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Slides of my keynote on the next 10 years: the case for optimism at LeWeb 2013 in Paris
Citation preview
The Case for Optimism
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com2
We are bombarded with depressing news
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
It feels like we are headed for a dire future
3
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Dictatorships are on the wane
4
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
82% decrease in global poverty in only 40 years
5
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
650M people came out of poverty in China in 30 years
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Shenzen in the 1980’s and 2013
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1980’s
2013
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Increasing oil reserves despite record consumption
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Fundamental changes in our way of life
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Office work in the 1970’s… and in 2013
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Over the long run recessions barely register
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The Great
Depression
Oil Shocks
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Our lives have been transformed for the better
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Life expectancy 2X Childhood mortality /10Per capita income 3X
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
We have redefined “poverty”
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Americans in poverty have:
• 99% have electricity, water, toilet & refrigerator
• 95% have a television
• 88% have a mobile phone
• 70% have a car and air conditioning
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
The world is more peaceful than ever before
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Africa is rising
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Source:: GSMA AFRICA MOBILE OBSERVATORY 2011
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Estonia is setting an example for other countries to follow
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• 24% of people voted online in 2011
• 93% fill personal tax returns online
• Companies can be setup online
• Online school reports including homework, grades, etc.
• Online medical records
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
3D Printing is revolutionizing manufacturing
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3D Printing has already
revolutionized prototyping…is being increasingly
used to make final parts…
and may revolutionize medicine
with the printing of organs
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Healthcare is finally becoming computerized
17
Watson is better at diagnosing certain
cancers than traditional doctors
Star Trek-like medical tricorders
should enter the market within 5 years
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Robots are invading factories and our lives
18
Drones will reduce by over
90% the average shipping
time we experience today
The Da Vinci Robot is more
precise than the best surgeon
for non-invasive surgeries.
Atlas Robot is designed to
save lives in disaster zones
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
The Internet of Things will improve our daily lives
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Egg-minder tells us when
eggs are going bad
Nest learns our habits and adjusts
our home’s temperature accordingly
and gets smarter every time we use it
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Education is also finally entering the technology age
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From traditional classrooms… to computerized classrooms… and “global” classrooms
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Transportation will be significantly improved
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Average Driver: 1.8 accidents every 300,000 miles Self driving car: 0 accidents every 300,000 miles
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Communications are headed for a revolution
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Movie reconstruction from brain activity First example of human brain-to-brain communication
Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Energy is abundant, the issue is accessibility
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Aluminum was more expensive than gold in the 1800’s
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Solar energy is increasingly becoming cost competitive
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Innovations are happening in water purification…
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
… and farming
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Fabrice Grinda
@fabricegrinda