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The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

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Slides of my keynote on the next 10 years: the case for optimism at LeWeb 2013 in Paris

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Page 1: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

The Case for Optimism

Page 2: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com2

We are bombarded with depressing news

Page 3: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

It feels like we are headed for a dire future

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Page 4: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Dictatorships are on the wane

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Page 5: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

82% decrease in global poverty in only 40 years

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Page 6: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

650M people came out of poverty in China in 30 years

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Page 7: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Shenzen in the 1980’s and 2013

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1980’s

2013

Page 8: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Increasing oil reserves despite record consumption

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Page 9: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Fundamental changes in our way of life

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Office work in the 1970’s… and in 2013

Page 10: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Over the long run recessions barely register

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The Great

Depression

Oil Shocks

Page 11: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Our lives have been transformed for the better

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Life expectancy 2X Childhood mortality /10Per capita income 3X

Page 12: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

We have redefined “poverty”

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Americans in poverty have:

• 99% have electricity, water, toilet & refrigerator

• 95% have a television

• 88% have a mobile phone

• 70% have a car and air conditioning

Page 13: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

The world is more peaceful than ever before

Page 14: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Africa is rising

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Source:: GSMA AFRICA MOBILE OBSERVATORY 2011

Page 15: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Estonia is setting an example for other countries to follow

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• 24% of people voted online in 2011

• 93% fill personal tax returns online

• Companies can be setup online

• Online school reports including homework, grades, etc.

• Online medical records

Page 16: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

3D Printing is revolutionizing manufacturing

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3D Printing has already

revolutionized prototyping…is being increasingly

used to make final parts…

and may revolutionize medicine

with the printing of organs

Page 17: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Healthcare is finally becoming computerized

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Watson is better at diagnosing certain

cancers than traditional doctors

Star Trek-like medical tricorders

should enter the market within 5 years

Page 18: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Robots are invading factories and our lives

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Drones will reduce by over

90% the average shipping

time we experience today

The Da Vinci Robot is more

precise than the best surgeon

for non-invasive surgeries.

Atlas Robot is designed to

save lives in disaster zones

Page 19: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

The Internet of Things will improve our daily lives

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Egg-minder tells us when

eggs are going bad

Nest learns our habits and adjusts

our home’s temperature accordingly

and gets smarter every time we use it

Page 20: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Education is also finally entering the technology age

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From traditional classrooms… to computerized classrooms… and “global” classrooms

Page 21: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Transportation will be significantly improved

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Average Driver: 1.8 accidents every 300,000 miles Self driving car: 0 accidents every 300,000 miles

Page 22: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Communications are headed for a revolution

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Movie reconstruction from brain activity First example of human brain-to-brain communication

Page 23: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Energy is abundant, the issue is accessibility

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Page 24: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Aluminum was more expensive than gold in the 1800’s

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Page 25: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Solar energy is increasingly becoming cost competitive

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Page 26: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

Innovations are happening in water purification…

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Page 27: Fabrice Grinda at LeWeb 2013: The Case for Optimism

Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com

… and farming

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