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How Scientific Wellness will
Drive the Future of Health
Nathan Price, PhDInstitute for Systems Biology
Seattle, WA
Hyper Wellbeing
November 13, 2016
@ISBNathanPrice
Disclosures
• Dr. Price is a Co-Founder of Arivale, which
partially funded and may license discoveries
resulting from the Hundred Person Wellness
Project (to be described).
• Dr. Price serves on Scientific Advisory Board of
Habit, a new personalized nutrition company
Founders
Clayton Lewis, CEO and Co-founder
Maveron, MarketLeader, Harborview Medical Center, Capitol
Hill
Lee Hood, MD, PhD, Co-founder, SAB Chair
ISB, Amgen, National Academies, Presidential Medal
Nathan Price, PhD, Co-founder, Board of Directors
ISB, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, UCSD, UW
86% of Healthcare Costs Treat Chronic Disease
Determinants of Health in U.S.
60%
30%
10%
Genetics
Behavior & environment
Health Care
Steven Schroeder et al. New England J Medicine, 2007
U.S. Healthcare Spending
$3.8 Trillion (2014)
Wellness Industry
Scientific Wellness → A New Industry
U.S. Healthcare Spending
$3.8 Trillion (2014)
Wellness Industry
Scientific Wellness→ ↔
Conceptual Themes of P4 Medicine
Disease DemystifiedWellness Quantified
P4 MedicinePredictive
Preventive
Personalized
Participatory
Scientific Wellness Industry Disease Industry
Proposing the 100K Wellness Project
Nature,
News
piece,
(2014)
Hood and Price, Science Translational Medicine (2014)
Hood and Price,
Clinical Omics,
(2014)
Scientific Wellness: Two Integrated Directions
Arivale• A consumer facing
scientific wellness
company
• 5,000 individuals in the
first 18 months
• Transform how biotech
industry operates
ISB-Providence
• Dense, dynamic, personal data clouds
• Research to validate wellness metrics
• Research for better assays
• Optimize wellness
• Study wellness to disease transitions
• Study disease [progression, response
to therapy and transition to wellness
PIONEER 100 PROJECTPrincipal Investigators: Lee Hood and Nathan Price
The 100K Wellness Project was initiated in 2014 with the generation of dynamic data clouds for 108 individuals. These data provided spectacular insights into what it is to be well and the nature of wellness to disease transitions (and vice versa).
• 108 participants
• Age range: 20s to 88+
• 9-month study launched March 2014
• IRB approved
• Evaluation / insights for next phase
• Whole genome sequence
• Detailed blood, urine, saliva measurements 3x
• Gut microbiome 3x
• Continual self-tracking and lifestyle monitoring
• Data integration & correlations
• Monthly coaching sessions on actionable data
• Discovery research
• Events and education
Assays / Measurements—108 Pioneers
Database
of actionable
possibilities that
will grow over
time
GENOME
Whole Genome
Sequencing.
SNPs Millions
LABS
Detailed lab tests 3x(blood, urine, saliva)Clinical chem. 150
Metabolites 700Proteins 400
SELF-
TRACKING
Continual
self-tracking
& lifestyle
monitoring
MICROBIOME
Gut Microbiome
3x
Creating dense and dynamic personal data clouds
Wellness coaching for participants
Sandi Kaplan, MS, RD Craig Keebler, MD
Wellness Coach Study Physician
Clinical Labs Discovery: Improvements in blood health with behavioral coaching
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Cardiovascular Diabetes Inflammation Nutrition
% c
han
ge in
ou
t-o
f-ra
nge
me
asu
rem
en
ts
Baseline 3 months 6 months
Improved by 33%Improved by 6% Improved by 12% Improved by 21%
Clinical Labs Discovery: Significant pre-diabetes improvements
Seven participants with pre-diabetes were completely normalized in six months
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
HbA1c(Glycated hemoglobin)
Fasting glucose HOMA(Insulin resistance)
Insulin
% c
han
ge in
ou
t-o
f-ra
nge
me
asu
rem
en
ts
Baseline 3 months 6 months
Improved by 19%Improved by 38% Improved by 55% Improved by 56%
A wellness to disease transition—genetics
plus environment—an actionable
possibility
• Blood + Genetics illuminated the effects of increasing copies of the Hemochromatosis variant
• Left untreated, this disorder could lead to cartilage damage, liver cancer, diabetes, and heart disease: Easily treated by regular blood donations to reduce the iron stores
• One participant ALREADY had cartilage damage from his undiagnosed disease
• Subsequent family genetic testing detected other family members at risk
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Zero copies of rarevariant
(86 individuals)
One copy of rarevariant
(12 individuals)
Two copies of rarevariant
(2 individuals)
Ferr
itin
leve
ls
Baseline 3 months
Genetics and Clinical Labs: HemochromatosisDetected risk of a deadly disease in two participants
Deriving Insights from Data: New Frontiers
A
B C
Identifying inter-related molecular modules
• Cholesterol is positively associated with alpha-tocopherol (Vitamin E)
• Cholesterol is negatively associated with endogenous thyroxine
• A beneficial side effect of the drug thryroxine(Synthroid) is lowering LDL cholesterol
Total cholesterol
community
The largest molecular community: related
to cardiometabolic health
We can determine your genetic risk for at least 60 diseases.
Estimated risk for the disease or trait relative to a population
GWAS variants have been determined for about 60
diseases and traits
Variant
rs6827
Variant
rs8572
Variant
rs68883 Variant
rs0994
Variant
rs9769
Variant
rs14445
Var
iant
Variant
rs111393
Variant
rs6837
Variant
rs5837
Variant
rs68279
Variant
rs59583
Variant
rs1352
Variant
rs6827
Variant
rs68883
Variant
rs9769
Variant
rs14445
Variant
rs5837
Detrimental VariantBeneficial Variant
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Cumulative Risk
Below average
Distribution from 2000 GenomesADHD COPD Myopia
Alzheimer's disease Crohn's disease Obesity
Anorexia Esophageal cancer Osteoarthritis
Asthma Gout Osteoporosis
Atrial fibrillation Grave's disease Ovarian cancer
Breast cancer Hematocrit Pancreatic cancer
Bipolar disorder Hypertension Parkinson's disease
Blood pressure Hypothyroidism Primary biliary cirrhosis
Bone mineral density Inflammatory bowel disease Prostate cancer
Inflammation Iron levels Psoriasis
Calcium Lung Cancer Rheumatoid arthritis
Cardiovascular disease Lupus Schizophrenia
Celiac disease Macular degeneration Stroke
Cholesterol levels Magnesium levels Type 1 Diabetes
Chronic kidney disease Metabolic syndrome Type 2 Diabetes
Colorectal cancer Migraine Ulcerative colitis
Coronary heart disease Multiple sclerosis Urate levels
Nutrient measurements correlated with genetic predisposition for IBD
cystine
(plasma)
glutathione
(cytosol)
Sido, B., Hack, V., Hochlehnert, A., Lipps, H., Herfarth, C., and Dröge, W. (1998). Impairment of intestinal glutathione synthesis in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Gut 42, 485–492.
Ulcerative colitis activity
Pilot Study Correlation Network
cysteine
(cytosol)
-2
0
2
4
6
-4
pla
sm
a c
ystin
e
-4 -2 0 2 4
Inflammatory bowel disease genetic
score
N = 107
rho = -
0.44
p =
2.3e-6
q = 0.03
Dense, Dynamic Personal Data Clouds
These personalized data clouds are the foundation of what Precision Medicine should be.
Enabling Individuals to take Responsibility for
their Own Wellness (and Disease)
Individuals taking responsibility for their own health
will dramatically reduce the cost of healthcare
Project Leadership
• Leroy Hood, MD, PhD
• Nathan Price, PhD
• Sean Bell, Business Director
Data Analytics
• Nathan Price, PhD – Analytics Lead
Gustavo Glusman, PhD, Genomics
• Andrew Magis, PhD, Multi-omics
• John Earls, Data integration
Project Management
• Kristin Brogaard, PhD Project Manager
• Sara Mecca, Project Assistant
• Mary Brunkow, PhD, Project Coordinator
Medical Advisory Board
• Robert Green, MD
• Jane Guiltinan, ND
• Michael Raff, MD
• Sarah Speck, MD
Communications
• Gretchen Sorenson, Consultant
• Hsiao-Ching Chou, Commun. Director
Participant Engagement
• Jennifer Lovejoy, PhD, VP Clinical Affairs
• Sandi Kaplan, Wellness Coach
• Craig Keebler, MD, Study Physician
ISB Hundred Person Wellness Project: TeamSpecial thanks to our funders: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and M.J. Murdock Charitable Trust
@ISBNathanPrice