Upload
nicole-cuilis-gregor
View
103
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
A company’s investment policy is the cornerstone of its investment management activities and should be a living document that is reviewed and updated as needed on an annual basis. In today’s investing environment, what should Treasury teams be thinking about as they conduct this review? Play back the recorded session of our webinar to hear Thomas Metzler, Managing Director with J.P. Morgan's Asset Management Global Liquidity Team, and Phil Mattes, Treasury Strategist with Kyriba Corp., discuss best practices and trends related to corporate investment policies and global liquidity management, as well as: -Characteristics of a strong investment policy -Current trends that might influence an investment policy review -Investment management straight through processing best practices -Financial systems support of investment policy compliance
Citation preview
© 2013 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 1January 30, 2014
Welcome to the Webinar:
2014 Global Liquidity Management Planning and Investment Policy Review
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Current landscape Cash levelsCorporate investment behavior
Corporations are deploying cash, but cash levels are still growing
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
$1,600
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '1320%
30%
40%
50%
60%
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '1314%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
Corporate Cash as a % of Current Assets
Cash Returned to ShareholdersDividend Payout Ratio
S&P 500 companies – cash and cash equivalents, quarterly
$bn, S&P 500 companies, rolling 4-quarter averages
Source: Standard & Poor’s, FRB, Bloomberg, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Securities, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top left) Standard & Poor’s, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Top right) M&A activity is the quarterly value of deals completed and capital expenditures are for nonfarm nonfinancial corporate business. (Bottom left) Standard & Poor’s, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. (Bottom right) Standard & Poor’s, Compustat, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “Guide to the Markets – U.S.” Data are as of 9/30/13.
Eq
uit
ies
Corporate Growth
Capital Expenditures M&A Activity
$bn, nonfarm nonfinancial capex, quarterly value of deals completed
S&P 500 companies, LTM
Dividends per Share
Share Buybacks
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$15
$18
$21
$24
$27
$30
$33
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Holdings of cash and short-term investments
Source: The 2013 AFP Liquidity Survey, Association for Financial ProfessionalsJPMorgan Global Liquidity Investment PeerView (June 2013)
Change in cash and short-term investment balances over the past year: U.S. and non-U.S. cash holdings(Percentage distribution of organizations with cash and short-term investment holdings outside of the U.S.)
Within the U.S. Outside the U.S.
Much larger (+15%) 11 12
Somewhat larger 26 25
No significant change 43 49
Somewhat smaller 10 9
Much smaller (-15%) 10 5
Nearly of organizations hold some amount of their cash outside of the U.S.
The share increases to for public corporations75%
60%
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Liquidity by the numbers
Source: The 2013 AFP Liquidity Survey, Association for Financial Professionals
Among organizations increasing cash balances generated higher operating cash flow , the most common driver of higher cash holdings
of all cash balances are maintained in banks, money market funds and Treasury securities.
of organizations’ short-term investment balances are held in bank deposits
Out of organizations’ short-term investment portfolios, matures in 30 days or less
of financial professionals expect the average maturity of their organization’s short-term investment portfolio to stay the same or shorten further
Among organizations decreasing cash balances acquired a company or launched new operations, the most common driver of lower cash holdings
65%
50%
74%
80%
36%
54%
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Allocation across cash instruments
Source: JPMorgan Asset Management Global Liquidity Investment PeerView Study Results June 2013
32%
42%
50%
61%
27%
34%
25%
30%
26%
16%
18%
5%
15%
8%
7%
4%
Bank deposits/earnings credit rate – offset to bank fees
Money Market
Repos, CDs, commercial paper, corporate bonds
Other
66%
40%
35%
50%
19%
41%
34%
29%
8%
13%
22%
14%
7%
6%
9%
7%
Bank deposits/earnings credit rate – offset to bank fees
Money Market
Repos, CDs, commercial paper, corporate bonds
Other
Total
N. America
Europe
Asia
<$500M
$500M - $999M
$1B - $5B
>$5 B
Close to a third of cash assets are allocated to money market funds, with usage highest in Europe and in companies with smaller cash balances
By Region By Cash Balance
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Strategies with more yield are attracting corporate cash
Chart shown for illustrative and discussion purposes only. Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data as of December 31, 2013Opinions and statements of financial market trends that are based on current market conditions constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice
Money Market Fund AUM ($)
0
100,000,000,000
200,000,000,000
300,000,000,000
400,000,000,000
500,000,000,000
600,000,000,000
0
10,000,000,000
20,000,000,000
30,000,000,000
40,000,000,000
50,000,000,000
60,000,000,000
70,000,000,000
JPMorgan Money Market Funds
Managed Reserves & Short Duration
Managed Reserves & Short Duration AUM ($)
A disciplined approach for evaluating investment solutions
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Benefits of a well-executed investment policy
Ensures consistent approach in all market conditions
Provides clarity so that everyone understands the policy
Imposes transparency for internal control
Helps you meet your corporate investment goals
With consistency and clarity, an investment policy sets the strategy for your investment decisions.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Weighing the risks and rewards for cash investments — a rigorous, ongoing, sequential process
Steps toward creating an investment policy
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Segmenting cash by liquidity need and profile
This is the first step in determining your investment strategy and ensuring optimal return.
Risk profile Total balance sheet cash
Operating
Cash typically used for daily operating needs may be subject to unforeseen volatility
Requires preservation of principal
Late-day access
Same-day liquidity
Reserve
Investment horizon of 6 to 9 months or longer
Fairly static, same-day access not needed
Cash set aside for possible acquisition, stock buy backor R&D
Strategiccash
Restrictedcash
Operatingcash
Reservecash
Restricted
Balances trapped in highly regulated jurisdictions or with repatriation-related tax issues
Cash collateral tied to credit agreements or derivative contracts
Strategic
No short-term forecasted use
Cash on balance sheet that has not been historically used
Investment horizon of 1 year or longer
The above chart is for illustrative purposes only.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Assess your tolerance for volatility
Considerations
Do you have any tolerance for volatility?
What is your maximum acceptable realized loss in a given period?
Should you have any restrictions on gains?
What data will you need to assess potential volatility in an investment strategy?
What is an appropriate impairment policy?
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Assess whether to extend maturity both at the security and portfolio level
Considerations
Does the yield curve merit longer-term investment?
What proportion of the portfolio should you allocate to different maturities, given your liquidity requirements?
What should be the maximum duration for the overall portfolio?
What will be the agreed course of action if immediate liquidity requirements cannot be met?
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Investors with longer horizon can, over time, pick up higher returns by extending maturities
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months 0.00 0.42 1.346 Months 0.00 0.85 2.701 Year 0.05 1.74 5.292 Years 0.08 1.80 5.033 Years 0.10 1.91 4.425 Years 0.12 2.32 3.6010 Years 1.68 2.76 3.81
BofA Merrill Lynch US 3-Month Treasury Bill
BofA Merrill Lynch US 6-Month Treasury Bill
Benchmark returns,% (rolling) Benchmark returns, % (rolling)
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 0.07 3 Years 0.10 5 Years 0.12 10 Years 1.68 StDev* 0.56
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 0.18 3 Years 0.21 5 Years 0.31 10 Years 1.97 StDev* 0.63
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 0.26 3 Years 0.35 5 Years 0.54 10 Years 2.07 StDev* 0.80
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 5.00%3 Months 2.50%1 Year 0.00%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.00)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) (0.00)Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) -
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 3.33%3 Months 0.00%1 Year 0.00%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.01)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) - Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) -
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 17.50%3 Months 5.00%1 Year 0.00%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.06)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) (0.11)Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) - Benchmark returns, % (rolling)
BofA Merrill Lynch 1-Year US Treasury Note
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months 0.00 0.49 1.826 Months 0.04 1.00 3.401 Year 0.14 2.04 6.082 Years 0.17 2.11 5.503 Years 0.21 2.24 4.795 Years 0.31 2.67 3.9010 Years 1.97 3.08 4.03
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months -0.30 0.52 2.526 Months 0.04 1.05 4.151 Year 0.22 2.14 6.912 Years 0.25 2.24 5.843 Years 0.35 2.41 5.005 Years 0.54 2.93 4.6410 Years 2.07 3.34 4.34
BofA Merrill Lynch 1-3 Yr US Treasuries
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 0.36 3 Years 0.78 5 Years 1.09 10 Years 2.56 StDev* 1.40
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 26.67%3 Months 16.67%1 Year 1.67%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.21)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) (0.28)Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) (0.19)
Benchmark returns, % (rolling)
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months -1.06 0.65 3.756 Months -0.33 1.31 5.951 Year -0.35 2.66 9.162 Years 0.28 2.83 6.983 Years 0.67 3.06 5.955 Years 1.09 3.61 5.5310 Years 2.56 3.96 4.93
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch. Above data is based on 120 monthly observations. Returns for periods of 1 year or longer are annualized. * Annualized standard deviation of monthly returns on a trailing 10-year basis. Charts are shown for illustrative purposes only. All data as of December 31, 2013.
All data as of December 31, 2013
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Assess whether greater credit risk is acceptable
Considerations
Besides using agency ratings, how will you assess and monitor credit quality of potential investments/issuers?
Do you have the ability and resources in-house to assess credit quality or should you outsource?
What will be your guidelines for credit allocation?
How often will you review credit quality and your credit risk exposures?
What is the agreed course of action if a security or issuer is downgraded, put on watch or falls below your minimum credit quality standards?
Consider also how you expect to be notified of a downgrade event or threat in a timely way. Is this information that can be captured in-house or tasked to a third party?
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE AND PROFESSIONAL CLIENT USE ONLY | NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Risk Return Profiles for 1-3 Corporate Only Indices
BofA Merrill Lynch 1-3 Yr AAA US Corporate
BofA Merrill Lynch 1-3 Yr AA US Corporate
BofA Merrill Lynch 1-3 Yr Single-A US Corporate
Benchmark returns, % (rolling) Benchmark returns, % (rolling) Benchmark returns, % (rolling)
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 0.87 3 Years 1.53 5 Years 2.72 10 Years 3.23 StDev* 2.05
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 1.06 3 Years 1.81 5 Years 3.45 10 Years 3.29 StDev* 2.02
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 1.54 3 Years 2.56 5 Years 5.04 10 Years 3.30 StDev* 3.56
Total rate of return (%)
1 Year 2.47 3 Years 3.40 5 Years 7.29 10 Years 4.64 StDev* 3.26
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 27.50%3 Months 16.67%1 Year 0.83%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.33)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) (0.62)Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) (0.43)
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 25.00%3 Months 18.33%1 Year 1.67%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.39)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) (0.60)Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) (0.48)
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 24.17%3 Months 15.00%1 Year 8.33%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.69)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) (1.82)Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) (5.07)
Frequency of negative returns (rolling)
1 Month 20.83%3 Months 15.83%1 Year 5.00%Avg 1M Negative Return (%) (0.59)Avg 3M Negative Return (%) (1.29)Avg 1Y Negative Return (%) (3.35)
BofA Merrill Lynch 1-3 Yr BBB US Corporate
Source: BofA Merrill Lynch. Above data is based on 120 monthly observations. Returns for periods of 1 year or longer are annualized. * Annualized standard deviation of monthly returns on a trailing 10-year basis. Charts are shown for illustrative purposes only. All data as of December 31, 2013.
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months -2.43 0.81 4.306 Months -2.19 1.63 5.761 Year -0.43 3.33 8.782 Years 0.88 3.55 7.053 Years 1.42 3.80 6.205 Years 2.72 4.33 6.5610 Years 3.22 4.63 5.53
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months -10.22 0.85 7.346 Months -10.27 1.70 11.321 Year -8.05 3.46 16.902 Years -1.58 3.61 11.033 Years 0.48 3.79 7.795 Years 0.98 4.18 6.7210 Years 3.26 4.50 5.62
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months -2.96 0.83 4.746 Months -2.43 1.66 7.271 Year -0.73 3.39 10.512 Years 1.23 3.57 7.593 Years 1.64 3.80 6.315 Years 2.70 4.32 6.7010 Years 3.27 4.63 5.57
Period Worst Average Best
3 Months -7.48 1.17 9.516 Months -7.19 2.37 15.081 Year -5.04 4.90 23.112 Years -0.25 5.09 14.773 Years 1.38 5.17 10.425 Years 1.78 5.29 7.7410 Years 3.99 5.24 6.01
All data as of December 31, 2013
Benchmark returns, % (rolling)
17
Decide how your investment strategy will be executed
Do you want an investment strategy imposed and managed locally, regionally or globally?
Do you want to use in-house resources or outsource?
What will be the process and criteria for selecting and monitoring third-party providers?
What type of metrics and reports will be required and how frequently?
ConsiderationsLocal
Held to maturity Available for sale
In-house Outsource
Regional Global
Yieldversus
total return
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Instituting an Investment Policy
1. Consider cash segmentation
2. Create a governance framework
3. Establish investment parameters, including objectives, benchmarks and scope
4. Determine permissible investments
5. Define characteristics of investments, such as credit rating and diversification by security type
6. Monitor investments
7. Ensure compliance with rigorous due diligence
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
Conclusion
The “right” investment policy can vary significantly from one organization to another, depending on these factors:
Liquidity requirement
Cash flows
Comfort level
Treasuryresources
FOR INSTITUTIONAL/WHOLESALE OR PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY-NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION
J.P. Morgan Asset Management
NOT FOR RETAIL DISTRIBUTION: This communication has been prepared exclusively for Institutional/Wholesale Investors as well as Professional Clients as defined by local laws and regulation. The opinions, estimates, forecasts, and statements of financial markets expressed are those held by J.P. Morgan Asset Management at the time of going to print and are subject to change. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the recipient. Any research in this document has been obtained and may have been acted upon by J.P. Morgan Asset Management for its own purpose. References to specific securities, asset classes and financial markets are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as advice or a recommendation relating to the buying or selling of investments. Furthermore, this material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and the recipient should ensure that all relevant information is obtained before making any investment. Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.
There can be no assurance that the professionals currently employed by JPMAM will continue to be employed by JPMAM or that the past performance or success of any such professional serves as an indicator of such professional’s future performance or success. J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates worldwide. This communication issued in the United States by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc., JPMorgan Distribution Services Inc., and J.P. Morgan Institutional Investments, Inc. member FINRA/ SIPC. © 2014 JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Investment Management STP
© 2014 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 22
Investment Management STP
Transaction Capture• Investment details are only
input once and then flow into various the various financial systems
• Options: interfaces from investment portals, exports from bank systems, manual upload, manual input
• Benefits:• Reduced errors• Increased efficiency
Capture
© 2014 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 23
Investment Management STP
Liquidity Position• Financial systems have flexible
reporting options and are able to consolidate investment balances with bank balances and borrowing information into one overall position report
• Future dated investment related cash flows automatically appear in the cash forecast
• Benefits:• Increased efficiency• Enhanced decision making
abilities
Capture
LiquidityPosition
© 2014 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 24
Investment Management STP
Integrated Payments• Investment related payments
are automatically generating based on investment details
• Default payment details associated with each counterparty and investment type
• Multiple options for payment notification and approval workflow
Capture
LiquidityPosition
Payments
© 2014 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 25
Investment Management STP
Accounting• Financial systems
automatically generate investment accounting entries (including accruals) across multiple general ledger systems and multiple charts of accounts.
• Accounting entries generated at any frequency required (daily, weekly, monthly)
• Benefits:• Reduced errors• Increased efficiency• Timely update of GL
systems
Capture
LiquidityPosition
Payments
Accounting
Investment Policy Compliance Support
© 2014 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 27
Investment Policy Compliance Support
• System enforced approvals based on delegation of authority limits or other policy considerations
• Configuration of only approved investment types
• Notifications if maximum approved transaction amount and/or maturity exceeded
• Attachment of supporting documents to the investment transaction
• Ability to capture counterparty credit ratings
• Flexible counterparty reporting including ability to consolidate investment positions with bank account balances
© 2014 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 28
Additional Resources
J.P. Morgan Global Liquidity PeerView survey report http://goo.gl/Bl81Fa
Kyriba white paper: Treasury Mandate - A Strategic Partner for Unlocking Business Value http://kyri.ba/19sqt0R
© 2014 Kyriba Corporation. All rights reserved. PRIVILEGED & CONFIDENTIAL. 29
Contact Kyriba
facebook.com/kyribacorp
twitter.com/kyribacorp
linkedin.com/company/kyriba-corporation
youtube.com/kyribacorp
slideshare.com/kyriba
kyriba.com/blog