Telecommunications and Media ForumJohn Kneuer

The End of History and the Last Man“What we may be witnessing is not just the end of the Cold

War, or the passing of a particular period of post-war history, but the end of history as such: that is the end of point of mankind’s ideological evolution and the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government.”

-- Francis Fukuyama, “The End of History?” 1989

The End of Regulation and the Last MileThe arrival of wireless broadband services from

multiple providers using multiple technology platforms marks the end of the “last mile” bottle neck, and so the end of the need for traditional economic regulation of telecommunications.

Processing Speeds: “Is that the Internet in your pocket or are you just glad to see me?”Apple iPhone – Samsung S5L 8900

Intel – Atom processors “PC-like capabilities, an uncompromised Internet Experience and long battery life in smaller devices that can fit in your pocket.”

Qualcomm SnapDragon – 1Ghz processor

Bandwidth: Technology Competition is Driving Broadband to “Everywhere”

TDMA, CDMA, OFDM

Long Term Evolution -- >100MBs

WiMax -- ~70MBs

UMB (Qualcomm) -- >100MBs

Is 4G the Third Pipe? The Sixth?xDSL to Fiber -- >100MBs

1-2 Consumer Carriers/MarketCable to DOCSIS 3 -- >100MBs

1-2 Carriers/MarketFixed and Mobile Wireless 3G to 4G + --

>100MBs3-4+ Carriers/Market

When you hear hoofbeats, think “horse” not “zebra.”Commercial Wireless Services (Part 20)Personal Communications Services (Part 24)Radio Broadcast Services (Part 73)Interconnected Voice over Internet Protocol

Services (Part 9)Multi-Channel Video and Cable TV Services

(Part 76)Information Service v. Telecommunications

Service

Markets v. Regulation: Open AccessInternet on your handheld (EVDO)

Internet on your laptop (EVDO)

2 Services, 1 Network

Net Neutrality?Four Principles

Consumers are entitled to access lawful content of their choice.

Consumers are entitles to run applications and use services of their choice (subject to the needs of law enforcement).

Consumers are entitled to connect their choice of legal devices that don’t harm the network.

Consumers are entitled to competition among network providers, application and service providers, and content providers.

Legislation?

Challenges for the next AdministrationUniversal Service ReformExpand to include Broadband?Reform first or expansion?

Net Neutrality Fairness Doctrine?

SpectrumLicensed v. Unlicensed

Thank you. Questions?