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Smart machines The Next Hype © Immo Salo

Smart Machines Sep 2014

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Gartner says that the era of Smart Machines will be the most disruptive in the history of IT. Will it be the next big hype?

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Page 1: Smart Machines Sep 2014

Smart machinesThe Next Hype© Immo Salo

Page 2: Smart Machines Sep 2014

The Smart Machine era will be the most disruptive in the history of IT.Gartner Oct 2013

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Definition of Smart Machines● Observes surrounding environment● Tests hypotheses and learns● Autonomous behavior● Probabilistic decision making● Predicts the future with models● Built for certain purpose● Understands relationships

Gartner: Jul 2014, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4kfdkCFQ2g

+ wow effect from humans

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Categories of Smart Machines● Movers

○ Example: Boston Dynamics “Big Dog”

● Doers○ Example: Rething Robotics “Baxter”

● Sages○ Example: IBM “Watson”

IBM: Oct 2013, http://www.ibmbigdatahub.com/blog/rise-smart-machines-nothing-fear-now-austin

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Movers

Boston Dynamics: http://www.bostondynamics.com/img/BigDog_Overview.pdf

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Doers

Rething robotics: http://www.rethinkrobotics.com/baxter/

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Sages

IBM: http://www.ibm.com/smarterplanet/us/en/ibmwatson/what-is-watson.html

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Role of Smart Machines● Assist people● Advise people● Observe and help people● Extend people

● Replace people...

IBM: Oct 2013, http://www.ibmbigdatahub.com/blog/rise-smart-machines-nothing-fear-now-austin

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The Future of Employment

Oxford Martin School: Sep 2013, http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf

“According to our estimate, 47 percent of total US employment is in the high risk category, meaning that associated occupations are potentially automatable over some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two“The future of employment: how suspectible are jobs to computerisation?Frey & Osborne, Oxford Martin School

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Cloud Computing is the brains behind Smart Machines

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The Role of Cloud Computing● Cloud Computing is an enabler of Smart Machines

“Imagine a robot that finds an object that it's never seen or used before—say, a plastic cup. The robot could simply send an image of the cup to the cloud and receive back the object’s name, a 3-D model, and instructions on how to use it”J. Kuffner, Google

IEEE: Jan 2011, http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/robotics-software/cloud-robotics

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Advanced Analytics provides wisdom

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The Role of Big Data● Analytics is what makes machines smart, cloud

provides processing power and services“Dremel can scan 35 billion rows without an index in tens of seconds. Dremel, the cloud-powered massively parallel query service, shares Google’s infrastructure, so it can parallelize each query and run it on tens of thousands of servers simultaneously. You can see the economies of scale inherent in Dremel. An Inside Look at Google BigQuery

https://cloud.google.com/files/BigQueryTechnicalWP.pdf

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The Role of Big Data● Advaced Analytics helps to model and predict the

future“Machine learning–mining historical data with computer systems to predict future trends or behavior–touches more and more lives every day. Search engines, online recommendations, ad targeting, virtual assistants, demand forecasting, fraud detection, spam filters–machine learning powers all these modern services. But these uses barely scratch the surface of what's possible. Microsoft Azure Machine Learning

http://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/services/machine-learning/

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www.smartmachines.fi twitter.com/immon

What next?● Innovations

● Investments

● Creative destruction

● New skills needed