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1
The Current State Of The Technology M&A and IPO Markets
October 2006
Presented by:
David LiuMANAGING DIRECTOR, JEFFERIES BROADVIEW
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While The M&A Market Has Recovered, The IPO Market Is Still Lackluster
Source: Jefferies Broadview's Global Mergers & Acquisitions and IPO databases.
Number of M&A Transactions Number of IPOs
M&A (Transactions > $50MM) and IPO Activity 1993 – 2006YTD North America – Technology
280
31
313
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2006 YTD US Technology IPO ActivityPriced Transactions
Company Subsector Pricing
CommVault Systems Comm. Equipment TopDivX Software AboveRiverbed Technology Comm. Equipment AboveInnerworkings New Media TopQimonda Semiconductors BelowWNS Holdings Services TopGmarket New Media TopOmniture New Media BelowTechwell Semiconductors BelowSynchronoss Services BelowVerigy Semiconductors BelowLoopNet New Media MidCPI International Comm. Equipment TopCorel Software BelowVisicu Software AboveHimax Technologies Semiconductors TopChina GrenTech Semiconductors AboveNextest Systems New Media BottomEagle Test Systems Semiconductors WithinLiquidity Services New Media MidSMART Modular Semiconductors BelowDigital Music Group New Media WithinTraffic.com New Media Within
BacklogCompany Subsector
IPG Photonics Comm. EquipmentMitel Networks Comm. Equipment
IBuyDigital.com New Media
Local Matters New Media
Veraz Networks Comm. Equipment
Netlist Semiconductors
Optium Semiconductors
Jazz Semiconductor Semiconductors
Wireless Ronin Technologies ServicesParadigm Software
Double-Take Software Software
Withdrawn/PostponedCompany Subsector
Go Daddy Group New MediaAlien Technology SemiconductorsBidz.com New MediaWintegra SemiconductorsRitz Interactive New MediaTechnology Spectrum Services
On The RoadCompany SubsectorPricing Date
09/21/0609/21/0609/20/0608/15/0608/08/0607/25/0606/28/0606/27/0606/21/0606/14/0606/12/0606/06/0604/27/0604/25/0604/04/0603/30/0603/29/0603/21/0603/08/0602/22/0602/02/0602/01/0601/24/06 While the markets were closed over the past
several months, recent activity suggests the markets may be opening again
Shutterfly New Media Top09/28/06
Mellanox Technologies Semiconductors
eHealth New MediaAcme Packet Comm. Equipment Above
10/12/0610/12/06
SAIC Services Top10/12/06Above
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Summary Of Median Performance For Technology IPOs Since 2004
(1) As of October 19, 2006. Source: Jefferies Broadview’s IPO Database / Hoover’s IPO Central / Capital IQ.(2) Includes transactions priced between 7/1/2006 to 10/19/2006.
OfferingAmount
TTMRevenue
TTMRevenueGrowth
Quarters ofProfitability
EBITMargin
% ChangeFrom IPO
TTM
Period
Median Profile(1)
H1 2004 $86,000 $87,357 54.8% 5 7.6% 43.2%
H2 2004 $74,300 $47,447 60.3% 3 4.4% 6.7%
H1 2005 $78,000 $67,286 72.1% 8 12.5% 33.3%
H2 2005 $86,971 $73,027 74.4% 5 9.4% 14.8%
H1 2006 $96,000 $90,550 32.6% 3 8.4% 1.1%
IPO prospects need to have revenue in excess of $50MM and should be growing at a minimum of 30% per year
H2 2006(2) $127,304 $73,027 114.0% 4 6.8% 47.0%
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Wall Street Still Has A Strong Appetite For Companies With Compelling Attributes
Revenue growth takes precedent over profitability and critical mass, though all three are important
Subscription-based models are preferred, particularly those where cash is collected upfront and can be used as a proxy for bookings for valuation purposes
From a Software perspective, horizontally focused companies are preferred (vs. vertically focused) because of their larger addressable markets
From an Internet perspective, focused and differentiated businesses such as niche E-Commerce companies (vs. broad plays) are trading at fundamentally higher multiples
TEV / LTM Revenue: 7.4x
TEV / LTM Revenue: 6.1x
TEV / LTM Revenue: 2.4x
TEV / LTM Revenue: 1.5x
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Technology IPO Investors Primarily Care About Growth
VALUATION STATISTICS TEV/2007E Revenue: 4.1x TEV/2007E EBITDA: 19.5x 2006-2007E Growth: 40% Price Change Since IPO: 132%INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Disruptive business model & technology in a highly
fragmented, low technology, low-margin market Serves large and growing Print, E-Commerce and
Small Business Services markets Significant growth opportunities including
up-selling print-related products and international expansion
VALUATION STATISTICS TEV/2007E Revenue: 2.0x TEV/2007E EBITDA: 6.4x 2006-2007E Growth: 3% Price Change Since IPO: (20%)INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS Platform for consolidation and robust acquisition pipeline Opportunity for steady revenue growth in core franchises Organic growth opportunities in upgrades, emerging
markets and product cross-selling Established direct, reseller, OEM and retail channels and
growing service provider channel
10/20/05 12/5/05 1/20/06 3/7/06 4/21/06 6/7/06 7/21/06 9/7/06 10/23/06$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40VistaPrint Daily Closing Price
20-Oct-2005 through 20-Oct-2006
4/26/06 5/18/06 6/9/06 6/30/06 7/25/06 8/16/06 9/8/06 9/29/06 10/23/06$9
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
$15
$16
$17Corel Daily Closing Price
20-Oct-2005 through 20-Oct-2006
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Observations From Our Equity Research Analysts
M&A activity in the small and medium cap space has created demand for IPOs as mutual funds look to redeploy capital to fulfill sector allocation requirements
— Katherine Egbert, Jefferies’ Infrastructure Software Analyst
Because the markets open and close so quickly, companies that are looking to go public should go as far as they can in the IPO preparation process, then be nimble about when to go on the roadshow
— Katherine Egbert, Jefferies’ Infrastructure Software Analyst
Underlying market trends and dynamics are the most important considerations for IPO investors. This is why there is an incredible amount of interest in Online Marketing companies – the fundamental shift of advertising dollars from traditional venues to online continues to transform the industry
— Youssef Squali, Jefferies’ Internet and New Media Analyst
Pptname 8 01/07/98
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Venture-Backed Private Company Exits Are On The Rebound
(1) Source: Jefferies Broadview's Global Mergers & Acquisitions database.
Venture capital-backed companies out of total
North American Private Seller Transactions > $50MM(1)
#
2002 2003 2004
> $50MM
> $150MM
63
21
67
21
104
38
40
16
50
17
72
24
> $250MM 9 9 176 7 10
2005
130
54
84
43
3427
1H 2006
80
28
54
21
1812
2002 2003 2004
> $50MM
> $150MM
63
21
67
21
104
38
40
16
50
17
72
24
> $250MM 9 9 176 7 10
2005
130
54
84
43
3427
1H 2006
80
28
54
21
1812
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There Continues To Be Many Hot Segments Grabbing The Mindshare Of Both Strategics And Investors
Internet & Digital Media Mobility
Software-as-a-Service Security
Value continues to be driven by market and company specific factors
Pptname 10 01/07/98
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High-Multiple Exits Are Becoming Increasingly Frequent
Date Seller Buyer Price/Revenue
10/06 12x
8/06 > 10x
6/06 15x
5/06 11x
4/06 > 10x
4/06 > 20x
12/05 13x
11/05 17x
9/05 > 25x
9/05 > 400x
9/05 12x
8/05 26x
6/05 28x
4/05 11x
3/05 33x
5/04 15x
3/04 > 10x
Representative Transactions Since 2004 with Price/Revenue Multiples > 10x
Between 2003-2004, there were 17 transactions with > 10x price/revenue multiples. In 2004-2005, this number more than doubled to 36(1)
(1) North American transactions > $50MM.
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Although The M&A Markets Have Been Strong, We Are In A Fundamentally Different Environment
Technology Bubble1998-2000“Promise”
Post-Technology Bubble2000-2006“Proven”
Potential for high growth
A few “business development” relationships
Maybe 1-2 referenceable customers
The higher the cash burn the better
Real Customers
Real Revenue
Real Relationships
Real Growth
Real Metrics:
CPM x Page Views x # of Ads x STR = Advertising Potential
Pptname 12 01/07/98
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Recent Transactions Validate The Importance Of Key Market And Company Specific Factors
Proven leader in the open source application server technology market
Innovative, standards-based middleware solutions enabling customers to develop and deploy next-generation, service-enabled applications at a low cost
Revenue growth in excess of 100%
Projected to turn corner on profitability in near future
Proven leader in the storage area network management and storage resource management market
Key relationships with leading OEMs including Hitachi, Sun, HP, Engenio and SGI
Revenue growth of approximately 150% per year
Unique assets in its robust shopping search engine, a strong brand name and a loyal customer base
Over 2,500 merchants, 23 million unique users and 22 million leads delivered per month
Revenue growth in excess of 150%
Highly profitable with 30% EBITDA margins
Deal Value: $420MMRevenue Multiple: > 20x
Deal Value: $280MMRevenue Multiple: > 25x
Deal Value: $600MMRevenue Multiple: > 10x
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An IT Buyout “Binge” Is Occurring Within The More Mature And Cash-Flow Rich Segments
Representative Transactions:- Onyx Software / Battery
Ventures- SSA Global / Golden Gate
Capital- Systems Union / Golden
Gate Capital- NetIQ / Francisco Partners,
Golden Gate Capital and TCEP
- SunGard / Silver Lake Partners, Bain Capital and
The Blackstone Group- Serena Software / Silver
Lake Partners- FrontRange / Francisco
Partners
Implications Large private equity
capital pools interested in technology
Hedge funds entering the private market
Acceptance of sponsors selling companies to other sponsors
Historically low borrowing costs
Reduced required rate of return / IRR driving pricing higher
Sponsors more comfortable about ultimate exit as other sponsors provide safety net
Profitable companies valued between $50 and $300MM have an attractive alternative to an IPO
Secular Changes
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Public IT >$1BN EMC
Public IT <$1BN EMC
Public Non-IT
Private
Financial
While Still Dominated By Large Public IT Buyers, Private Equity Firms Have Become Increasingly Active In Technology M&A
Buyer Profiles for Enterprise Software Transactions(Transactions > $50MM)
In 2005, large public buyers represented approximately 60% of all buyers in the Enterprise Software market
Private Equity firms represented nearly 20% of all buyers, up from 5% in 2001
Pptname 15 01/07/98
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Answers to Common Questions?
When should your Company start courting Acquirers?
— Industry dependent: varies; better to ask; review M&A/IPO comps
— Metrics: IPO: $50MM+ revenues; M&A: no rule of thumb, market timing
When should you look for a Banker?
— Need: Liquidity, negotiation (price, terms); provide CEO/Board advocacy
— Cost: Typically US$1MM+; success based; 1-year tail
— Selection: Industry expert, confidant, personality, reputation, access
What are the best ways to move towards a Smart Transaction?
— Aligned interests: Board, C-level execs, employees
— Tactics: Bought not sold
— Publicity: Raise profile when ready
Pptname 16 01/07/98
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has been acquired by
$185,000,000
Financial Advisor to the Seller
December 2005
has been acquired by
$185,000,000
Financial Advisor to the Seller
December 2005
has been acquired by
$185,000,000
Financial Advisor to the Seller
December 2005
has been acquired by
Financial Advisor to Seller
October 2005
has been acquired by
$497,000,000
Financial Advisor to the Seller
June 2004
has been acquired by
$497,000,000
Financial Advisor to the Seller
June 2004
has been acquired by
Financial Advisor to Seller
$600,000,000
April 2004
has been acquired by
Financial Advisor to Seller
$242,000,000
July 2004
has been acquired by
Financial Advisor to Seller
$242,000,000
July 2004
$445,000,000
Financial Advisor to Seller
November 2004
$445,000,000
Financial Advisor to Seller
November 2004
has been acquired by
has been acquired by
Financial Advisor to the Seller
$324,000,000
November 2005
has been acquired by
Financial Advisor to the Seller
$206,000,000
October 2005Additional Q&A
Additional Q&A
has been acquired by
June 2006
Financial Advisor to the Seller
$420,000,000
has agreed to be acquired
Pending
Financial Advisor to the Buyer
Confidential
has acquired
August 2006
Financial Advisor to the Buyer
$375,000,000Financial Advisor to the Seller
$354,000,000
Pending
has agreed to be acquired by
RealNetworks, Inc.
Pptname 17 01/07/98
17
Who is Jefferies?
#1 Investment Bank Catering to High Growth, Middle Market
— #1 fastest growing Wall Street firm last 10 yrs
— IDD 2005 Middle Market Bank of the Year
— #1 Technology M&A firm last 4 years
— Top 3 NASDAQ Trader
— 50%+ employee owned, listed on the NYSE (TICKER:JEF)
— Global with offices in US, Europe, China, Japan, India, Israel, Dubai
— Sector Coverage: Practically every sector of the global economy
Contact:
— David A. LiuManaging DirectorTechnology Investment BankingT: (650) 573-4803Email: [email protected]