1. Regenerative Cities in the Gulf? Herbert Girardet,World Future Council

2. Presentation Outline1. A sustainable history2. Modern cities and fossil fuels Fossil fuels and urban growth Cities and the climate crisis The global footprints of cities The water crisis in the Gulf region3. Sustainable or regenerative urbanisation? Towards Ecopolis The renewable energy revolution Food and cities Towards a circular metabolism Creating the regenerative city 3. Sanaa 4. Atlanta 5. The age of the city From 1900 to 2000 human numbersincreased four fold from 1.5 to 6 billion The global urban population grew 13 fold to2.9 billion, nearly 50 % of the worldpopulation By 2030, 60% of the world population, or 4.9billion people, are expected to live in urbanareas, 3 times more than the worlds entirepopulation in 1900 Cities, on 3-4% of the worlds land surfaceuse 80% of its resources, and dischargemost solid, liquid and gaseous waste 6. Dubai 7. Dubai TodayDubai was undergoing the rapid urbanisation : 1.8million 8. Dubai planned growth 5.6million in 10 years 9. CITY DIAGNOSTICS : NATIONAL ENERGY & WATER RESOURCESResource + Carbon Intensity of our EconomiesSOURCE GENERATION TRANSMISSION DEMAND EFFICIENCY 10. Abu Dhabi 11. (cc) 2011, Anupam Saraph 38 12. Masdar 13. Masdar City : Energy System 14. Doha 15. Riyadh 16. C02 emissionsQatar has the highest C02 emissions- 49.1 metric tons per person/year.Kuwait with 30.1 tons is secondhighest, closely followed by UnitedArab Emirates with 25.5 and Bahrainwith 21.3 tons, Oman with 17.3 andSaudi Arabia with 16.6 tons. 17. 11 2 Dubai 2020 Dubai today00 IndustryDubai: CO2 EmissionsIndustryRoad transport Freight Transport2020Road transport Sea Transport Air TransportRefrigerantsWasteFreight TransportWaterSea Transport4040 BuildingsAir Transport44,000,000tCO2/year60Refrigerants60WasteWater808097,000,000tCO2/yearBuildings100 18. Resource + Carbon Intensity of our Economies Europe US + UAE 19. WATER, the most precious resource 20. Al Hasa 21. Adelaide, S. Australia 22. Adelaide 2012 Over 20% of renewable electricity, 40% by 2020 120,000 PV roofs (of 600,000 houses) = 250 mw 20,000 ha of peri-urban horticulture Recyled waste water used in crop irrigation Nearly 100% composting of organic waste Water sensitive development 60% carbon reduction by municipal buildings 1000s of new green jobs Nearly 3 million trees planted on 2000 ha 23. Renewable energy Renewable energy technology has maturedand is becoming cost competitive The solar income of the world is 15,000greater than current daily energy use The Gulf region has 7,000 watts of solarenergy income per square metre in 12 hours,more than most regions of the planet Solar energy could generate sustainableenergy supplies for the Gulf as well as hugeexport revenues 24. Regenerative urbanisation asorganising principle Cities need to take responsibility for their eco-footprints National policies for regenerative urbanisation RE supply from the urban territory and hinterland Circular metabolism: Turning waste into a resource Policies to enhance compact urban development Support for zero carbon transportation Composting bio-wastes for peri-urban food production Support for large scale out of town tree planting Support for ecosystem protection and restoration 25. 26. Can the Gulf take the lead in RU? The funds are available Solar resource in abundance Research already underway at Gulf un iversities Examples already in place: Masdar, etc. 27. Books and Reports- Creating a sustainable Adelaide, 2003- Cities People Planet Liveable Cities for a SustainableWorld, Wiley, 2004 und 2008- A Renewable World, Green Books, 2009- 100% Renewable Energy For Cities, 2009- Regenerative Cities, 2010www.worldfuturecouncil.org