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Sampling Design D.A. Asir John Samuel, BSc (Psy), MPT (Neuro Paed), MAc, DYScEd, C/BLS, FAGE

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Page 1: 4.sampling design

Sampling Design

D.A. Asir John Samuel, BSc (Psy), MPT (Neuro Paed), MAc, DYScEd,

C/BLS, FAGE

Page 2: 4.sampling design

Basic definitions

• Population

- Collection of all the units that are of interest

to the investigator

• Sample

- Representative part of population

• Sampling

- Technique of selecting a representative group

from a population Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 2

Page 3: 4.sampling design

Why ?

• Only feasible method for collecting information

• Reduces demands on resources (time, finance,.)

• Results obtained more quickly

• Better accuracy of collected data

• Ethically acceptable

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 3

Page 4: 4.sampling design

Steps in sampling design

Target population

Study population

Sample

Study participation Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 4

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Characteristic of good sample design

• True representation of population

• May result in small sampling error

• Each member in population should get an

opportunity of being selected

• Systematic bias can be controlled in a better way

• Results should be capable of being extrapolated Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 5

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Types of sample design

• Probability/Random sampling

- Selection of subjects are according to any

predicted chance of probability

• Non-probability/non-random sampling

- Does not depend on any chance of predecided

probability

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 6

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Types of sample design

Sample design

Random sampling

Simple Stratified Systematic Cluster Multistage

Non-random sampling

convenience Quota Judgment

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 7

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Simple random sampling

• Equal and independent chance or probability

of drawing each unit

• Take sampling population

• Need listing of all sampling units (sampling

frame)

• Number all units

• Randomly draw units Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 8

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How to ensure randomness?

• Lottery method

• Table of random numbers

- e.g. Tippett’s series

- Fisher and Yates series

- Kendall and Smith series

- Rand corporation series Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 9

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SRS - Merits

• No personal bias

• Easy to assess the accuracy

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 10

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SRS - Demerits

• Need a complete catalogue of universe

• Large size sample

• Widely dispersed

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 11

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Stratified Random Sampling

• Used for heterogeneous population

• Population is divided into homogeneous

groups (strata), according to a characteristic of

interest (e.g. sex, religion, location)

• Then a simple random sample is selected from

each stratum

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 12

Page 13: 4.sampling design

SRs - Merits

• More representative

• Greater accuracy

• Can acquire information about whole

population and individual strata

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 13

Page 14: 4.sampling design

SRs - Demerits

• Careful stratification

• Random selection in each stratum

• Time consuming

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 14

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Systematic Sampling

• Sampling units are selected in a systematic

way, that is, every Kth unit in the population is

selected

• First divide the population size by the,

required sample size (sampling fraction). Let

the sampling fraction be K

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 15

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Systematic Sampling

• Select a unit at random from the first K units

and thereafter every Kth unit is selected

• If, N=1200

• And n=60

• Then, SF=20

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 16

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SS - Merits

• Simple and convenient

• Less time and work

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 17

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SS - Demerits

• Need complete list of units

• Periodicity

• Less representation

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 18

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Cluster Sampling

• The sampling units are groups or clusters

• The population is divided into clusters, and a

sample of clusters are selected randomly

• All the units in the selected clusters are then

examined or studied

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 19

Page 20: 4.sampling design

Cluster Sampling

• It is always assumed that the individual items

within each cluster are representation of

population

• E.g. District, wards, schools, industries

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 20

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CS - Merits

• Saving of travelling time and consequent

reduction in cost

• Cuts down on the cost of preparing the

sampling frame

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 21

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CS - Demerits

• Units close to each other may be very similar

and so, less likely to represent the whole

population

• Larger sampling error than simple random

sampling

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 22

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Multistage Sampling

• Selection is done in stages until final sampling

units are arrived

• At first stage, Random sampling of large sized

sampling units are selected, from the selected

1st stage sampling units another sampling

units of smaller sampling units are selected,

randomly Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 23

Page 24: 4.sampling design

Multistage Sampling

• Continue until the final sampling units are

selected

• E.g. Few states – District – Taulk

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 24

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MS - Merits

• Cut down the cost of preparing the sampling

frame

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 25

Page 26: 4.sampling design

MS - Demerits

• Sampling error is increased compared to

simple random sampling

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 26

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Quota Sampling

• Interviewers are requested to find cases with

particular types of people to interview

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 27

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Judgment (Purposive Sampling)

• Researcher attempts to obtain sample that

appear to be representative of the population

selected by the researcher subjectively

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 28

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Convenience Sampling

• Sampling comprises subject who are simply

avail in a convenient way to the researcher

• No randomness and likelihood of bias is high

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 29

Page 30: 4.sampling design

Snowball Sampling

• Investigators start with a few subjects and

then recruit more via word of mouth from the

original participants

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 30

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Merits

• Easy

• Low cost

• Limited time

• Total list population

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 31

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Demerits

• Selection bias

• Sample is not representation of population

• doesn’t allow generalization

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 32

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Sample Size

Determination

Page 34: 4.sampling design

p-value

• Probability of getting a minimal difference of

what has observed is due to chance

• Probability that the difference of at least as

large as those found in the data would have

occurred by chance

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 34

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Hypothesis

• Alternate hypothesis (HA)

- Statement predict that a difference or

relationship b/w groups will be demonstrated

• Null hypothesis (H0)

- Researcher anticipate “no difference” or “no

relationship”

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 35

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Decision for 5% LOS

• If p-value <0.05, then data is against null

hypothesis

• If p-value ≥0.05, then data favours null

hypothesis

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 36

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Type I & II errors

Possible states of Null Hypothesis

Possible actions on

Null Hypothesis

True False

Accept Correct Action

Type II error

Reject Type I error

Correct Action

Prob (Type I error) – α (LoS) Prob (Type II error) – β 1-β – power of test

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 37

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Z values

Z 0.05 – 1.96 – 95%

Z 0.10 – 1.282 – 90%

Z 0.20 – 0.84 – 80%

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 38

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Comparison of 2 means

n= 2 [(Zα+Zβ)s/d]²

Zα – LoS

Zβ – power of study

s – pooled SD of the two sample

d – clinically significant difference

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 39

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Eg. for Comparison of 2 means

• A RCT to study the effect of BP reduction. One group received a control diet and other-test diet. What would be the sample size in order to provide the study with power of 90% to detect a difference in sys. BP of 2 mm Hg b/w two groups at 5% LoS? The SD of sys. BP is observed to be 6 mmHg.

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 40

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Estimating proportion

n = Z α² P (1-P) / d²

P – proportion of event in population

d – acceptable margin of error in estimating the true population proportion

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 41

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Eg. Estimating proportion

• To determine the prevalence of navicular drop in ACL injured population by anticipating of 15% with acceptable margin of error is 3%

= (1.96)²(0.15)(0.85) / (0.03)²

= 544.2

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 42

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Estimating mean

n = (Zα σ / d)²

σ – anticipated SD of population

d – acceptable margin of error in estimating true population mean

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 43

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Eg. Estimating mean

• To determine the mean no. of days to ambulate pt undergoing stroke rehabilation among stroke pts. Where anticipated SD of days are 60 and acceptable margin of error is 20 days

n = (1.96 x 60/20)²

n = (5.88)² = 34.6

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 44

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Comparison of 2 proportions

n = (Zα √2PQ + Zβ√P1Q1+P2Q2)²/(P1-P2)²

P = P1+P2/2 Q = 1-P

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 45

Page 46: 4.sampling design

Eg. Comparison of 2 proportions

• To see whether there is any sig. difference in percentage of strength increase after 4 wks of intervention b/w a new technique and standard one

• Standard one – 70% (P1)

• New technique – 75% (P2)

Dr. Asir John Samuel (PT), Lecturer, ACP 46