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•Daily Operations Briefing Friday, October 18, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Oct 17 – 18 Significant Events: None

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours

• Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (20%)

• Central Pacific – Area 1 (10%)

• Western Pacific – Typhoon Francisco (26W)

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – west central Texas

• Heavy rainfall – Gulf Coast

• Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None

• Space Weather: Past 24 hours: Minor/R1 radio blackouts observed; 24 hours: None predicted

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity:

• Amendment No. 3 to FEMA-4129-DR-NY

• Major Disaster Declaration requests for California, Arizona and the Santa Clara Pueblo

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern - Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 425 miles south of Gulf of Tehuantepec

• Producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms

• Conducive for slow development during next several days

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low ( 20%)

• Next 5 days: Medium ( 40%)

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Central Pacific - Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 1,400 miles SW of Honolulu, Hawaii

• Producing showers and thunderstorms

• Upper lever winds likely to inhibit strong development

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low ( 10%)

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Western Pacific –Typhoon Francisco (26W) As of 5:00 a.m. EDT (Advisory #10)

• Located 200 WNW of Guam

• Moving NW at 6 mph away from Guam

• Maximum sustained winds are near 144 mph with higher gusts (Cat 4)

• Forecast to continue intensifying through Saturday

• Tropical Storm Warning for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan have been cancelled

• Seven shelters open with 938 occupants (0700 NSS Shelter report, Oct 18)

• No injuries/fatalities or significant impacts have been reported

• Guam EOC and JIC deactivated as of 12:00 a.m. EDT and are at normal operations

• FEMA Region IX remains at Watch/Steady State; no requests for FEMA assistance

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_t

ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Oct 20 – 24

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

U.S. Drought Monitor – as of October 15

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Tsunami Warning Center Name Change

Effective October 1, 2013

• NWS West Coast/Alaska Tsunami Warning Center is

known as the National Tsunami Warning Center (NTWC)

• Intended to better identify the Center's area-of-

responsibility

• Includes ocean coasts:

o U.S. states (except Hawaii)

o Puerto Rico

o Virgin Islands

o Canada

• The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) provides

warnings for Pacific-basin teletsunamis to almost every

country around the Pacific Rim and to most of the Pacific

island states, the Indian Ocean basin and countries, and

Caribbean countries

NTWC

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: Minor None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts R1 None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

4 Date Requested 0 0

KS – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and

Flooding September 25, 2013

CA – DR Rim Fire October 8, 2013

AZ – DR Flooding October 9, 2013

Santa Clara Pueblo – DR Severe Storms and Flooding October 11, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Major Disaster Declaration Request – California

October 8, 2013

• The Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration

• As a result of the Rim Fire during the period of Aug 20 – Sep 8, 2013

• Requesting:

• Public Assistance for Tuolumne & Mariposa Counties

• Hazard Mitigation statewide

Requested counties

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Major Disaster Declaration Request – Arizona

October 9, 2013

• The Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration

• As a result of flooding during the period of September 13-17, 2013

• Requesting:

• Public Assistance for Greenlee County

• Hazard Mitigation statewide

Requested county

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Major Disaster Declaration Request – Santa Clara Pueblo

October 11, 2013

• The Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration

• As a result of severe storms and flooding during the period of

September 13-16, 2013

• Requesting PA & Hazard Mitigation for the Santa Clara Pueblo

Santa Clara Pueblo

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Disaster Amendments

A B C D E F G

Debris Removal Emergency Protective

Measures Road Systems & Bridges Water Control Facilities Public Buildings & Contents Public Utilities Parks, Recreational, & Other

Amendment Effective Date Action

Amendment No. 3 to

FEMA-4129-DR-NY October 17, 2013 • Extend incident period from June 26 through July 10, 2013

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Open Field Offices as of October 18, 2013

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

30 1 7 1 39

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

8* 1 4 2 1

As of: 10/11/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 51 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 4 Total Not Deployed 34

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 2 0 0 1 DR-4145-CO 19 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 6 14 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 30 21 0 4 TOTAL 19 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in.

2 0 0

Data as of: 10/17/13 @ 1500

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 17, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 24,960 14,445 $41,050,098 $3,041,476 $44,091,574

Totals 24,960 14,445 $41,050,098 $3,041,476 $44,091,574

24 hour change +140 +112 +$450,823 +$58,178 +$509,001

NPSC Call Data for October 16, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,228

Average time to answer call 12 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute, 9 seconds / 9 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 17, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 25 21,901 21,597 98.61% 2.4

TOTAL 25 21,901 21,597 98.61% 2.4

24 hour change -2 +186 +170 -0.06% -0.0

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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