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The Singularityand you
piero scaruffi
www.scaruffi.com
March 2015
"The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it" (Chinese proverb)
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Thinking about Thought(four volume reader of my UC Berkeley class)
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A History of Silicon Valley
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Intelligence is not Artificial
Why the Singularity is not Coming any Time Soon & other Meditations on the Post-Human Condition and the Future
of Intelligence
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The Singularity Debate
Good, Irving John: "Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine" (1964)
Moravec, Hans: "Mind Children" (1988)
Vinge, Vernon: "The Singularity" (1993)
Kurzweil, Ray: "The Singularity Is Near" (2005)
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Ray Kurzweil at the Singularity University
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Progress in A.I.
1997: IBM's "Deep Blue" chess machine beats the world's chess champion, Garry Kasparov
2003: Hiroshi Ishiguro's Actroid, a robot that looks like a young woman
2006: Geoffrey Hinton's Deep Belief Networks (a fast learning algorithm for restricted Boltzmann machines)
2008: Adrian Bowyer's 3D Printer builds a copy of itself at the University of Bath
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Progress in A.I.
2011: IBM's Watson debuts on a tv show
2012: Google’s software learns to find cat videos
2014: Vladimir Veselov's and Eugene Demchenko's program Eugene Goostman, which simulates a 13-year-old Ukrainian boy, passes the Turing test at the Royal Society in London
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Progress in A.I.
2014: Deep Knowledge Ventures (Hong Kong) appoints an algorithm to its board of directors
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The Singularity
Ray Kurzweil’s predictions• Infinite life extension: “Medical technology
will be more than a thousand times more advanced than it is today… every new year of research guaranteeing at least one more year of life expectancy”* (2022)
• Precise computer simulations of all regions of the human brain (2027)
• Small computers will have the same processing power as human brains (2029)
• 2030s: Mind uploading - humans become software-based
• 2045: The Singularity9* recently postponed to 2040
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The Singularity
Ray Kurzweil’s predictions
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To be worried or not to be worried? (Hamlet 2015)
Demystifying A.I.A.I. is everything that machines can't doWhen a machine does it, then it is no
longer A.I. (John McCarthy)Demonizing A.I.
Elon Musk: “The human race’s biggest existential threat”
Stephen Hawking: “The end of the human race”
Piero: “What we understand is not enough to understand why we understand it”
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The Singularity?
Five arguments against the Singularity
1. Reality Check
2. Accelerating Progress?
3. Non-human Intelligence
4. Human Intelligence
5. A Critique of the Turing Test
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The Singularity?
More:
Slideshare -> Scaruffi -> Artificial Intelligence and the Singularity (200 slides)
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