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FANRPAN Climate Change FANRPAN Climate Change Initiatives
Presented by Sepo Hachigonta at theSACAU consultation workshop on climate change and agriculture,
19 October 2011, Johannesburg, South Africa
• Call by Ministers of Agriculture from East and Southern Africa in 1994
• Created in 1997, registered in 2002 in Zimbabwe, relocated to RSA in 2005
• Focus:§ Improving policy research, analysis and formulation on key SADC
priority themes§ Developing human and institutional capacity for coordinated policy
dialogue among all stakeholders§ Improving policy decision making by enhancing the generation,
Background to FANRPAN
§ Improving policy decision making by enhancing the generation, exchange and use of policy-related information
• Stakeholder categories: Farmers, Government, Parliamentarians, Researchers, Private sector, Media, Development Partners
• National nodes in 16 east and southern African countries: Angola, Botswana, Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe.
Food, Agriculture and Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN)
AimTo promote appropriate agricultural and natural resources policies
in order to reduce poverty, increase food security and enhance sustainable agricultural development in Africa
VisionA food secure Africa free from hunger and poverty
MissionMissionTo promote evidence based policy development in the Food,
Agriculture and Natural Resources (FANR) sector
How?q facilitating linkages and partnerships between government
and civil societyq building the capacity for policy analysis and policy dialogue in
Africaq Create capacity to demand evidence for policy development
FANRPAN Structure
A network of networks
Malawi
Namibia
Botswana
Zimbabwe
Zambia
Government
CSOsFarmers
Private Sector
Commercial Farmers
Small-scale farmers associations
Commodity Associations
FANRPANRegional
Secretariat
Mozambique
Tanzania
MauritiusSouth Africa
Swaziland
Lesotho
Angola
Researchers
Madagascar
DRC
Regional temperature:
- Historical observed (Black line)
- Historical simulated by 21 global models (Red envelope)
- Projected ranges by 21 global
Southern Africa projected temperature change at the large scale
Future change
- Projected ranges by 21 global models
Strategies for Adapting to Climate Change in Rural Sub-Saharan Africa: Targeting the Most
Vulnerable
In partnership with International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
and CGIAR
Objectives
n Promote adaptation among vulnerable populations through developing comprehensive systems for assessing global changes and the changes of these impacts across disaggregated systems, groups, and factors influencing initial state of vulnerability.
n Provide regional organisations, policy-makers and farmers in sub-Saharan Africa with tools to identify and implement appropriate adaptation strategies.Africa with tools to identify and implement appropriate adaptation strategies.
n Study countries: Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia, Zimbabwe.
Swaziland scenarios for 2050
Maize Production Population projections
GDP per capita
Number of malnourishedchildren under 5
Some adaptation recommendations identified in the country chapters include:
n Development of policies on climate change that would support increased investment in adaptation programmes highlighted in the NAPA reports;
n Incorporation of climate change adaptation in long-term planning and developmental programmes including budgetary allocations to climate change adaptation strategies;
n Smallholder irrigation development targeting the vulnerable communitiesSmallholder irrigation development targeting the vulnerable communities
n Capacity building in skills and tools for technical assessments, planning and policy development in the context of climate change
n Awareness raising: A sufficient political awareness of climate change issues is required to gather the support for action, within government, NGOs, private sector and the public at large;
n Developing and promote drought-tolerant crop varieties and hardy livestock.
Knowledge gaps in estimating regional climate change
• The impact of regional changes in other drivers are not sufficiently understood e.g. land use change, aerosol emissions - what will be the impact of increases in biomass burning ?
• Bridging the gap in historical and far future change – the next 20 years ?
• Regional ocean temperatures are only crudely represented
• The effect of topography as a modifier of change i.e. temperature
Information should be presented within the context of uncertainty and projections from multiple models – choices are informed by carefully evaluated risks !
• The effect of topography as a modifier of change i.e. temperature changes at higher altitudes (will come with running models at a higher spatial resolution)
• How do all the above interact with the greenhouse gas forced changes ? – do they act in concert (pushing the system into further change) or mitigate some of the change ?
Strengthening Evidence-Based Climate Change Adaptation Policies Adaptation Policies
(SECCAP) for Agriculture
with support from
Project inception meeting for Malawi27 May 2011
www.fanrpan.org
Focal Countries
Lesotho, Malawi and Swaziland
SECCAP Objectives
1. To generate solid scientific understanding on climatechange downscaling;
2. To integrate downscaled climate scenarios withdistrict-wide household vulnerability information;
3. To determine the socio-economic feasibility of3. To determine the socio-economic feasibility ofrecommended cropping options;
4. To develop appropriate policy recommendations, inparticular the NAPA priorities in agriculture;
5. To transfer the knowledge generated to decision/policymakers and local communities;
Cost Benefit Analysis
Enhanced Science
Integrated Approach
Livelihoods Analysis
InformedPolicy
Crop Production Models
DownscaledClimate Models
Analysis
Downscaling
The challenge of bring confident large scale
Future change
large scale projections to scales of adaptation and policy
• Strengthened local scientific, expertise and local
knowledge;
• Strengthened partnership and networking on
adaptation research among different institutions;
Expected outcomes
• Use integrated approach to assesses adaptation
investment options (combining climate, crop,
productivity and livelihoods);
• Rank cropping adaptation options on the basis of
feasibility (climate, cost benefit and policy);
Project partners
National University of LesothoUniversity of MalawiUniversity of Cape Town
International Food Policy Research Institute
University of Venda(South Africa)
University of Swaziland
Building Climate Change Resilience in Africa's Agricultural Research Programmes
The Rockefeller Foundation
Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda
Objectives
n Improving food security throughout sub-Saharan Africa by promoting the integration of climate change adaptation into agriculture research and policy agendas, and making climate change science more comprehensible to policy-makers, scientists and the private sector.
n To provide advocacy support on policy research initiative on climate change.
Outputs
n Advisory Notes to governments based on dialogue proceedings
n Ministerial/Parliamentarians’ responses
n Policy Briefs on mainstreaming climate change knowledge into agriculture research programmesagriculture research programmes
n A database of stakeholders keen on interface
n A long-term research proposal on climate proofing agriculture research
n Information and Knowledge Dissemination
CopyrightFANRPAN Regional Secretariat
141 Cresswell Road, Weavind Park 0184, Private Bag X2087 ,Pretoria, South Africa Tel: +27 (0) 12 804 2966 , Fax: +27 (0) 12 804 0600
Email: [email protected] Website: www.fanrpan.org
