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1© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential
Tech Framework for e-Inclusion
Prakash Kumar
Cisco Internet Business Solutions Group
e-Revolution Chandigarh September, 2011
2© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Steam Engine Railway Electricity Automobiles ICT
3© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Exchange of Goods and Information and Growth of Cities
Along the rivers
4© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Then Cities Grew Along Railway Routes
5© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Exchange of Goods and Information and Growth of Cities
Along the rivers
Along Railways Routes
Along Major Highways
When information can come to your premises?–How has it disrupted the traditional way of doing business?
–What should we do to leverage it for our development (industry, society, government etc)
–How does it lead to inclusion?
6© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Globally, NBN has proved itself as a catalyst for overall economic competitiveness
Co-relation of national broadband penetration to economic competitiveness
Broadband penetration, 2010 (% PP)
Global competi-tivenessindex1
1. WEF index based on a range of parameters – economic, technology, social, etc.SOURCE: OECD, Pyramid Research, World Economic Forum, IBSG SP Analysis
Germany, USA, Sweden, Austria, Japan
Correlation coefficient= 0.77
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%3.6
4.1
4.6
5.1
5.6
Philippines, India , Indonesia, Vietnam,
• While high correlation does not imply causality, several studies have demonstrated the impact of NBN on economic growth
• For example, The World Bank and OECD estimate 1.2-1.4% economic growth for every 10% increase in penetration
7© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
0
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
Coverage target (% HH covered)
Speed target (Mbps)
Considering its significance, huge investments have been made or planned on National Broadband Network programs worldwide
NBN coverage, speed offered and extent of government spend
Singapore (~$1B)Japan
South Korea (~$1.5B)
Malaysia
Brazil Lithuania
Germany
NZFrance
20 10040 60 80
Australia (~$25B)USA
(~$7B)
FinlandEstonia
SlovakiaAustria
UK
Spain
Greece
Various models of govt. engagement/ funding (low-Sweden vs. high-Australia)
Bubble size= Govt. spend
1. Per TRAI report, investt. of Rs. 28K-60K croresSOURCE: EIU, TRAI, OECD, Cisco IBSG SP analysis
India (~$6-12B1)
Bangladesh ($ 450 mil)
8© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Internet: The Next Highway
Internet is the next river of information and knowledge
Should its penetration remain at 7%?
Even where available its quality is like our rural roads/state highways
NoFN plans to cover 250,000 Panchayats by 2014
What about our cities where Internet is not available in all localities? Cities and Towns where SMBs are located.
Should it be left to Telephone companies?
9© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
SMBs: How ICT helps them
SMBs Need Where ICT can play a role
Raw materialElectricityTrained manpower/Training √
Access to market/capital/Raw Matl √
Improved processes √
Automation of internal as well external interface (CRM/HR/ERP etc)
√
10© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Broadband is the New Critical City Infrastructure
1. Infrastructure that provides intelligence
2. Infrastructure that is used intelligently
3. Infrastructure which is as important as Bijli, Sadak and Paani.
4. Physical and virtual environment are intertwined
5. Location freedom of social and economic activities
11© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
1 Trillion
2004 20092005 2006 2007 2008 2011 2012 20132010
Evolution of the internetSource: Forrester Research, Cisco
400M devices connected - cars, buildings, hospitals, schools, government…everything is connected!
300 Million Device
Everything is Connected
12© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
4 key areas enabled by High Bandwidth Internet
SOURCE: IDA, Dept of IT of South Korea, Singapore, Argentina, Cisco IBSG SP analysis
Human capital development
Infrastructure development
InfotainmentAnd Service Delivery
• Remote delivery of education• Job opportunities• Skills enhancement• Remote access to healthcare
• Smart cities/ smart grids• Transportation management• Remote access to utility needs
• Information and best practice sharing (ranging from e.g., financial services, e-governance, agri-techniques)
• Entertainment (e.g., IPTV, local radio content)
Example country
Innovation
DescriptionEnabler
• Connected home/ office/ communities (researchers, product development, anytime anywhere/ anytime collaboration)
• South Korea, Singapore, Malaysia
• USA, Singapore, Switzerland, Germany
• Argentina, Philippines
• Singapore, Japan, South Korea
13© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Cities realize importance of ICT & smart cities
14© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
15© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Fiber to the Home Investment Example First Year
Source: Corning, FTTH Council Europe.
6%
2%3%
9%12%
68%
Civil Works
FO Cable
Hardware
Other Services
Installation
Actives
16© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
17© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Equal access Utility
Access, services and content
Active network (backbone & access)
Passive network (ducts, dark fiber)
Opco
Netco utility or
orchestrated PPP
RSP RSP RSP
Opco +
NetCo (single entity)
RSP RSP RSP
Example • Singapore, France
• Australia, Brazil, South Africa
• Malaysia
1 3
SOURCE: Cisco IBSG SP analysis
Risk leverage
Selected operating models for NBN
Operating model
Passive infrastructure
Opco +
RSP
Netco utility or PPP
Opco +
RSP
Opco+
RSP
2
Vertically integrated
Netco +
OpCo +
RSP(single entity)
• Korea, Japan
4
Equal access backed by govt. led SPV/ utility model potentially more relevant for India, considering low monetization capability/ need for high market shaping (rural areas)
Requirement for market shaping
18© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
What Next
Punjab, which led green revolution and SMB revolution should lead this
revolution as well
E-enable its SMB in particular and people in general creating Smart and Connected
Communities
EnvironmentalProtecting the world
for future generations
EconomicContinuous job and
business growth
Running a Village, City, Community, Country, the World on Networked Information
SocialEnhanced quality of
life for citizens
Sustainability Services Delivered by Technology
Smart+Connected Communities
20© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Retail School
Sports & Leisure
Travel
Health
OfficeHome
COMMUNITY+CONNECT(Citizen Services)
Government
Telecom Utilities Safety & Security
Building Emergency Response
Transportation
COMMUNITY+EXCHANGE(Integrated Operations Centers)
SERVICE DELIVERY PLATFORM
Smart+Connected Communities
21© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group
Smart+Connected CommunitiesService Delivery Platform + Smart Solutions
Connected Real Estate
Connected Utilities
Connected Transportation
Connected Citizen Services
Connected Safety and
Security
Smart Solutions
Partner Solutions
CitizenService Provider
BusinessCity/Provincial/Federal
Government
22© 2007 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco ConfidentialCisco ConfidentialCisco IBSG © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Internet Business Solutions Group