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Introduction Multi-Agent Systems Stylized Facts Conclusion MAS and Financial Markets Pierre-Étienne Crépy http://www.pierreetienne.crepy.fr/docs/SMABourse.pdf April 10th, 2014 Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

MAS and Financial Markets

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Page 1: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

MAS and Financial Markets

Pierre-Étienne Crépy

http://www.pierreetienne.crepy.fr/docs/SMABourse.pdf

April 10th, 2014

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 2: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

Financial markets

Markets of financial assetsVirtual market places

AutomationMore transactionsFasterEverywhere

Different kind of markets (Euronext, NASDAQ, ...)

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 3: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

Agents modelsMarkets models

Bottom-Up or Top-Down approach ?

Zero Intelligence TraderCognitive agentsSocial agents

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 4: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

Agents modelsMarkets models

Three parts of the marketMicro-structureAgentsInformation

From the marketFrom the world

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 5: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

Agents modelsMarkets models

Figure: Architecture of Artificial Financial Market

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 6: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

DefinitionExemple

All the statistics facts observable on the marketThose facts are well knownBut still ununderstandableMAS could help us to give some explanationsSimulation can reproduce stylized facts

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 7: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

DefinitionExemple

Figure: Distribution des rendements du Dow-Jones

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 8: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

Importance of micro-structure for the stylized factsBut it’s certainly not the only pointGreat perspectives with massive simulation

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 9: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

References I

Ghoulmie, F. ; Rama, R.C. and Nadal, J.-P.Heterogeneity and feedback in an agent-based market model.Journal of physics, 1996.

Bak, P. ; Paczuski, M. and Shubik, M.Price variations in a stock market with many agents, 1996.

Derveeuw, J.Simulation multi-agents de marchés financiers, 2008.

Derveeuw, J. ; Beaufils, B ; Brandouy, O. and Mathieu, P.L’apport des SMA à la modélisation des marchés financiers,2007.

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets

Page 10: MAS and Financial Markets

IntroductionMulti-Agent Systems

Stylized FactsConclusion

References II

Brandouy, O. and Mathieu, P.Marchés financiers artificiels.Pour la Science, jul. 2006, p.98.

Arthur, B.Inductive reasoning and bounded rationality : the El Farolproblem, 1994.

Pierre-Étienne Crépy MAS and Financial Markets