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Long Night True or False probability

Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

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Review of pathways problems, understanding the randBin() command on the TI-83 calculator and introduction to the Fundamental Principle of Counting and permutations.

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Page 1: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

Long Night

True or False probability

Page 2: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

A water main broke in our neighborhood today. My kids want to get to the park to play as quickly as they can so we only walk South or East. How many different "shortest paths" are there from our house to the park walking on the sidewalks along the streets?

HOMEWORK

Page 3: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

The diagram below shows a game of chance where a ball is dropped as indicated, and eventually comes to rest in one of the four locations labelled A, B, C, or D. The ball is equally likely to go left or right each time it strikes a triangle. We want to determine the theoretical probability of a ball landing in any one of these four locations. To do this, we need to know the total number of paths the ball can take, and also the number of paths to each location.

HOMEWORK

Page 4: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

How many ways can the word "MATHEMATICS" appear in the following array if you must spell the word in proper order?

HOMEWORK

Page 5: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

Design an experiment using coins to simulate a 10 question true/false test. What is the experimental probability of scoring at least 70% on the test if you guess each answer?

http://www.random.org/How would you use Random.org to answer this question?

How would you use your calculator to answer this question?On the calculator ...Press: [MATH]

[<] (Prb) [7] (randBin)

randBin(# of trials, probability of success, # of experiments)

Page 6: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

Find the probability of flipping three pennies and getting at least 1 heads.

Page 7: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008
Page 8: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

"How many ways?"or

The Fundamental Principle of Counting

Love can be in many flavours

Page 9: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

The cafeteria special for lunch offers a choice between two main courses (hamburgers or chicken burgers) and three different drinks. The "meal deal" allows you to pick one of each. How many different "meal deals" are they offering?

What if they offer to throw a choice of fries, spicy fries or plain chips. How many "meal deals" are they offering now?

Page 10: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

The Fundamental Principal of CountingIf there are M ways to do a first thing and N ways to do a second thing then there are M x N ways to do both things.

Example: Any one of 4 ties can be matched with any one of 3 shirts, How many shirt and tie combinations are possible?

What if there are also 2 different pairs of pants that can be matched with all the shirts and ties, how many different "outfits" are possible now?

Page 11: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

Now you try ...How many four-digit numbers are there if the same digit cannot be used twice?

How many four-digit numbers are there if the same digit can be repeated?

Page 12: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

How many four-digit even numbers are there if the same digit cannot be used twice?

Page 13: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

(a) The last part of your telephone number contains four digits. How many such four-digit numbers are there?

b) How many such four-digit numbers are there if the same digit cannot be used twice?

c) How many four-digit numbers begin with a 2 ,4 or 0 if the same digit cannot be used twice?

HOMEWORK

Page 14: Applied Math 40S February 27, 2008

How many ways can the letters of the word FERMAT be arranged?

HOMEWORK