Development, Arcot
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Harnessing the data explosion in paid search marketing
Why data science?
What does a data scientist look like?
Data science infrastructure
Questions and Answers
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31%
63%70%
105%
Week 3 4 5 6
Not QuanticMind QuanticMind
Better performance
More revenue
More profit
More return on ad spend
Gross
Margin
% Lift
Wow!
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More competition
Publisher changes
Larger scaleand budgets
Dedicated teams
Mission criticalto any marketing strategy
2006 2015
Advertising bought
with algorithms
Automated auctions
100B Google searches/mo**
1.25B Facebook Mobile MAUs***
Huge reach:
consumers shift
to digital*
2.8B Internet users
5.2B Mobile phone users
$133B Internet ad spend
Micro targeting with
granular data
“red john varvatos size 10.5”
Bid: -21% on mobile,
SF-SOMA, 2:13 pm
Sources: *KPCB Internet Trends 2015
** thinkwithgoogle.com May 20015
*** MAUs=Monthly Active Users. http://investor.fb.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=908022
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Yesterday’s data
5 – 8 data points Every possible data point about a clickvs
Premature relationship of page views to purchase
probability
15
10
5
-20 -10 10 20 30 40 50 60
In depth seasonality and other insights
15
10
5
-20 -10 10 20 30 40 50 60
PUBLISHER PERFORMANCE EXTERNAL DRIVERS
Keyword Impressions Nasdaq Airport status
Match-type Clicks NYSE Sports calendar (US, UK)
Ads Minimum bid Fed interest rate Football
Placement Current bid Weather.com Soccer
Position Location Temperature Baseball
Slot Quality score Rain Basketball
Click-type Competition Humidity Holiday calendar
Landing page Zip code – demographic Events calendar
Time of day Tax Starbucks index
Day of week Education level Concerts (Live Nation)
Device Household income Competitive search
Marital status SEM Rush
Presence of children Keyword spy
Age SpyFu
Gender Google
ADVERTISER SEASONALITY
SCALING
FACTORS USER
Conversions Time Search engine Search query
Revenue Day of week Campaigns Device
LTV Month Keywords Geo/location
Revenue parameters Year Ad copy
Custom parameters Holidays
Business constraints
Other business metrics
Promotions
Today’s data
“Whether you’re doing business intelligence or building
products, if you don’t collect the data, you can’t use it.”
-DJ Patil
● U.S. Chief Data Scientist, White House Office of
Science and Technology Policy
● Advisor, QuanticMind
● Data Scientist in Residence, Greylock
● Head of Data Products, Chief Scientist, and Chief
Security Officer, LinkedIn
Source: O’reily Radar, “Building data science teams” by DJ Patil September 16, 2011
“The ability to take data—to be able to understand it,
to process it, to extract value from it, to visualize it, to
communicate it—that’s going to be a hugely
important skill in the next decades”
- Hal Varian, Google’s Chief Economist
Source: McKinsey&Company,“Hal Varian on how the Web challenges managers” January 2009
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Source: http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/09/building-data-science-teams.html?
Here is what DJ Patil looks for:
• Technical expertise
• Curiosity
• Storytelling
• Cleverness
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Source: http://radar.oreilly.com/2011/09/building-data-science-teams.html?
Typical Methodology
• Data science & analytics
• Machine learning & analytics
• Statistical & financial modelling
• Company-wide test & learn strategy implementation & support
• Relational & distributed data infrastructure design & deployment
VP of Growth & Data Science
Typical responsibilities
• Digital marketing (social media, affiliate, e-commerce, SEM)
• Marketing automation (algorithmic) & ad tech platform development
• Customer acquisition portfolio optimization
• Data driven customer satisfaction & UX improvement strategy
Justin Smith
• VP Data Science, QuanticMind
• VP of Analytics, Answers.com
• Manager of Analytics, NexTag
Marlin Gilbert
• VP Revenue, QuanticMind
• Industry Head, Google
• VP Business Development, Arcot
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Optimization
Predictive Analytics
Reporting/Monitoring
Data/Analytics Platform
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Data platforms
• Consolidation/Cloud
• Data democratization
• Data granularity
• Data latency
• 3rd party data: API’s GA, stock market, weather, special events …etc.
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Analytics platforms
• Robust software
• Automation/Error Checking
Software options
• SAS Institute
• R
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Parameter Estimate Standard Error t Value Pr > |t|
Intercept 0.1249 0.000352 354.49 <.0001
product_type 1 -0.0804 0.000252 -319.54 <.0001
product_type 2 -0.0199 0.000252 -78.95 <.0001
product_type 3 -0.0861 0.000252 -342.23 <.0001
product_type 4 0.0192 0.000268 71.57 <.0001
day_of_week 0 -0.0001 0.000239 -0.33 0.7386
day_of_week 1 -0.0162 0.000227 -71.68 <.0001
day_of_week 2 -0.0163 0.000226 -72.01 <.0001
day_of_week 3 -0.0165 0.000239 -69.08 <.0001
day_of_week 4 -0.0165 0.000239 -69.30 <.0001
day_of_week 5 -0.0001 0.000239 -0.50 0.6167
zip 1 0.0217 0.000304 71.39 <.0001
zip 2 0.0188 0.000304 61.95 <.0001
zip 3 0.0134 0.000334 40.20 <.0001
zip 4 0.0129 0.000304 42.49 <.0001
zip 5 0.0100 0.000304 32.77 <.0001
zip 6 0.0067 0.000304 22.18 <.0001
zip 7 0.0057 0.000334 17.17 <.0001
zip 8 0.0009 0.000304 2.86 0.0043
zip 9 -0.0017 0.000304 -5.59 <.0001
product_type*before_16 1 0 0.0115 0.000275 41.70 <.0001
product_type*before_16 2 0 0.0000 0.000274 -0.01 0.9945
product_type*before_16 3 0 -0.0003 0.000274 -1.10 0.2735
product_type*before_16 4 0 0.0482 0.000328 147.02 <.0001
product_type*before_16 5 0 -0.0004 0.000328 -1.16 0.2479
• Segment campaigns to take advantage of clustered hourly modifiers
• Maximize Revenue vs Maximize Dollar Margin
• Non-linear programming
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• Additional resources: QuanticMind.com/resources
– Blog posts: http://quanticmind.com/blog/
– Sign-up for performance marketing newsletter
– Register for QuanticMind Platform Live Demo
• E-mail: [email protected]
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