13

AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review
Page 2: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

1

About Results International

Deep domain expertise in three inter-related sectors… … and broad industry networks

A market-leading corporate finance advisory firm…

• Founded in 1991

• Entrepreneurial and owner-managed

• 40 person team; 250+ completed transactions • Broad global network

• Creative solutions

• Senior level focus on every transaction

…with global reach

Page 3: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

Jan-14 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14

NASDAQ Comp Diversified Internet Data MarTech AdTech

Results International Global AdTech & MarTech Indices

2

2.0%

(3.3%)

14.3%

(7.2%)

(34.3%)

201

4 s

ha

re p

ric

e p

erf

orm

an

ce

Q4 2014 Performance

MarTech 14.5%

Data 9.8%

AdTech 8.2%

Nasdaq Comp 5.4%

Diversified Internet (4.4%)

Jan 14 Feb 14 Nov 14 Oct 14 Sep 14 Aug 14 Jul 14 May 14 Apr 14 Mar 14 Jun 14 Dec 14

Note: Based on share prices as at 31st December 2014

Note: Indices weighted by market capitalisation

Sources: Capital IQ and Results analysis

Page 4: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

(87.1%)

18.2%

-

(17.4%)

-

(78.0%)

14.5%

(41.6%)

(73.8%)

-

(50.5%)

-

(32.3%)

1.5%

(45.0%)

18.1%

(10.3%)

-

(11.7%)

(45.2%)

8.8%

(2.3%) (4.0%)

(22.2%)

(1.0%)

2.3%

42.8%

(5.3%)

24.9%

(100%)

(80%)

(60%)

(40%)

(20%)

-

20%

40%

60%

AdTech & MarTech: Share Price Performance

3

AdTech Diversified Internet

Q4 2

014

2014 s

ha

re p

ric

e p

erf

orm

an

ce

MarTech Data

Note: (1) Crossrider’s EV/Net Revenue multiple has been calculated using their run-rate Net Revenue from H1 2014 as per their IPO admission document

Note: (2) Hubspot IPO’d on 9th October 2014, this price represents the increase between that date and 31st December 2014

Note: Based on share prices as at 31st December 2014

Sources: Capital IQ and Results analysis

(24.8%)

20.1%

5.8%

(1.6%)

2.2%

(14.0%)

5.6%

(44.9%)

2.0%

37.6%

22.6%

96.1%

0.8% 8.8%

39.4% 35.2%

13.0% 11.6%

1.3%

22.5% 15.2%

10.6% 4.2%

(3.7%)

2.7%

(0.9%) (1.3%) (9.8%)

24.0%

(60%)

(40%)

(20%)

-

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

EV/2014

Net Revenue 0.4x 5.9x 4.3x 2.4x 5.7x

(2)

1.2x 3.8x 2.4x 2.9x 4.6x 1.2x 9.3x 1.3x 3.1x 1.9x 3.3x 12.7x 9.5x 10.3x 1.7x 5.5x 4.2x 2.2x 1.6x 2.0x 3.8x 5.9x 8.7x 16.6x (1)

Page 5: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

AdTech & MarTech: Selected Stocks – Performance Since IPO

4

Company IPO date Description Raised

($) Indicative price

range ($)

IPO listing

price ($)

Day 1

increase

Current

increase(1)

Current

EV ($)

EV / Net

Revenue

2014E

EV / EBITDA

2014E

Oct-14 Marketing automation 125 22.0-24.0 25.0 20.4% 34.4% 1,167 10.3x n.m.

Sept-14 Multi-channel ad server, 75 n.a. 1.7 0.8% 2.4% 179 4.3x 26.0x

Jul-14 Programmatic video DSP

44 7.0-8.0 7.0 64.3% 222.1% 717 9.3x n.m.

Jul-14 Multi-channel ad network

70 n.a. 3.9 4.4% (6.8%) 408 5.7x 20.5x

Apr-14 SSP 102 15.0-17.0 15.0 33.9% 7.6% 560 4.6x 55.2x

Nov-13 Multi-channel network 33 n.a. 1.0 20.0% (51.9%) 83 2.4x n.m.

Oct-13 DSP focused on retargeting

251 27.0-29.0 31.0 14.2% 30.4% 2,130 5.9x 28.2x

Sep-13 DSP 116 27.0-29.0 29.0 93.4% (44.4%) 692 2.9x n.m.

Aug-13 Video ad network 46 12.0-14.0 9.0 0.0% (44.0%) 109 1.3x n.m.

Jun-13 Video ad network 75 11.0-13.0 10.0 (15.0%) (71.3%) 69 1.2x n.m.

May-13 Marketing automation 79 11.0-13.0 13.0 77.7% 151.7% 1,411 9.5x n.m.

Nasdaq

LSE

NYSE

AIM

Nasdaq

Nasdaq

NYSE

NYSE

Nasdaq

AIM

NYSE

Note: (1) Current increase from IPO price; Market data as of 31st December 2014

Note: (2) Crossrider’s EV/ Net Revenue multiple has been calculated using their run-rate Net Revenue from H1 2014 as per their IPO admission document

Note: Calendarised to December year end; $ millions, except share price data; Multiples capped at 20x EV / Revenue and 60x EV / EBITDA

Sources: Capital IQ and Results analysis

(2)

Page 6: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

AdTech & MarTech: Valuation Benchmarks

5

Revenue growth (2014-15E) EV / Net Revenue 2014E

(1) (1)

29.0%

22.5%

2.8%

14.4%

21.3%

-

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

AdTech MarTech Data Diversified

Internet

Global AdTech/

MarTech

2.9 x

6.4 x

3.2 x

4.8 x

3.8 x

0.0 x

1.0 x

2.0 x

3.0 x

4.0 x

5.0 x

6.0 x

7.0 x

AdTech MarTech Data Diversified

Internet

Global AdTech/

MarTech

Note: (1) Global AdTech / MarTech represents the average of all stocks in AdTech, MarTech, Data & Diversified Internet, with no weighting applied

Note: EV = Enterprise Value; Financials calendarised to December year end

Note: Median values reported; exclude negative multiples

Note: See Selected Publicly Traded Companies (Slide 11) for details of companies included in each category

Source: Capital IQ & analyst reports

Page 7: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

AdTech & MarTech: Global M&A Activity 2013-2014

6

54

43

74

52

108

101

113

106

-

$1bn

$2bn

$3bn

$4bn

$5bn

$6bn

$7bn

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014

Tota

l dis

clo

sed

de

al v

alu

e (

$b

n)

Nu

mb

er o

f d

ea

ls

Number of deals Total disclosed deal value ($bn)

Sources: Press Releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, 451 Research and Results analysis

Page 8: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

AdTech & MarTech: Selected Deals in 2014 Date Buyer Target EV ($m) EV / Revenue Company description Target location

Dec 14 - - Online to offline DMP

Dec 14 200 - Premium ad exchange and SSP

Nov 14 640 6.4x Video ad exchange

Oct 14 60 8.6x Mobile programmatic DSP

Oct 14 321 4.3x PR & media monitoring

Oct 14 80 10.0x Streaming video distribution & analytics

Oct 14 190 3.4x Mobile SSP

Sept 14 115 14.8x Mobile SSP & exchange

Sept 14 2,216 5.4x Ad platform with mobile and display and affiliate network

Aug 14 360 6.8x Video distribution & analytics

Aug 14 230 2.6x DSP & DMP

Jul 14 222 2.2x Video SSP

Jul 14 175 4.6x B2B display ad network

Jul 14 270 5.4x Mobile app analytics

Jul 14 51 1.4x Omni-channel eCommerce

Jul 14 352 - Relationship intelligence

Jul 14 43 7.6x Multi-channel network

Jul 14 382 5.5x Video SSP

7

(1)

Note: (1) In certain cases EV/Revenue are estimates; TTM net revenues have been used where possible (gross revenues minus TAC generated in the last 12 months); EV = transaction value scaled to

100% shareholding plus net debt (incl. minority interest)

Sources: Press Releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, PitchBook, 451 Research and Results analysis

Page 9: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

Date Buyer Target EV ($m) EV / Revenue Company description Target location

Jun 14 100 - Mobile ad retargeting platform

Jun 14 75 1.4x Mobile video network

Jun 14 150 5.8x Big data marketing intelligence

Jun 14 235 1.3x Cross channel ad network

May 14 - - Marketing attribution

May 14 - - TV and video marketing analytics

May 14 310 12.4x Data on boarding technology to assist advertising decisions

May 14 150 7.5x Marketing attribution

May 14 89 8.1x Marketing attribution

Apr 14 - - Marketing campaign management

Apr 14 413 2.2x Contact database with social media/news monitoring

Apr 14 200 2.0x Programmatic DSP

Mar 14 200 - Social media measurement

Mar 14 - - Tag management

Mar 14 360 16.4x Video ad placement

Feb 14 408 6.5x DMP

Feb 14 - - Ad fraud identification

Jan 14 - - Mobile ad network

AdTech & MarTech: Selected Deals in 2014

8

(1)

Note: (1) In certain cases EV/Revenue are estimates; TTM net revenues have been used where possible (gross revenues minus TAC generated in the last 12 months); EV = transaction value scaled to

100% shareholding plus net debt (incl. minority interest)

Sources: Press Releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, PitchBook, 451 Research and Results analysis

Page 10: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

Date Company Type of round Funds

raised ($m) Investor participation Company description

Company

headquarters

Dec 14 Series B 65 Andreessen Horowitz Big data and analytics

Nov 14 Series D 50 SoftBank Capital (lead investor), Telstra Ventures, American Express, General

Catalyst and Revolution Growth eCommerce and marketing

Nov 14 Series C 80 Wellington Management Mobile payments and eCommerce

Nov 14 Series F 35

Intel Venture Capital (lead investor), Common Fund Capital, Vintage

Investment Partners, Adobe, Advance Publications, Benchmark Capital, DAG

Ventures, Greenspring Associates and Mayfield Fund

Data-focused social targeting

Oct 14 Series E 110 Unknown Boston-based public equity and asset management firm (lead

investors) and WPP Ad exchange & DSP

Oct 14 Series F 70 Discovery Capital Card-linked targeted marketing

Oct 14 Series B 185 MasterCard, Wellington Management, Tiger Management Corporation and

private investors Mobile payments and marketing

Sept 14 Series D 10 BSkyB (lead investor), FLOODGATE, Elevation Partners, North Bridge Venture

Partners and Silver Creek Ventures Native ad network

Sept 14 Series B 26 Accel Partners (lead investor), Balderton Capital, Salesforce Ventures eCommerce personalisation

Sept 14 Series C 60 Fidelity (lead investor), Accel Partners, Insight Venture Partners, OMERS

Ventures and Silicon Valley Bank Social media monitoring

Sept 14 - 30 PINOVA Capital and L-Bank Marketing resource management

Sept 14 Series C 55

Founders Fund (lead investor), BlueRun Ventures, Formation 8 Partners, Glynn

Capital Management, Slow Ventures, Western Technology Investment, Yuan

Capital and private investors

B2B marketing data & analytics

Sept 14 Series E 30

NewSpring Capital (lead investor), Apex Venture Partners, SSM Partners,

Origin Ventures, River Cities Capital Funds, i2A Illinois Accelerator Fund and

Spring Mill Venture Partners

Voice-based marketing automation

Sept 14 Series D 50 Institutional Venture Partners (lead investor), Emergence Capital, Softbank

Capital and Silicon Valley Bank Location driven ad serving

Aug 14 Series E 25 Singapore Press Holdings (lead investor), Aeris CAPITAL, EDBI and private

investors Mobile ad exchange & SSP

Jul 14 Series C 24 NewSpring Capital (lead investor), U.S. Venture Partners, Menlo Ventures and

Venrock Ad analytics and targeting

Jun 14 Series E 50 SoftBank Capital (lead investor), Insight Venture Partners, Telstra Ventures,

Georgian Partners, Delta-V and Hamilton Lane Mobile app development platform

AdTech & MarTech: Selected Fundraisings in 2014

9

Notes: (1) AppNexus announced their Series E in several stages, eventually closing the round in October 2014 having raised $110m

Source: Press Releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, PitchBook and Results analysis

(1)

Page 11: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

AdTech & MarTech: Selected Fundraisings in 2014

Date Company Type of round Funds

raised ($m) Investor participation Company description

Company

headquarters

Jun 14 Series C 70 New Enterprise Associates (lead investor), Benchmark Capital and Index

Ventures End-to-end search and analytics

Jun 14 - 35 Goldman Sachs & Co (lead investor), Sterling Partners and SAP Ventures Sales enablement

Jun 14 Series F 50 Insight Venture Partners (lead investors), Marker, Institutional Venture Partners,

and Sutter Hill Ventures Local marketing content management

Jun 14 Series C 74 Spring Lake Equity Partners (lead investor), Akamai Technologies, Safeguard

Scientifics, Catalyst Investors and Observatory Capital DSP

May 14 Series C 45 Wellington Management Company (lead investor) and Institutional Venture

Partners Online to offline DMP

May 14 Series B 22 Highland Capital Partners (lead investor), Nauta Capital and other existing

investors Social media analytics and listening

May 14 Series C 61 Zouk Capital (lead investor), Dawn Capital, Intel Capital, Greylock Partners,

Index Ventures, Northzone, Creandum, SEB and Hasso Plattner Ventures Mobile payments

Apr 14 Series D 40 ICONIQ Capital (lead investor), Battery Ventures and Intel Capital Social media management

Apr 14 Series F 100 BlackRock and Passport Capital (lead investors), T. Rowe Price and Wellington

Management App performance management

Apr 14 Series C 70

Foundation Capital (lead investor), Institutional Venture Partners, Northgate

Capital, Performance Equity, Glenmede, Merus Capital, Accel Partners and

private investors Retargeting DSP

Apr 14 Series B 40 General Atlantic Website design and build platform

Mar 14 Series C 40 Redpoint Ventures (lead investor), Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Felicis

Ventures and News Corp Relationship intelligence & management

Mar 14 Series A 48 Gaorang Capital (lead investor), plus other undisclosed investors DSP and ad exchange

Feb 14 Series C 41 Dawn Capital (lead investor), ePlanet Capital, Frog Capital, Westcoast

Capital, WPP and WTI Omni-channel commerce

Feb 14 Series C 26 Index Ventures (lead investor) and Earlybird Venture Capital. Social media analytics

Jan 14 Series B 40 Insight Venture Partners Tag management

Jan 14 Series E 80

Fidelity Investments and BlackRock (lead investors), ClearBridge Investment,

Firsthand Technology Value Fund, Northport Investments, Pine River Capital

Management, Focus Ventures, Norwest Venture Partners, Shasta Ventures

and Trident Capital

DSP & DMP

10

Notes: (1) MediaMath also raised $105m in debt from Silicon Valley Bank, bringing the total raised to $178.5m;

(2) iZettle raised an initial €40m in May and increased this by €5m in July to reach €45m ($61m)

Source: Press Releases, Capital IQ, Mergermarket, PitchBook and Results analysis

(1)

(2)

Page 12: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

AdTech & MarTech: Selected Publicly Traded Companies

11

Source: Capital IQ, Market Data as of 31 December 2014. Note: Calendarised to December year end. Cap multiple at 20x EV/Revenue and 60x EV/EBITDA. Net debt is inclusive of minority interest and preferred equity. Net revenues have been used where appropriate. Yahoo – financials taken from Credit Suisse (November 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, Google – financials taken from J.P. Morgan (December 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, AOL – financials taken from Macquarie (November 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, Rocket Fuel – financials taken from Credit Suisse (November 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, Criteo – financials taken from J.P. Morgan (November 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, Tremor Video – financials taken from Credit Suisse (November 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, Millennial Media – financials taken from Evercore (September 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, YuMe – financials taken from Deutsche Bank (November 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, Blinkx – financials taken from Numis (May 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ, Matomy Media - financials taken from Canaccord Genuity (October 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ; TubeMogul - financials taken from RBC (December 2014) & checked against company's financial results, market data taken from CapitalIQ; Crossrider – financials taken from their IPO Admission Document, using a H1 run-rate to calculate FY2014, market data taken from CapitalIQ

Valuation Metrics Operating Metrics

Price % of 52 Market Net Enterprise Net Revenue EBITDA Revenue Growth EBITDA Margin

Company (31-Dec-14) Week High Cap Debt Value CY2014 CY2015 CY2014 CY2015 CY13-14 CY14-15 CY2014 CY2015

AdTech

Blinkx plc 0.41 12.0% 166 (115) 51 0.4 x 0.3 x 1.2 x 1.0 x 16.3% 15.1% 30.2% 31.4%

Criteo SA 40.42 66.3% 2,426 (296) 2,130 5.9 x 4.3 x 28.2 x 17.0 x 66.4% 36.6% 20.9% 25.4%

Crossrider Plc 1.71 97.1% 255 (75) 179 4.3 x n.a. 26.0 x n.a. 263.1% n.a. 16.5% n.a.

Marin Software Incorporated 8.46 66.9% 305 (72) 233 2.4 x 2.0 x n.m. n.m. 27.2% 19.1% (19.8%) (10.3%)

Matomy Media Group Ltd. 3.62 91.3% 349 59 408 5.7 x 4.2 x 20.5 x 12.0 x 26.3% 34.4% 27.8% 35.2%

Millennial Media Inc. 1.60 19.0% 223 (76) 146 1.2 x 1.0 x n.m. n.m. 12.5% 23.6% (31.5%) (7.9%)

Opera Software ASA 12.70 94.2% 1,862 (82) 1,780 3.8 x 2.6 x 15.9 x 10.2 x 56.2% 46.7% 23.9% 25.4%

Rightster Group Plc 0.46 32.8% 89 (6) 83 2.4 x 0.7 x n.m. 14.7 x 261.8% 219.7% (55.6%) 5.0%

Rocket Fuel Inc. 16.12 22.4% 733 (42) 692 2.9 x 2.3 x n.m. n.m. 71.6% 28.2% (21.0%) (19.9%)

The Rubicon Project, Inc. 16.14 69.6% 664 (104) 560 4.6 x 3.5 x 55.2 x 48.9 x 46.6% 29.0% 8.2% 7.2%

Tremor Video, Inc. 2.87 49.8% 147 (78) 69 1.2 x 0.9 x n.m. n.m. 8.7% 29.0% (27.0%) (15.1%)

TubeMogul, Inc. 22.55 94.6% 763 (46) 717 9.3 x 6.3 x n.m. n.m. 105.5% 47.3% (3.7%) (5.9%)

YuMe, Inc. 5.04 57.3% 167 (57) 109 1.3 x 1.1 x n.m. n.m. 18.7% 17.1% (4.5%) (2.4%)

MarTech

Bazaarvoice, Inc. 8.04 92.1% 630 (54) 575 3.1 x 2.8 x n.m. n.m. 14.0% 13.4% (10.1%) (5.2%)

Brightcove Inc. 7.78 52.9% 254 (20) 234 1.9 x 1.7 x n.m. n.m. 12.9% 8.3% (1.6%) 1.8%

Constant Contact, Inc. 36.70 94.5% 1,248 (154) 1,094 3.3 x 2.8 x 18.1 x 14.4 x 16.0% 17.0% 18.3% 19.6%

Demandware, Inc. 57.54 70.0% 2,224 (259) 1,965 12.7 x 8.9 x n.m. n.m. 49.5% 42.4% 6.3% 6.5%

HubSpot, Inc. 33.61 87.1% 1,182 (14) 1,167 10.3 x 8.0 x n.m. n.m. 46.0% 28.1% (22.8%) (18.8%)

Marketo, Inc. 32.72 72.7% 1,522 (112) 1,411 9.5 x 7.0 x n.m. n.m. 54.9% 35.9% (17.1%) (11.8%)

Data

Acxiom Corporation 20.27 51.6% 1,561 195 1,756 1.7 x 1.7 x 8.9 x 8.5 x (5.2%) 0.9% 18.9% 19.7%

Alliance Data Systems Corporation 286.05 95.2% 18,370 10,820 29,190 5.5 x 4.4 x 18.5 x 14.8 x 22.9% 25.0% 29.7% 29.7%

Experian plc 16.96 92.0% 16,789 3,840 20,629 4.2 x 4.1 x 12.2 x 11.9 x 1.1% 2.2% 34.6% 34.9%

Teradata Corporation 43.68 88.1% 6,756 (593) 6,163 2.2 x 2.2 x 8.3 x 8.1 x 2.1% 3.3% 27.0% 26.9%

Diversified Internet

Amazon.com Inc. 310.35 76.1% 143,694 (3,784) 139,910 1.6 x 1.3 x 22.9 x 17.4 x 20.0% 18.4% 6.8% 7.6%

AOL Inc. 46.17 86.7% 3,755 (8) 3,746 2.0 x 2.0 x 9.3 x 8.2 x 0.3% 2.0% 21.7% 24.2%

eBay Inc. 56.12 94.0% 70,090 (2,785) 67,305 3.8 x 3.4 x 11.8 x 10.8 x 11.7% 11.8% 31.8% 31.2%

Facebook, Inc. 78.02 94.9% 219,154 (13,972) 205,182 16.6 x 12.0 x 25.3 x 20.1 x 57.4% 37.7% 65.3% 59.9%

Google Inc. 530.66 86.4% 363,154 (51,417) 311,737 5.9 x 5.1 x 14.3 x 12.5 x 21.7% 17.1% 41.5% 40.4%

Yahoo! Inc. 50.51 96.0% 48,481 (9,962) 38,520 8.7 x 8.5 x 44.4 x 36.4 x (0.1%) 2.8% 19.6% 23.3%

25th percentile 2.0 x 1.7 x 11.8 x 10.2 x 12.5% 13.0% (10.1%) (5.4%)

Median 3.8 x 2.8 x 18.1 x 12.5 x 21.7% 21.3% 16.5% 13.6%

75th percentile 5.9 x 4.6 x 25.3 x 17.0 x 54.9% 34.7% 27.0% 27.6%

Page 13: AdTech & MarTech Barometer - 2014 Market Review

27 Soho Square, London, W1D 3AY

t +44 20 7629 7575 | f +44 20 7629 2233

www.resultsig.com

Julie Langley

Partner

Di: +44 (0) 20 7514 8247

E: [email protected]

12

Mark Williams

Director

Di: +44 (0) 20 7514 8242

E: [email protected]

Disclaimer:

This document has been produced by Results International Group LLP (“Results”) and is furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or

in part, to any other person. No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the

information contained herein and, accordingly, none of Results’ officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.

Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority,

Contact Us