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Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events Amanda Lee Hughes & Leysia Palen ConnectivIT Lab University of Colorado at Boulder QuickTime™ and a TIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor are needed to see this picture.

Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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This presentation offers a descriptive account of Twitter (a micro-blogging service) across four high profile, mass convergence events—two emergency and two national security. We statistically examine how Twitter is being used surrounding these events, and compare and contrast how that behavior is different from more general Twitter use. Our findings suggest that Twitter messages sent during these types of events contain more displays of information broadcasting and brokerage, and we observe that general Twitter use seems to have evolved over time to offer more of an information-sharing purpose. We also provide preliminary evidence that Twitter users who join during and in apparent relation to a mass convergence or emergency event are more likely to become long-term adopters of the technology.

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Page 1: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and

Emergency Events

Amanda Lee Hughes & Leysia PalenConnectivIT Lab

University of Colorado at Boulder

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Page 2: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Overview

• Quantitative & Opportunistic study of Twitter in the late summer of 2008

• Examine use in four mass convergence events– 2 emergency

– 2 non-emergency

• Future research

Page 3: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Twitter

• Micro-blogging service• Short messages up to 140 characters • Messages (also known as tweets) can

be sent and retrieved through various means

• Over 3 million user accounts• Nearly 1 million messages sent per day

Page 4: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Events of Study August and September of 2008

• Democratic National Convention (DNC)– August 25-28, 2008– Denver, Colorado– Estimated attendance of 50,000

• Republican National Convention (RNC)– September 1-4, 2008– Saint Paul, Minnesota– Estimated attendance of 45,000

Page 5: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Events of Study August and September of 2008

• Hurricane Gustav– August 25-September 4, 2008– US Landfall near Cocodrie, Louisiana on

September 1, 2008– Nearly two million evacuated in the US

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Page 6: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Events of Study August and September of 2008

• Hurricane Ike– September 1-September 14, 2008– US Landfall at Galveston, Texas on

September 13, 2008– Mandatory evacuation of 160,000 in the US

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Page 7: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Event Timeline

Page 8: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Data Collection

Event Data Collection Timeframe

Search Terms # Tweets

Conventions

DNC 21 Aug 2008 – 28 Aug 2008

Denver, DNC 21,139

RNC 8 Aug 2008 – 4 Sep 2008

RNC, St Paul, Saint Paul

17,588

Hurricanes

Gustav 25 Aug 2008 – 4 Sep 2008

Gustav, hurricane 38,373

Ike 1 Sep 2008 – 14 Sep 2008

Ike, hurricane 59,963

Page 9: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Data Collection

• General Twitter Sample - to compare against our event specific data– Taken during our entire data collection timeframe,

August 21, 2008 – September 14, 2008.

– Of the approximately 27 million tweets sent during this time frame we randomly sampled 1%

– Tweets from our other data sets were included

Page 10: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Convention Daily Twitter Activity

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

21-Aug-0822-Aug-0823-Aug-0824-Aug-0825-Aug-0826-Aug-0827-Aug-0828-Aug-08

DNC

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

28-Aug-0829-Aug-0830-Aug-0831-Aug-081-Sep-082-Sep-083-Sep-084-Sep-08

RNC

Page 11: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Convention Daily Twitter Activity

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

21-Aug-0822-Aug-0823-Aug-0824-Aug-0825-Aug-0826-Aug-0827-Aug-0828-Aug-08

DNC

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

28-Aug-0829-Aug-0830-Aug-0831-Aug-081-Sep-082-Sep-083-Sep-084-Sep-08

RNC

Days of each convention

Page 12: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Hurricane Daily Twitter Activity

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

25-Aug-0826-Aug-0827-Aug-0828-Aug-0829-Aug-0830-Aug-0831-Aug-081-Sep-082-Sep-083-Sep-084-Sep-08

Gustav

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

1-Sep-082-Sep-083-Sep-084-Sep-085-Sep-086-Sep-087-Sep-088-Sep-089-Sep-0810-Sep-0811-Sep-0812-Sep-0813-Sep-0814-Sep-08

Ike

Page 13: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Hurricane Daily Twitter Activity

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

25-Aug-0826-Aug-0827-Aug-0828-Aug-0829-Aug-0830-Aug-0831-Aug-081-Sep-082-Sep-083-Sep-084-Sep-08

Gustav

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

# Tweets

1-Sep-082-Sep-083-Sep-084-Sep-085-Sep-086-Sep-087-Sep-088-Sep-089-Sep-0810-Sep-0811-Sep-0812-Sep-0813-Sep-0814-Sep-08

Ike

US Landfall US LandfallCuba Landfall

Page 14: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Number of Tweets Per User

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

DNCRNCGustavIke

Page 15: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Reply Tweet Example

“@miamiherald what did Gov. Crist say this morning about the Hurricane and Evacs? #Ike”

Page 16: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Reply Tweets

0

5

10

15

20

25

% ReplyTweets

DNCRNCGustavIkeGeneral

Page 17: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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URL Tweet Examples

“Hurricane Ike hampers relief effort in Haiti - guardian.co.uk

http://tinyurl.com/5qwkjo”

“For latest shelter info: http://www.msema.org/ #gustav”

Page 18: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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URL Tweets

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

% URL Tweets

DNC

RNC

Gustav

Ike

General

Page 19: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Adoption of Twitter

• Collected information about all the new users in each data set

• Examined how many tweets each new user had sent since the time of the original data collection

• Defined “active users” as those who have contributed one or more tweet every week

Page 20: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Adoption of Twitter

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

% Active Users

DNCRNCGustavIkeGeneral

Page 21: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Conclusions

• Twitter supports information broadcasting and brokerage.

• Preliminary evidence that those new Twitter users who join during and in apparent relation to a non-routine event are more likely to become long-term adopters of the technology.

Page 22: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Future Research

• This research serves as a baseline.• Twitter activity is changing.• Right now, we are looking at Twitter

activity around the recent Red River floods and Oklahoma fires. – Quantitative– Qualitative

Page 23: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Future Research

• Look for more to come soon...

Page 24: Twitter Adoption and Use in Mass Convergence and Emergency Events

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Thank You!

• This research has been supported by the National Science Foundation:

– NSF CAREER Grant IIS-0546315

• For more information about our research in Crisis Informatics:

– http://disaster.cs.colorado.edu/