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Richard Lester Presentation 2014 Council meeting.
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Science, Systems and Society:��� An Integrated Education in Nuclear
Science and Engineering
Professor Richard K. Lester Head, Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
69th Annual Meeting of the ORAU Council of Sponsoring Institutions Oak Ridge, Tennessee
March 5-6, 2014
Decomposition of U.S. CO2 emissions reductions, 2005-12
2013 Economic Report of the President, p. 196
CO2 emissions and GDP per capita
CO2 em iss ions and GDP per capita (1980-‐2005)
USA
France
J apan
China
Brazil
Ireland
S . Korea
India
Australia
Russ ia
Canada
S audi Arabia
Norway
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000GDP per capita (PPP, constant 2005 international $)
CO
2 em
ission
s pe
r ca
pita (tCO
2)
USAUKFranceJ apanChinaBrazilIrelandMexicoMalays iaS . KoreaGreeceIndiaAustraliaRuss iaThailandCanadaGermanyS audi ArabiaIranVenezuelaNigeriaAlgeriaNorway
Source: DOE EIA database (2008) Russia data 1992-2005, Germany data 1991-2005
S. Koonin, “America’s Changing Energy Future”, August 2013
CO2 emissions and GDP per capita
CO2 em iss ions and GDP per capita (1980-‐2005)
USA
France
J apan
China
Brazil
Ireland
S . Korea
India
Australia
Russ ia
Canada
S audi Arabia
Norway
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000GDP per capita (PPP, constant 2005 international $)
CO
2 em
ission
s pe
r ca
pita (tCO
2)
USAUKFranceJ apanChinaBrazilIrelandMexicoMalays iaS . KoreaGreeceIndiaAustraliaRuss iaThailandCanadaGermanyS audi ArabiaIranVenezuelaNigeriaAlgeriaNorway
Source: DOE EIA database (2008) Russia data 1992-2005, Germany data 1991-2005
S. Koonin, “America’s Changing Energy Future”, August 2013
CO2 emissions and GDP per capita
CO2 em iss ions and GDP per capita (1980-‐2005)
USA
France
J apan
China
Brazil
Ireland
S . Korea
India
Australia
Russ ia
Canada
S audi Arabia
Norway
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000GDP per capita (PPP, constant 2005 international $)
CO
2 em
ission
s pe
r ca
pita (tCO
2)
USAUKFranceJ apanChinaBrazilIrelandMexicoMalays iaS . KoreaGreeceIndiaAustraliaRuss iaThailandCanadaGermanyS audi ArabiaIranVenezuelaNigeriaAlgeriaNorway
Source: DOE EIA database (2008) Russia data 1992-2005, Germany data 1991-2005
S. Koonin, “America’s Changing Energy Future”, August 2013
Today
CO2 emissions and GDP per capita
CO2 em iss ions and GDP per capita (1980-‐2005)
USA
France
J apan
China
Brazil
Ireland
S . Korea
India
Australia
Russ ia
Canada
S audi Arabia
Norway
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000GDP per capita (PPP, constant 2005 international $)
CO
2 em
ission
s pe
r ca
pita (tCO
2)
USAUKFranceJ apanChinaBrazilIrelandMexicoMalays iaS . KoreaGreeceIndiaAustraliaRuss iaThailandCanadaGermanyS audi ArabiaIranVenezuelaNigeriaAlgeriaNorway
Source: DOE EIA database (2008) Russia data 1992-2005, Germany data 1991-2005
S. Koonin, “America’s Changing Energy Future”, August 2013
Today
Average emissions in 2050 (ΔT<~2°C)
Average emissions in 2050 (ΔT~3°C)
*Assumes economic growth rate of 2%/yr per capita, 2010-2050
Mechanical Engineering Sept. 09
11/20/13
CO2 emissions and GDP per capita
CO2 em iss ions and GDP per capita (1980-‐2005)
USA
France
J apan
China
Brazil
Ireland
S . Korea
India
Australia
Russ ia
Canada
S audi Arabia
Norway
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000GDP per capita (PPP, constant 2005 international $)
CO
2 em
ission
s pe
r ca
pita (tCO
2)
USAUKFranceJ apanChinaBrazilIrelandMexicoMalays iaS . KoreaGreeceIndiaAustraliaRuss iaThailandCanadaGermanyS audi ArabiaIranVenezuelaNigeriaAlgeriaNorway
Source: DOE EIA database (2008) Russia data 1992-2005, Germany data 1991-2005
S. Koonin, “America’s Changing Energy Future”, August 2013
* For nuclear, the 11-year period of most rapid scale-up; for solar and wind, the most recent 11-year period.
Scale-up of low-carbon electricity (added MWh/year per person)
