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Determine theProbability by sample
If S is a sample space and A is an event in the sample space, then the probability of A happening is:
P(A)=
Range of probability value is: 0 P(A) 1P(A) = 1 is called a certain eventP(A) = 0 is called an impossible event
)(
)(
Sn
An
Example :
Look at the event of dice throwing.
The outcomes possibility are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6.
So the sample space is S= {1,2,3,4,5,6}
Suppose the outcomes of even spots dice is E={2,4,6}.
The number of set E is denoted by n(E),
so n(E)=3
We use the way as follow:
S= {1,2,3,4,5,6} , so n(S) = 6
E= {2,4,6} , so n(E)= 3
P(E)=2
1
6
3
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Sn
En
EXERCISE
there is a dice that will be tossed. Determine the probability of appearing:
a. 2
b. Numbers in a dice that less than 4
c. 7
d. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6
Expected frequency of an event is a probability
that is done in many times. If A is an event of
an experiment and this experiment is done n
times then the probability of event A in n
experiments is :
Expected frequency
nAPAFh )()(
Example :
1. A coin which consists of the number side and the picture sidetossed 100 times. How many the probability of appearing number side?Answer : If the coin is tossed 1 time, the probability of appearing picture side is 1 / 2. Because the probability of appearing of picture side for 1 time tossed is 1 / 2, then for tossed 100 times, we will get:
501002
1)(
)()(
AF
nAPAF
h
h