11
2009 | Westergasfabriek | Amsterdam | http://eComm.ec

Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

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Page 1: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

2 0 0 9 | W e s t e r g a s f a b r i e k | A m s t e r d a m | http://eComm.ec

Page 2: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

Is LTE being held hostage by voice telephony?

eComm Europe 2009, October2009

[email protected]

Page 3: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

About Disruptive Analysis

Analyst house & consulting firm

Founded by Dean Bubley

Blog at disruptivewireless.blogspot.com

Covering Mobile VoIP since 2001

Regular focus on the links between innovative mobile network technologies & the impact on devices and applications New network technologies always have some implications for the

handset beyond the radio

If user behaviour changes, the handset’s behaviour & design should change too

Published “VoIPo3G” report Nov 2007

Page 4: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

LTE – the latest, greatest mobile standard!

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

Page 5: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

Options for LTE voice

IMS Voice, aka MMTel (Multimedia Telephony)

Circuit Switched Fallback

VoLGA

NSN Fast Track Voice

Mavenir / Acme Packet

Third-party VoIP on LTE data

…. or stick with HSPA

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

3GPP

standardised

solutions

Page 6: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

IMS… dead, but nailed to the perch of LTE

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

LTE

Mobile IMS

3GPP

Fjords, aka RCS

Page 7: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

Circuit switched fallback (CSFB)

So bad, it’s almost as if it’s designed to make IMS look good

Needs 2G / 3G coverage in same place

Extra seconds for call set-up (great for emergency calls)

Drops the data connection

Not great for multi-tasking

Not great for voice+data mashup applications

Not great for background apps

Nightmare for femtocells

Extra capex on the network side

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

Page 8: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

SMS on LTE

Almost completely forgotten until it was too late

Original expectation was the early LTE devices would be data only –

laptops, dongles, MIDs

Only handsets need SMS, right? It can wait…..

Radio standards guys failed to realise that SMS is used for:

Roaming lists

Advice of charge

Device management

…. and 10-20 other IT systems for mobile broadband.

Panicked rush to do a workaround called SMS-over-SGs

Tied into CSFB but doesn’t force LTE-> 2G / 3G

Might even work… eventually

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

Page 9: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

Recipe for disaster

Totally new radio network

Shift of #1 and #2 source of $$ from CS to VoIP

No workable standard

No handsets

No clear specifications

Multiple options = interoperability & roaming nightmare

Forgot about SMS entirely

Still batting around options at end-2009

LTE in 2010? ….. Or maybe 2014 is more likely?

… or just stick with HSPA+ in 2.6GHz, 900MHz etc?

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

Page 10: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2009Oct 2009

www.disruptive-analysis.com

disruptivewireless.blogspot.com

[email protected]

+44 (0) 7941 100016

Page 11: Dean Bubley's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

2 0 0 9 | W e s t e r g a s f a b r i e k | A m s t e r d a m | http://eComm.ec

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