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Income Inequality and Wealth Redistribution May20, 2013

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Page 1: 052013

Income Inequality and Wealth Redistribution

May20, 2013

Page 2: 052013

Announcements

• Homework due Wednesday (May 22).

• New Homework posted to website before next class, due the following Wednesday (May 29).

Page 3: 052013

Last Class

• Human capital theory of marginal value of labor to production

• Imperfections in wage determination– Unions

– Discrimination

– Wage differentials

• Both free-market principles and imperfections determine wages.

Page 4: 052013

Learning Goals for Today

• Summarize the trends in US income inequality since 1980.

• Substantiate the argument underlying John Rawls’s ``Veil of Ignorance.’’

• Describe three methods of income redistribution.

– Argue why one (which?) is better than the other two, and why.

Page 5: 052013

Trends in InequalityMedian Income by Quintile for US

(2009 dollars)

Quantile 1980 1990 2000 2009

Bottom 20% 15,889 15,643 17,590 15,289

Second 20% 34,588 36,488 40,218 37,045

Middle 20% 52,251 56,194 63,208 59,907

Fourth 20% 72,492 80,813 93,156 90,962

Top 20% 122,054 150,188 195,451 189,486

Top 5% 173,510 235,652 346,342 325,023

Page 6: 052013

Trends in Inequality After 1980

Source: Inequality.org

Page 7: 052013

Trends in Inequality Prior to 1980

Source: Inequality.org

Page 8: 052013

Recent Trends in Inequality

• In 1980, CEOs earned 42 times the salary of average the worker.

• In 2000, CEOs earned more than 500 times the salary of the average worker.

• Dick Fuld (CEO of Lehman Brothers circa 2008) had a three-story car garage with a car elevator.

Page 9: 052013

What About After Taxes?

Source: Inequality.org

Page 10: 052013

What About Income Mobility?

• Some people argue that income inequality is not a problem in the United States because of the high degree of economic mobility across generations.

• US income mobility across generations is low and there’s no evidence that it’s increasing.

Page 11: 052013

Correlations in the Earnings of Fathers and Sons

Country Correlation

United States .41-.54

Sweden .14

Canada .17-.19

Finland .22

Germany .10-.36

Malaysia .33-.37

Source: Bjorkland and Jantti, 2000

Page 12: 052013

John Rawls and the Veil of Ignorance

• The "right" income distribution is a normative matter.

• Rawls proposed a "fair" income distribution is one that people would accept before they know their position in the distribution

– Equality of distribution is favored by anyone who is risk averse.

– Strong disincentive to investing in human capital, taking risk, working hard.

• Less liberal slant: See Robert Nozick, Anarchy, State, and Utopia (free market perspective on “fairness.”)

Page 13: 052013

Acceptable Income Distributions

• If income is distributed equally, total output is smaller than in a country with earnings incentives.

• Rawls argued that inequality would be acceptable if it increases total output by "enough”.

• Rawls also argued that market systems produce more inequality than acceptable

– Fairness requires some attempt to reduce income inequality produced by the market

Page 14: 052013

The Challenge of Income Redistribution

• Raising incomes of the needy reduce incentives to work and make prudent decisions.

– Difficulty distinguishing between needy and others

• Example: Hurricane victims

• No perfect solution

– Choose among imperfect alternatives

Page 15: 052013

Methods of Redistributing Income

• There is substantial and growing income inequality in the United States.

• The problem is that redistribution can lead to inefficient outcomes.

• Methods for redistributing income

– How does each work?

– What are the costs and benefits of each?

Page 16: 052013

In-kind Transfers and Cash Transfers

• In-kind transfers: direct transfers of goods or services

– Food stamps

– Medicaid

– Public housing

– Free schools lunches

• Cash transfers: direct transfers of cash (“welfare”).

– AFDC (60’s-1996)

– TANF (1996-present)

Page 17: 052013

Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC)

• AFDC: Aid to Families with Dependent Children

– Targeted to single-parent families

– Provided monthly benefits that depended on family size and family income

– Administered by the Federal government

• Potential problems

– Discourages marriage.

– Creates a work disincentive.

– Fear that people would become “dependent” on AFDC.

Page 18: 052013

Temporary Assistance to Needy Families (TANF)

• Created as part of the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Act of 1996 (PRWORA)

– Replaced AFDC with TANF

– Provided cash grants from federal government to states

– States determine details of how policy implemented

– Five-year lifetime limit on benefits for each recipient

• Some evidence that it has reduced welfare rolls.

• May aggravate the condition of the poorest during economic recessions

Page 19: 052013

Means-Tested Benefit Programs

• A means-tested program:– A benefit program whose benefit level declines as the recipient earns

additional income. The intention is to avoid paying benefits to those who can support themselves.

• Administrative structure discourages work

– If benefits are reduced by $1 for each $2 earned, participants in multiple programs may lose more benefits than the income they earn.

• Administrative costs are high

– Extremely expensive to administer.

Page 20: 052013

The Negative Income Tax (NIT)

• Negative income tax:– a system under which the government would grant each citizen a cash

payment each year, financed by a tax on earned income.

• With NIT, low income families receive a cash transfer while high income families pay tax.

• Family with no income would receive the federal poverty threshold

Page 21: 052013

The Negative Income Tax (NIT)

After-Tax Income

Pre-Tax Income

No Taxes

NIT

tax

transfer

$5,000

$5,000 for everyone, tax=10%

$50,000

Page 22: 052013

Negative Income Tax

• Advantages

– Incentive to work is greater than with current mean-tested programs because people are guaranteed to keep at least some portion of what they earn.

– Lower administrative cost because a single program administered through IRS.

• Disadvantages

– Creates an incentive to not work because the NIT guarantees income to all who do not work.

– The political cost is high.

Page 23: 052013

Minimum Wages

W0

L0Employment

Wage ($/hour)

S

D

Page 24: 052013

Minimum Wages

W0

L0Employment

Wage ($/hour)

S

D

unemployed

Page 25: 052013

Minimum Wages

• Effect on total earnings (w*L) is ambiguous because wages increase but employment falls. Whether total earnings increase or decrease will depend on the elasticity of demand for labor.

• Studies show little effect of minimum wage on employment, and if so the loss in total surplus may be small.

Page 26: 052013

L (work-hours/day)

W (

$/h

ou

r)

S

D

10

5,000

5

0

No Minimum Wage

Minimum Wages and Total Surplus

L (work-hours/day)

S

W (

$/h

ou

r)D

5,000

5

10

0

Minimum Wage ($7)

3

3,000

7

Page 27: 052013

L (work-hours/day)

W (

$/h

ou

r)

S

D

10

5,000

5

0

No Minimum Wage

Minimum Wages and Total Surplus

L (work-hours/day)

S

W (

$/h

ou

r)D

5,000

5

10

0

Minimum Wage ($7)

3

3,000

7

Consumer Surplus

Page 28: 052013

L (work-hours/day)

W (

$/h

ou

r)

S

D

10

5,000

5

0

No Minimum Wage

Minimum Wages and Total Surplus

L (work-hours/day)

S

W (

$/h

ou

r)D

5,000

5

10

0

Minimum Wage ($7)

3

3,000

7

Producer Surplus

Page 29: 052013

L (work-hours/day)

W (

$/h

ou

r)

S

D

10

5,000

5

0

No Minimum Wage

Minimum Wages and Total Surplus

L (work-hours/day)

S

W (

$/h

ou

r)D

5,000

5

10

0

Minimum Wage ($7)

3

3,000

7

Deadweight Loss

Page 30: 052013

Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)

• Clearly, minimum wage increases CS, but decreases TS=CS+PS through decreasing PS.

• An EITC directly transfers cash from employers to workers.

• The form of a rebate on tax return to laborers.

Page 31: 052013

EITC Is a Better Option

• Without minimum wageconsumer surplus is $12,500/day.

• Minimum wage increases this to $16,500/day.

• Goal: bring worker surplus to $16,500/day using EITC

– Introduce an earned-income tax credit of $0.80/hr for 5,000 person hours/day (total of $4000).

– Finance with a $4000/day tax on employers.

• Efficient

– Worker surplus

– Firm surplus

– Both at least as well off as under a minimum wage

Page 32: 052013

Public Employment for the Poor

• Overcomes the shortcomings of the EITC and NIT

– EITC does not help the unemployed

– NIT reduces the incentive to work

• Problems

– “Make-work” programs are not productive

– Increases government bureaucracy

Page 33: 052013

A Combination of Methods• No single method is perfect.

• In reality, we have a combination of programs.

• The social safety net in the United States is complex—Food stamps, TANF, EITC, minimum wage, SSI (disability), Medicaid, etc.

Page 34: 052013

Federal Government Outlays, 2011Billions of

Current Dollars % of Total

National Defense 705.6 19.6%

Individual Payments 2,345.6 65.1%

Social Security 730.6 20.3%

Federal Employees Retirement 181.4 5.0%

Unemployment Insurance 118.6 3.3%

Medicare, Medicaid & Other Medical 913.0 25.3%

Assistance to Students 58.6 1.6%

Housing Assistance 45.9 1.3%

Food Stamps and Other Food Assistance 103.1 2.9%

Public Assistance 188.4 5.2%

SSI 49.6 1.4%

TANF 21.3 0.6%

EITC 55.7 1.5%

Other Public Assistance 61.8 1.7%

Other Individual Payments 6.0 0.2%

Other 551.9 15.3%

TOTAL OUTLAYS 3,603.1 100.0%