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Weaving IT into the economic fabric…a report card
Presentation to the
Chief Executive and Cabinet
December 2001
Salman Ansari
Advisor, IT and Telecom
Summary
Progress made since March 2000
Future Directions
This presentation is subsequent to the presentation of IT Policy, draft Telecom deregulation policy and initiation of Higher education reform
Vision and objectives
Weave Technology into the fabric of the economy
Permeate IT into the social fabric –help make the nation smarter and more informed
Address the induction of IT in making the government more efficient and improve the delivery of services to the citizens
Targets and time lines
Focused actions to enable maximum objectives to be realized by Oct 12, 2002
Short and Long term results
Some Tangible Results
Progress
December 2001
August 14, 200029 Cities
Nov, 2001: 536 locations
83% of the population
Bandwidth Available
Operative Data bandwidth
-50
100150200250300
Jan-
96
Jul-9
6
Jan-
97Ju
l-97
Jan-
98
Jul-9
8Ja
n-99
Jul-9
9Ja
n-00
Jul-0
0
Jan-
01Ju
l-01
Jan-
02
Mb/
s
Operative Data bandwidth
today
Start point
August 2000: 32 Mb/s Sept 2001: 265 Mb/s
Plummeting costs….
Cost /E1
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Mar-00
May-00
Jul-00
Sep-00Nov-0
0Jan-01Mar-0
1May-0
1
US
$
Cost /E1
Start point
Today
June 2000: US$ 87,000/E1 July 2001: US$ 6,000
Internet user growth
Internet users
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Jan-9
5Ja
n-96
Jan-9
7Ja
n-98
Jan-9
9Ja
n-00
Jan-0
1Ja
n-02
Internet users
Start point
Today
June 2000: 130,000 Oct 2001: 810,000
Actual users more than 3
Million!
Capturing the imagination
International Voice communications (circuits)
International circuits
-2,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,000
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
International circuits
Start point
Today
International connectivity for voice
up by 50% over the last 54 years
June 2000: 5,000 Sept 2001: 8,000
432 cities on the Internet
2002
Iran
Afghanistan
India
China
200 cities on Fibre
200 Cities on Optical Fibre – up from 100, one year
ago
Cellular explosion
Cellular Users
-
200,000
400,000
600,000800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Cel
lula
r Use
rs
Cellular Users
Start point
Today
CPP
Multiplied 400% in the last 10 months as compared to the
whole of the last 11 years
Jan 2001: 225,000 Sept 2001: 810,000
Reaching the grass roots
Financial performance PTCL2000 2001
Revenues 58.6 62 Billion RsNet Profits 13.3 18.2 Billion RsPayment to Goverment
19.2 26.1 Billion Rs
Earning per share 2.6 3.6 RupeesReturn on equity 21% 25%Dividend 2.3% 2.4%Number of employees 55,000 55,000Net profit per employee 239 325
The private sector
CellularFour operators, gross investment US$ 970 Million, target growth: 2 Million users in next 12 months
Internet and Data85 operators, Gross investment US$ 190 Million, target
Payphones12 operators,
Prepaid cardsFinancial Contribution to PTCL’s revenues: Rs. 12 Billion
Educate & Train….
‘..the glass is half full…”
Proliferation of IT training institutesAt the very least it has saved the government billions of rupees in training costs and motivating people to learn to use computersBuilding on this base
Net Impact…
Ghari Hassu
Education
Setting up 7 new IT universities in the next two years
Sindh: Korangi, KarachiBaluchistan: QuettaNWFP: AbbotabadPunjab: Raiwind, LahoreVirtual UniversityComsatsFAST
IT Faculty training programs
Software and IT support
Software Technology Parks Training of 25,000 public and private sector people over the last 12 monthsMedical and legal transcriptionNew comprehensive training programs for IT enabled services
Information Technology and
Software
December 2001
Vision & strategy - reviewsoftware export
Lessons from the dot-com crashNot affected since strategy was not primarily based just on exports
World IT market US$ 560 BUS$ 400 B IT enabled services
• Call centers, transcription, out sourced and back office services, software testing
• Very short take off times
US$ 160 B Software Development• Relatively long gestation times
Thrust on Domestic market development
Outsourcing and creation of projects
Direction and strategy
International Partnering initiatives with Pakistanis abroad
Incubators
Baseline study
Sector studies – e.g call centers
Co-location initiatives for services
GIS mapping and document conversion
Out sourcing and back office work
Direction and strategy
Domestic market stimulationCE’s directive for local software companiesRole of Task forces - TReMU and the public private sector coordinationFederal and provincial government’s to generate orders for automationEducational networks and initiatives –networkFinancial networksE-commerce and e-government initiatives
Demand generation
ISO 9000 certification supportNeeded for international recognition and market access
Specialized training for niche markets and large manpower needs
Support for SMEs (Industries) in terms of subsidizing Automation by local software houses
Investments
December 2001
Road Blocks…
Road Blocks…
Private Sector Investments
(excluding public spending) :Jan-June 2001 and announced for 2002 Rupees converted to Million US$and merged with FDI9
Company Investment
2000/01
Investment
2001/02
Sector
1
2
3
4
5
6
IT education149Informatics, APTECH, APIIT, etc
Franchisees:IBM, Oracle, Cisco, etc
Align
Mathtech, awaz, Ascot-Drumond, other startups
IT Education
Sapura
?
Dadabhoy –Institute, Internet City
4
7
5
It enabled services
-
2
20
12
86
Outsourced software development
19
Kiosks, IT Centers
Facilities, education
Private Sector Investments
(excluding public spending) :Jan-June 2001 and announced for 2002 Rupees converted to Million US$and merged with FDI
Company Investment
2000/01
Investment
2001/02
Sector
1
2
3
4
5
Wireless access
5050Instaphone
Paktel
Mobilink
Wireless access
World Call
20
Supernet, Cybernet,
Other ISPs
-
40 Wireless Access
17
12
100
88
Total 146
16
425
Cable internet
Internet, ASPs, etc
E-governmentVision and Objectives
■ Service to Citizen
■ Internal Efficiency &
Effectiveness
■ Transparency
■ Spur local IT industry
Selection of projects
High feasibility
High visibility
Easy to replicate
Commonality and multiple utility
Coordinating and catalyzing
December 2001
Coordination of Efforts neededDatabases
Multiple databases“Newer” :NADRA, NRB, PBM…
Existing : PTCL, WAPDA, Banks..
Standards being followed
Interfaces and links
Languages – English, Urdu, Sindhi,
Coordination of Efforts GIS
NADRA
NRB
PTCL
Survey of Pakistan
C4I
Army Survey Group
Private sector
Many, many, more initiatives
The Citizen…
Economic and Social
impact
IT works!
Telemedicine projectsTele-surgery, tele-psychaitry, tele-dermatology, Health and Medical portal
Women in ITEducation, specialized training, Entrepreneurship programs,
It really does…!
LegislationIT laws, VC regulation, IPR laws,
AgricultureGIS program, Crop forecasting
IT and Poverty AlleviationIntegrated programs
The divide
The divide?
The princesses of badr
50,000 low cost computers for schools and colleges all over
Pakistan
Bring Computers and Internet to the remotest areas
Accessibility
Urdu and Regional language softwareInternet Kiosks
Airports, Railway stations
Cyber cafes, Internet community centers
Rural areas 100 locations
PSO - 1800 Petrol Pumps all over PakistanPost office project – 435 locations
The Virtual University
To get quality education to the remotest areas
Optimize use of scarce resources of faculty
Synergy with the Poverty Alleviation programForward links – TV terrestrial and SatelliteReverse Links – Internet
The Virtual University
Educational Optical Fibre backbone
direct access• 60
Universities• 2500 schools
and colleges
Upto 10,000 institutions via dial up IntranetTwo Content Server nodes 432 cities on the Internet
2002
Iran
Afghanistan
India
China
200 cities on Fibre
Telecommunications
Biggest growth area
Projected Middle Eastern inter-regional traffic, cumulative 1999-2005*
North America
Western Europe and CIS
Middle East
Asia58 Gbps20 Gbps
27 Gbps
11 Gbps
* Source: Ovum Ltd.
Wireless and TelecommunicationsInvestment forecast
The most important investment scenario for Investments into Pakistan over the next 3-4 yearsPotential of over US$ 10-15 B
(Sri Lanka example of $ 2.8 B for one region)
Must be coherently tackled
PAKSAT project…1
After the CE’s directive to move expeditiously
Advertised Internationally for an Expression of Interest for companies to participateAdvertised for international consultants
Meetings with stake holdersDirection
Short termLong term
PAKSAT project…1
Issues surfaced after Sept 1113 companies respondedConsultant hiredShort Term plan given inputs at meeting at SPDDiscussions underway with
Inter-sputnik – RussiaUS companiesEuropean companies
Target for next step Dec 17 for issuing RFPs to interested partiesOn track so far
National Strategic Optical Fiber Network Along Motorway
New Undersea Optical Fibre
LegendExisting SMW 3Existing FLAGProposed new spurBranch Units
Multi-service VSAT
Afghanistan…..
Support and synergiesTelecommunications•Reconstruction
•Satellite – Rural and emergency communications
•Wireless access
Training and IT education
1
4
3
26
5
Chârîkâr
Mehtar Lām
Asādābād
Baglān
Place Administrative Division
Pop. 2001
Kābul Kâbul 2,080.0Qandahār Qandahar 329.3Mazār-e Šarīf Balkh 232.8Čārīkār Parwân 191.0Herāt Herât 161.7Jalālābād Nangarhâr 154.2Mehtar Lām Lagmân 118.5Qalceh-ye Naw Bâdgîs 115.2Baglān Baglân 114.2Qundūz Qundûz 111.2Asādābād Kunar 101.6Gardez Paktiyâ 99.5
1
2
MTX & Gateway
MTX
BTS homed to MTX
Map is for illustrative purposes onlyAfghanistan Network deployment concepts
• Kabul – DMS MTX & GMP for Mobile/ International/ PBX – Voice & Data Service
• DMS MTX’s in next 5 cities (suggested cities based on Population & location)
• BTS-only cities to extend coverage while minimising cost – then road coverage
1
2
Multi-service VSAT
24 months ago….
Today once again…
