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The Near Future for Connected Transport
.… from Self-Driving Cars to the Hyperloop
Professor John MilesUniversity of Cambridge
Department of Engineering
Why do people sit in traffic jams?
User Appeal
SpontaneityConvenience (door to door)
Price (at the point of use)
ComfortPrivacy & Security
In Short ……
Better
5
Providing a Better SolutionTo become the preferred choice, our system must outperform the current ‘best’:
Spontaneous availability
Door-to-door service
Reliability
Competitive price
Attractive space
Passenger-kms 90% Freight (tonne-km) 68%(LGV’s are the fastest growing
segment in all DfT’s future scenarios)
The Current ‘Best’
Put it on the Railway?
8% Passenger (pass-kms)9% Freight (tonne-kms)
90% Passenger (pass-kms)68% Freight (tonne-kms)
Cars, vans & taxisBuses & Coachs,
Motorcycles
Rail Air (UK internal flights)
Pedal cycles
billion passenger km
224,000 miles of UK road network
(29,000 miles of main roads/motorways)
………. 10,000 miles of railway
Road & Rail Infrastructure
9,000 passengers/hour
each direction
10,000 passengers/hour
each direction
£30M/mile£50M/mile
The Future of Mobility?
(WCML Upgrade
£8bn)
£30M/mile£50M/mile
9,000 passengers/hour
each direction
10,000 passengers/hour
each direction
This train is full
The Future of Mobility?
£30M/mile£50M/mile
9,000 passengers/hour
each direction
10,000 passengers/hour
each direction
But we could increase These occupancy levelsThis is already full
The Future of Mobility?
How much ‘Headroom’ Exists in our Strategic Road Network?
(225,000miles)
1. Reduce Minor Incidents
• 2,000 fatalities• 20,000 serious injuries
• 200,000 minor injuries• 2,000,000 ‘fender benders’
80%Inattention
30%Congestion
2. Increase Lane Occupancy
‘Normal’ Vehicles
Autonomous Vehicles
• Overall, 25% ‘headroom’ is not an unreasonable expectation
• We could, quite likely, get considerably more on high speed roads (x2?)
Conclusions
3. Capacity Matching
Capacity Matching
4 passengers350g
CO2/pass.km 7 passengers200g
CO2/pass.km4 passengers
60gCO2/pass.km
Capacity Matching
We need a scalable bus!
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Cloud-based booking and billing
Spontaneous on-demand booking service
Comfortable, reliable, journey
Arrival within a guaranteed timeframe
On-Demand Systems
£30M/mile£50M/mile
9,000 passengers/hour
each direction
60,000 passengers/hour
each direction
Now with increased occupancy levelsAlready full
40g CO2/pass-km
25g CO2/pass-km
The Future of Mobility?
20g CO2/pass. km
15g CO2/pass. km
10gCO2/pass. km
The Future of Mobility?
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So …… Can we Provide a Better Solution?
L-SATS (Low Speed Autonomous Transport Systems)
• Driverless• 120mph, all-electric• 46 capacity, all seated• Vehicles couple together - variable capacity
The ‘Bullet’
The Mobile Venue
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Providing a Better SolutionTo become the preferred choice, our system must outperform the current ‘best’:
Spontaneous availability
Door-to-door service
Reliability
Competitive price
Attractive space
Strategic Bus
Tactical Bus
On-Demand-Bus
Taxi
L-SATS (Driverless Pods)
Integrated Public Transport Systems
Strategic Bus
Tactical Bus
On-Demand-Bus
Taxi
L-SATS (Driverless Pods)
Integrated Public Transport Systems
Voluntary Demand Management
