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Gartner says that the era of Smart Machines will be the most disruptive in the history of IT. Will it be the next big hype?
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Smart machinesThe Next Hype© Immo Salo
The Smart Machine era will be the most disruptive in the history of IT.Gartner Oct 2013
Definition of Smart Machines● Observes surrounding environment● Tests hypotheses and learns● Autonomous behavior● Probabilistic decision making● Predicts the future with models● Built for certain purpose● Understands relationships
Gartner: Jul 2014, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4kfdkCFQ2g
+ wow effect from humans
Categories of Smart Machines● Movers
○ Example: Boston Dynamics “Big Dog”
● Doers○ Example: Rething Robotics “Baxter”
● Sages○ Example: IBM “Watson”
IBM: Oct 2013, http://www.ibmbigdatahub.com/blog/rise-smart-machines-nothing-fear-now-austin
Movers
Boston Dynamics: http://www.bostondynamics.com/img/BigDog_Overview.pdf
Doers
Rething robotics: http://www.rethinkrobotics.com/baxter/
Sages
IBM: http://www.ibm.com/smarterplanet/us/en/ibmwatson/what-is-watson.html
Role of Smart Machines● Assist people● Advise people● Observe and help people● Extend people
● Replace people...
IBM: Oct 2013, http://www.ibmbigdatahub.com/blog/rise-smart-machines-nothing-fear-now-austin
The Future of Employment
Oxford Martin School: Sep 2013, http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf
“According to our estimate, 47 percent of total US employment is in the high risk category, meaning that associated occupations are potentially automatable over some unspecified number of years, perhaps a decade or two“The future of employment: how suspectible are jobs to computerisation?Frey & Osborne, Oxford Martin School
Cloud Computing is the brains behind Smart Machines
The Role of Cloud Computing● Cloud Computing is an enabler of Smart Machines
“Imagine a robot that finds an object that it's never seen or used before—say, a plastic cup. The robot could simply send an image of the cup to the cloud and receive back the object’s name, a 3-D model, and instructions on how to use it”J. Kuffner, Google
IEEE: Jan 2011, http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/robotics-software/cloud-robotics
Advanced Analytics provides wisdom
The Role of Big Data● Analytics is what makes machines smart, cloud
provides processing power and services“Dremel can scan 35 billion rows without an index in tens of seconds. Dremel, the cloud-powered massively parallel query service, shares Google’s infrastructure, so it can parallelize each query and run it on tens of thousands of servers simultaneously. You can see the economies of scale inherent in Dremel. An Inside Look at Google BigQuery
https://cloud.google.com/files/BigQueryTechnicalWP.pdf
The Role of Big Data● Advaced Analytics helps to model and predict the
future“Machine learning–mining historical data with computer systems to predict future trends or behavior–touches more and more lives every day. Search engines, online recommendations, ad targeting, virtual assistants, demand forecasting, fraud detection, spam filters–machine learning powers all these modern services. But these uses barely scratch the surface of what's possible. Microsoft Azure Machine Learning
http://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/services/machine-learning/
www.smartmachines.fi twitter.com/immon
What next?● Innovations
● Investments
● Creative destruction
● New skills needed