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Lecture L12 THE RISE OF THE MACHINE

New Technology Lecture L12 The Rise of the Machine

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Did you know that the term "Computer" once meant a profession? And what did people or computers actually do? They computed mathematical problems. Some problems were tedious and error prone. And it is not surprising that people started to develop machines to aid in the effort. The first mechanical computers were actually created to get rid of errors in human computation. Then came tabulating machines and cash registers. It was not until telephone companies were well established that computing machines became practical. First computers were huge mainframes, but soon minicomputers like DEC’s PDP started to appear. The transistor was introduced in 1947, but its usefulness was not truly realized until in 1958 when the integrated circuit was invented. This led to the invention of the microprocessor. Intel, in 1971, marketed the 4004 – and the personal computer revolution started. One of the first Personal Computers was MITS’ Altair. This was a simple device and soon others saw the opportunities. In this lecture we start our coverage of computing and look at some of the early machines and the impact they had.

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Page 1: New Technology Lecture L12 The Rise of the Machine

Lecture L12 THE RISE OF THE MACHINE

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“I can assure you on the highest authority that the data processing is a fad and

won’t last out the year.” Editor-in-charge of business books, Prentice-Hall

1957

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dictionary.com

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68 Years ago

“I  think  there  is  a  world  market  for  maybe  five  computers.”  

-­‐  Thomas  Watson,  chairman  of  IBM,  1943  

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37 years ago

“There  is  no  reason  for  any  individual  to  have  a  computer  in  their  home.”  

-­‐  Kenneth  Olsen,  president  and  founder  of  Digital  Equipment  Corp.,  1977  

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Think about this How many computers do you have in your household?

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HistoryComputing is time consuming and error prone !

Demands for computation were increasing with more organised societies !

Industrial revolution and the Napoleonic reforms !!

Impetus came from Government: Taxing and Defence

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Efforts to speed calculations started early !

Use of logarithmic tables and trigonometry to speed calculations

The Counting Business

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The Slide Rule by William Oughtred in 1625 !

Built using logarithms, multiplication of two numbers could be done easier a*b = 10^(log(a)+log(b)) !

!

!

!

Much quicker than manual calculation

The Counting Business

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Early Machines

Wilhelm Schickard (1592 -1635) !

German professor of Hebrew and Astronomy University of Tüblingen, Germany !

Built a calculating machine in 1620s !

Documented in letters to Johannes Kepler !1623 and 24

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Blaise Pascal (1623-1662) !

French mathematician, physicist, and religious philosopher !

Built an adding machine in1642-44 !

Tried to commercialise the machine but labor was too cheap

Early Machines

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Wilhelm von Leibniz (1646-1716) !

German mathematician and philosopher !

Built a machine, the Leibniz Wheel that could multiply and divide

Early Machines

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History

Workmanship for building complex machines lacked !

In late eighteenth century demand for calculation was growing !

Calculations were done by hand !

Tedious, slow and error-prone and tables of logarithms were riddled with errors

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Think about this The idea of calculating with steam was to many impossible - machines could never take over this human activity !

Yet it did. Can you think of a task done today that will be taken over by machine in the future?

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Charles Babbage (1791 – 1871)

Sometimes called Inventor of the Computer!

Wanted to remove the inevitablehuman errors from computing!

Believed that machines could replace laborious and error-prone calculations

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Page 18: New Technology Lecture L12 The Rise of the Machine

Charles Babbage (1791 – 1871)

Designed the Difference Engine!

Machine to compute polynomials!

Got grants but efforts were slow!

Lack of workmanship of the time delayed the project!

Worked stopped 1833

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Charles Babbage (1791 – 1871)

Babbage started on a new machine in 1834Beginning of the 2nd Kondratiev – Steam!

Analytical engine!

Programmable machine – with primitive programming languageInput was in punched cardsRun by steam

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A Programmable MachineGeneral purpose computer !

Contained mill to calculate, store to keep data, and formulas !

The first programmer: !

Ada Lovelace had influenced the machine

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The Cash Register

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The Cash Register!

One of the first calculating machines !

Developed by James Ritty in 1879 in response to thefts by staff !

“The Incorruptible Cashier” !

National Cash Register Company – NCR !

One of the salesman was Tomas Watson, Sr. !

Watson would later leave for CRT – Computing-Tabulating-Recording Company

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Tabulating Machines

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Tabulating Machines

In the US need for data processing was growingOne application was census taking!

US population grew from 17 million in 1840 to 50 million in 1880It took 1.495 clerks 7 years to produce the 1880 census

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Tabulating Machines

Source:  Tabulating  machineHerman  Hollerith  

Tabulating Machine Company – TMC!

US Census Bureau awarded Herman Hollerith a contract to produce the 1890 census!

Tabulating Machines with punched cards!

Successfully finished in 2,5 yearswith one-third less cost (claimed)

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Tabulating Machines

Source:  Tabulating  machineHerman  Hollerith  

Used punched cardsHollerith cards were in use until 1960s

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Tabulating MachinesThe Business of Data Processing!

Even with the growing need for data processing around 1900, the market for tabulating machines was limited!

CRT and TMC merged and would later change the name to International Business Machines – IBM

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“I think there is a market for about five computers” - Tomas Watson, Sr.

Electronic Brains

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Electric Computing

Foundation of electric computing was laid early !

Mechanical computers were not considered practical!

Electricity is widespread!

Threat of war is looming in the 1930sGovernments turn to computing for ballistic computations and code-breaking

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Although electricity had entered the equation, it had done so only as an alternative method of powering mechanical equipment

Source:  Engines  that  Move  Markets

The Prevailing Technology Trap

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Early Work

P2 max (V0[:8.0],V1[:8.0]) => R0[:8.0] V0[:8.0] => Z1[:8.0] (Z1[:8.0] < V1[:8.0]) -> V1[:8.0] => Z1[:8.0] Z1[:8.0] => R0[:8.0] END

Source:  Konrad  Zuse

Konrad Zuse (1910-1995) German Engineer Built primitive machines, Z1-Z4 based on relay switches in 1936 – 1944 !

Used binary system Designed his own language, Plankalkül !

Never received any official support from war-time Germany unlike the Allies

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Bletchley Park

Location of top-secret code-breaking team Code-breaking the German coding machine ENIGMA

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Alan Turing

Source:  Alan  Turing,  COLOSSUS,  Enigma

English mathematician, logician, and cryptographer !

Headed the team at Bletchley Park Worked on the algorithms to break the ENIGMA code !

Bombe Computer based on heuristics !

Lead to COLOSSUS – one of the firstelectronic computer !

Publishes paper in 1936: On Computable Numbers

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War Machines

Source:  COLOSSUS

COLOSSUS!!

Built in England’s Bletchley Park and used by British code breakers to read encrypted German ENIGMA messages during World War II !

Designed by Alan Turing !

Winston Churchill specifically ordered the destruction of most of the Colossus machines into 'pieces no bigger than a man's hand‘

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War Machines

Source:  EINIAC

ENIAC!!

Electronic Numerical Integrator and Computer !

Built by the U.S. Army for the purpose of calculating ballistic firing tables Used 18.000 vacuum tubes !

Designed by John Mauchly and J. Presper Eckert!!

The machine was unveiled in 1946 and was in operation until 1955

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John von Neumann

John  von  Neumann,  Von  Neumann  architecture

Hungarian mathematician !

Worked on the Manhattan project and became involved in Moore’s School ENIAC and EDVAC projects !

Publishes paper - or a memo, On computer design, 1945 !

Came to be know as Von Neumann architecture

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Copyright  ©  2011  Ólafur  Andri  Ragnarsson

Post-war Computers

Based on Vacuum Tubes

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UNIVAC I

Source:  Model  of  UNIVAC  I,  c.  1954. Picture  from  Smithsonian  Institution  

Source:  UNIVAC  I  

Commercial Computer!

5,200 vacuum tubes, weighed 13 tons, consumed 125 kW, and could perform about 1,905 operations per second running on a 2.25 MHz clock!

Occupied more than 35.5 m²of floor space!

The addition time was 525 microseconds

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Copyright  ©  2011  Ólafur  Andri  Ragnarsson

Transistor Era

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Transistor was invented by William Shockley, John Bardeen and Walter Brattain in 1948

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Copyright  ©  2011  Ólafur  Andri  Ragnarsson

TransistorDevice use to amplify or switch electronic signals !

Huge performance improvement Smaller Less energy More robust Faster

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Copyright  ©  2011  Ólafur  Andri  Ragnarsson

Computers becamefaster, larger and more powerful

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Page 47: New Technology Lecture L12 The Rise of the Machine

Copyright  ©  2011  Ólafur  Andri  Ragnarsson

Tyranny of Numbers

Source:  Tyranny  of  Numbers,  Transistor  Computer  

Computer Engineers have much more flexibility with transistors !

Problem was that as the number of components increased, wiring them together became a problem

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The Integrated circuit

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Copyright  ©  2011  Ólafur  Andri  Ragnarsson

The Invention of the Integrated Circuit

Source:  Integrated  circuit  

Introduced in 1958 by two inventors !

Robert Noyce at Fairchild Semiconductor and Jack Kilby at Texas Instruments !

Transistors could be wired together in practical way !

Mass manufacturing of ICs

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Copyright  ©  2011  Ólafur  Andri  Ragnarsson

Adjacent Possible

Two inventors at the same time invented the IC

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Competition EmergesThe Computer Market is born

The main application is data processing• Business applications like Payroll, inventory and so on

!

IBM enters the computer businessTomas Watson, Jr. launchedIBM System/360 in 1964!

Systematically replaced data processing machineswith mainframe computers

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In the 1950s Automation Starts

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AutomationAutomation – Computers begin to disrupt !

Start to replace jobs !

Banks and insurance companies were early adopters !

Handling paycheques, payroll that used to require many clerks to compute

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Automation

Source:  Desk  Set  (from  IMDB)

Hollywood took notice !

Desk Set from 1957 with Spencer Tracey and Katherine Hepburn

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From Mainframes to Personal Computers

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Think About This!

Resources, Processes and Values Theory

The Disruptive Innovation Theory

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Computers in the 1970s

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Mainframes

IBM  704

IBM  System/360

Large computers in data centers!

Batch operationsCritical applicationsFinancial transaction processing!

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Centralisation

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Time-sharingComputers were expensive to purchase and maintain!

To make it efficient required multiple usersLarge data centers!

Utility Computing!

Time-sharing of expensive equipment

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Moore’s LawCost of computers went down

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MinicomputersCost for new entrants in the computer business was prohibitive in the 60s !

Market for those that did not need complete solution but could benefit from using computes !

Birth of the Minicomputers !

Two major client groups: academic community and the military

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MinicomputersDigital Equipment Corporation!!

Founded in 1957 by Ken Olsen Launched PDP-1 in 1960 !

The PDP-8 was the first successful commercial minicomputer – 1965 !

Used integrated circuits !

Time-sharing allowed multiple users to use the machines at the same time

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The DisruptiveInnovation Theory

Digital used relatively simple, convenient, low-cost innovation to create growth and disrupt IBM

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RPVIBM Was a mainframe company, their customers wanted mainframes, not low-performance mini computers

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SOFTWARE