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OPTIMIZING l MANAGEMENT EPRI‐Sandia PV System Symposium Sanjay Shrestha & Mat Taylor SOLV Performance Team THE FEEDBACK LOOP Operational data as an input to PV design Design Build Test Run Analyze Capacity testing Performance modeling Soiling analytics? Clipping effects Modeled versus Measured Informing design and EPC Start‐up Commissioning Capacity Testing

7 simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

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Page 1: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

EPRI‐Sandia PV System Symposium

Sanjay Shrestha & Mat TaylorSOLV Performance Team

THE  FEEDBACK  LOOPOperat iona l   data   a s   an   i nput   to  PV  des i gn

Design

Build

TestRun

Analyze• Capacity testing• Performance modeling• Soiling analytics?• Clipping effects• Modeled versus Measured• Informing design and EPC

Start‐up 

Commissioning

Capacity Testing

Page 2: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

Q U I Z : W H AT A R E T H E T H R E E M O S T C O M P E L L I N G FA C TO R S A F F E C T I N G P E R F O R M A N C E ?

• Inverter downtime • Grid conditions • Ground faults

Page 3: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

INTRODUCTIONObservat ions  on  how  feedback  m ight  work

What we’ve learned so far…

• Sensor accuracy is always a risk

• PVsyst doesn’t know what a combiner is

• AC loss models available at back‐feed

• Performance confused with Production

• Things that matter are:

• Clipping  

• POI limiting

• Curtailment

Commissioning Process

• 20 Plants / 8 methods

• Same data sets

• Same simulation methods

• Several inverters / modules

• With and without substations

• 1.5 to 80.0 MWAC nameplate 

• Total of 279 MWAC / 363 MWDC

• 1,500 MWAC by December 2016

Page 4: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

MODELING TO TESTINGt rack ing models through commissioningTest Method Key metrics Evaluation

Performance Ratio • Output at POI• POA insolation

• Includes clipping• Includes night load

SRE “PR‐250” • Output at POI• POA irradiance

• POA > 250 W/m²• Excludes clipping

PRmadj • Output at POI•  POA irradiance• Module temperature• Inverter output kW

• POA > 250 W/m²• Excludes clipping• Wind speed filter• Shade and snow filter• Unstable irradiance

• POA > 250 W/m²• Excludes clipping• Wind speed filter• Shade and snow filter• Unstable irradiance

Regression at STC

Regression at RCM

Regression at PTC • Output at POI•  POA irradiance• Inverter output kW• Ambient temperature• Wind Speed

ASTM E2848

SOLV ASTM E2848

Page 5: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

REAL DATA – REAL PLANTSMapp ing   capac i t y   te s t   data   to   r i s k

Page 6: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

REAL DATA – REAL PLANTSMapp ing   capac i t y   te s t   data   to   r i s k

Page 7: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

CAPACITY TESTING Measured  ve rsus  mode led  …  as   a  MODEL?

Normalized production

Peer‐to‐peerComparisons

ComparativeInput current

Production   Specific Production Comparative productionNormalized string current Cumulative energy inputCB Behavior Baseline Comparison to Baseline

Page 8: 7   simulation, construction, operation, & back again - how operational data informs the project life cycle sanjay and mat

O P T I M I Z I N G l M A N A G E M E N T

FEEDBACK TO DESIGNOperat iona l  data   to   i n fo rm  systems   eng ineer ing

Calibrated Simulation

• Hourly resolution

• Generalized soiling

• “Availability” assumption

• (quality/mismatch check)

• AC loss assumptions

• Clipping frequency

Operational Data

• 5‐minute resolution

• Localized soiling

• Lost energy calculation

• DC characterization

• AC collection model

• Clipping behavior