LTE Developments worldwide - GSA Update: Dec. 2012

1 Global mobile Suppliers Association www.gsacom.com

Alan Hadden, President

GSA (Global mobile Suppliers Association) www.gsacom.com

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Technology Evolution Masterclass - December 4, 2012 Middle East Telco Summit, Dubai Organised by Informa Telecoms & Media

GSA – Global mobile Suppliers Association


  Non-profit trade association representing suppliers - established October 2, 1998

  Promotion, focusing on 3GPP roadmap – GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA/HSPA+, LTE/LTE-A

  Trusted brand and authoritative source of facts, statistics, objective analysis for the industry

  Providing regular reports on status of mobile broadband network deployments and development of the supporting devices ecosystems

  Show thought-leadership, educate and influence with information papers and white papers

  Organise seminars and other events for network operators and GSA member companies

  Develop case studies together with operators

  Accomplish campaigns e.g. UMTS900, Mobile HD Voice (W-AMR), LTE1800………etc

  Website www.gsacom.com   54,000 registered site users   Growing by ~ 1,000 every 5 weeks   Targeted to the industry - with global reach

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HSPA laid the foundation of Mobile Broadband success


  Mobile broadband began with WCDMA and its first evolution - HSPA

 100% of WCDMA operators have deployed HSPA

  482 commercial HSPA networks in 186 countries   HSPA covers > 50% of global population (85% forecast by 2017)   achieved in 7 years since 1st commercial network launch

  1.075 billion WCDMA incl. HSPA subs: Q3 2012

  ~ 4,000 HSPA user devices launched 285 suppliers

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  Most operators include mobile broadband in their service portfolio   Mobile broadband is driving traffic, revenue and profit growth in markets throughout the world

Source of subscriptions data: Informa Telecoms & Media

HSPA+ is mainstream


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Over 52% of HSPA operators have launched HSPA+

HSPA+ delivers higher capacity and performance and an improved user experience of mobile broadband

254 HSPA+ networks are commercially launched in 118 countries

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Relentless drive towards LTE


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  Approx 40% of all phones sold in Q3 2012 were smartphones, and the growth of smartphone data traffic is expected to exceed the overall average

  Mobile data traffic doubled between Q3 2011 and Q3 2012, and is expected to grow 12x between 2012 -2018, driven mainly by video

  Online video is the biggest contributor to mobile traffic volumes, constituting 25 percent of total smartphone traffic and 40 percent of total tablet traffic

  Total mobile subscriptions are expected to reach 6.6 billion in 2012 and 9.3 billion in 2018

  There were an additional 13 million LTE subscriptions in Q3 2012, and numbers are predicted to reach 1.6 billion by 2018

November 2012 www.ericsson.com

Mobile broadband subscriptions have grown by around 55% YoY and now reached > 1.4 billion

LTE is now growing strongly, with 13 million new subs added in Q3 2012. GSM/EDGE added c. 20 million and WCDMA/HSPA c. 65 million

Drivers for LTE deployment


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  The primary drive towards LTE comes from the need for network capacity, performance management and efficiency

  Opportunities for new products/services

  Opportunities for revenue growth

  LTE could be a tool to charge more for mobile data   much faster uplink   lower latency   some new video-based services might only be possible using LTE

“LTE is currently being deployed and built-out in all regions and will reach around 1.6 billion subscriptions in 2018”

“By mid-2012, LTE was estimated to cover 455 million people globally and by 2017 it is expected to cover around 50% of the world’s population”

Ericsson Mobility Report – November 2012

LTE network deployments, service launches


  The majority of launches use the LTE-FDD mode

  LTE networks are deployed in several frequency bands

  The LTE TDD mode is getting traction globally: 11 LTE TDD (TD-LTE) systems are commercially launched

GSA – Evolution to LTE report November 2, 2012

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LTE is the fastest developing mobile communications system technology ever !!

33.5 million LTE subs: Q3 2012

Global LTE commitments (to November 2, 2012)


360 operators are investing in LTE in

105 countries

113 commercial networks in 51 countries

GSA forecasts 209 commercial LTE networks by end 2013

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LTE1800 Commercial Operators


Source: GSA – Status of the Global LTE1800 Market report www.gsacom.com

1800 MHz is the most widely used band for 4G/LTE systems deployments globally

Several additional operators are engaged in LTE1800 trials, studies, etc. including:

Oi (Brazil), Bouygues Telecom (France), Orange (France), E Plus (Germany), Cosmote (Greece), Indosat (Indonesia), Beeline (Laos), Celcom (Malaysia), Bayan Telecom (Philippines), Tele2 (Russia), SMARTS (Russia), Dialog Axiata (Sri Lanka), TOT/AIS (Thailand), True Move (Thailand), Avea (Turkey)

LTE1800 is deployed in over 37% of commercial LTE networks

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Spectrum used in LTE FDD deployments


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1900 MHz 900 MHz 850 MHz b5 2100 MHz 800 MHz b20

AWS 700 MHz 2.6 GHz 1800 MHz

LTE1800 is used in 38% of commercially launched networks

1800 MHz is the most widely used band for 4G/LTE systems deployments worldwide

130 LTE1800 user devices announced Includes 26 smartphones – all the leading brands

Copyright© GSA – November 2012

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LTE TDD – significant activities extend beyond China


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LTE TDD Commercial Operators


Source: GSA – Status of the Global LTE TDD Market report www.gsacom.com

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Commercial LTE networks – current situation (estimated)


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November 2, 2012: GSA report

Recent LTE network commercial launches:

Bluegrass Cellular, USA Cosmote, Greece Moldcell, Moldova MTN, South Africa Orange, France Orange, Moldova Proximus, Belgium TIM, Italy SFR, France Shentel, USA Swisscom, Switzerland Telcel, Mexico Tele2, Estonia Telenor, Montenegro Vodafone, Italy Vodafone, Romania Zain, Kuwait

Subject to verifica/on by GSA for the next Evolu/on to LTE report

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Understand the LTE devices ecosystem with GAMBoD


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www.gsacom.com/gambod

GSA Analyzer for Mobile Broadband Devices, a unique search and analysis tool developed by GSA for mobile broadband devices, allowing searches by supplier, form factor, features, peak downlink and uplink speeds, frequencies, etc.

Results presented as lists, or spreadsheets, or in charts. Set up RSS alert for new devices added to the database

•  GAMBoD-HSPA tool for HSPA, HSPA+, DC-HSPA+ •  GAMBoD-LTE tool for LTE (includes 3G fallback systems)

GAMBoD is available only to qualified site users, i.e.

•  Employees of GSA Member companies •  Employees of network operators

NEW: for medium and large-size enterprises •  Subscribe as an “Associate of GSA” •  Includes licence for all employees to use the GAMBoD tools •  Only 2,500 UK pounds/year

Details in “Associate of GSA - Subscription invitation for medium and large-size enterprises”

Additional LTE resources on www.gsacom.com


LTE1800 www.linkedin.com/groups?=&gid=3129390

18 LTE TDD www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=3978061

+ Operator Viewpoint and Supplier presentations