Demography of Sudan

Geneva Foundation for Medical Education and Research

GFMER Sudan 2012Forum No: ( 3 )

Name of presenterName Position Institution

Dr/ MAJDI MOHD. SABAHELZAIN

PHARMACIST/ MSC. PUBLIC AND TROPICAL HEALTH

UMST

THE CONTENTS

• DEFINITION OF DEMOGRAPHY • SUDAN POPULATION PROFILE• SUDAN POPULATION ANALYSIS• POPULATION PYRAMID AND DEMOGRAPHIC

STAGES OF SUDAN

Demography of Sudan

Demography of Sudan

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Sudan Population Profile

Sudan Population Analysis

Population pyramid and Demographic Stages

Learning Objectives

What is SWOT Analysis?Definition of Demography

Demography: historical perspective

Demography is the study of human population dynamics.

Guillard defined demography as: ‘the mathematical knowledge of populations, their general movements, and their physical, civil, intellectualand moral state’ (Guillard 1855:xxvi).

DemographyDemography

The determinants and consequences of population change and is concerned with virtually everything that influences or can be influenced by:

Population growth or decline

Population Size

Population processes (levels and trends in mortality, fertility and migration that are determining population size and change).

DemographyDemographyPopulation characteristics (education, religion, or ethnicity)

Population structure (how many by age)

FertilityFertility

• The total fertility rate was estimated at 5.6 in 2010 SHHS1

Mortality

2

• Mortality rate in Sudan= 17.2 per 1000 live birth •Maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births)= 216 • Under-5 mortality rate (per 1,000live births)= 78 (UNFPA)

Migration

•Net Migration Rate -4.52 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2011 est

3

Processes relevant to demography:

Demography of Sudan

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Aim of SWOT Analysis

Sudan Population Analysis

Population pyramid and Demographic Stages

Learning Objectives

Definition of Demography

Sudan Population Profile

Sudan Population ProfileSudan Population Profile

Population33.419,000 (UNFPA)

33 % urban 67 % rural

Annual Population Growth Rate2.4 %

Youth population62 %

Internally Displaced Population14 %

Nomads Population9.1 %

Sudan Population ProfileSudan Population Profile

Contraceptives Prevalence Rate 9.1 % (SHHS 2010)

Unmet need for family planning29.9 % (SHHS 2010)

Sudan Population ProfileSudan Population Profile

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Population density

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SWOT Analysis

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Sudan Population Profile

Who needs SWOT Analysis?

Population pyramid and Demographic Stages

Learning Objectives

What is SWOT Analysis?Definition of Demography

Sudan Population Analysis

Sudan Population Analysis

Mortality rates remain high at 17.2 deaths per 1,000

Life expectancy at birth is about 60 years. The life expectancy shows an increased trend over the years (from 38 years in 1956)

National poverty rate stands at 46.5 % with regional disparities ranging from 26 % in Khartoum State to 69.4% in North Darfur State.

Maternal mortality varies widely between regions (highest MMR is 334.9 in South Darfur state and lowest is 105 in Sinnar state).

Sudan Population AnalysisIn 2010, half of deliveries were assisted only by a Village Midwife; just one fifth were delivered by skilled health personnel.HIV prevalence rate is 0.67 % reflecting a concentrated epidemic among most at-risk populations. Current trends, however, suggest an increase in HIV prevalence to 1.12 % by 2015.

Sudan has always had a highly mobile population. There is a significant nomadic population (up to 10%), heavy seasonal labor migration and large outmigration; Sudan is the source of both skilled and unskilled labor for most of the Gulf States.

Sudan Population AnalysisClose to half of women in Sudan are illiterate. Women are disadvantage in most communities and the majority of women who work are engaged in unpaid work and in the informal sector activities.

Gender-based and sexual violence and exploitation of women and girls is widespread in conflict-affected areas.Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting and child marriage are also wide spread. FGM/C prevalence rate stands at 65 % despite intensive campaigns to eradicate the practice.

Despite the high youth population (62 %), the role of young people in social and political life is limited.

Sudan Population Analysis A quarter of young people living in urban areas and half of those living in rural areas are poor.

Sudan has over four million Internally Displaced Persons (IDPS), many in large camps in Darfur and many settled in margins of the urban areas.

Despite high rates of early marriage, 95 % of married adolescents do not have access to family planning. (UNFPA)

SWOT Analysis

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Sudan Population Profile

Sudan Population Analysis

How to conduct SWOT Analysis?

Learning Objectives

Definition of Demography

Population pyramid and Demographic Stages

Population pyramid: age structure

The number and proportion of people at each age ina population

Post Industrial Stage Low birth and death rates Population growth very slow.

3 Industrial Stage Birth rate decline Population growth slow2

Transitional Stage Lowered death rate Rapid population growth

1 Pre-industrial Stage Birth and death rates high Modest population growth

4Demographic stages

Population pyramid: age structure(Expanding)= pre industrial stage

Population pyramid: age structure

Population pyramid: age structure (Stable)