Click here to load reader
Upload
rotoql
View
188
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Course 4: NFL Strategy
WR Selection for Cash Games
www.rotoql.com1
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
WR Selection: Key Stats
2
Stat Notes
Targets Notes WR opportunity regardless matchup
YpC (Yards per Carry/Catch) Great indicator of performance and perceived ownership
Playcall Distribution Better offenses get more opportunities to score
DvP Matchup Great matchups indicate consistent and chalk plays
Salary Bargain values available at WR position
Value FPTs / Salary
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
WR Selection: Using Vegas and Advanced Stats
3
Stat Notes
Game Flow How a game is expected to play out via Vegas
Spread Larger spread = higher chance of blowout
Over / Under Higher O/U = high possibility of fantasy points
Team Projected Points Relate to opponent helps predict game flow
Snap Count Indicates how much opportunity a player gets during a game
Red Zone Targets Touches inside the scoring area
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
Plus/Minus for Big Spread Games
4Source: Fantasy LabsNote: data is from 2014-2015 NFL Season
Position
Plus/Minus
Plus/Minus by Position for Games with Double Digit Spreads
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
Using Vegas
5Source: Daily Fantasy TeamsNote: data is from 2013-2014 NFL Season
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
WR Height vs Fantasy Points
6Source: Pro Football Focus
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
Lineup Construction with WRs: Key Elements
7
● WR CV
● Plus / Minus by Days Rest
● Lineup Construction - 3 WR and Flex position
● QL Wire Content
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
WR CV
8Source: 4for4Note: data is from 2013-2014 NFL Season
Coefficient of Variation (CV)
Position
CV by Position
Coefficient of Variation (CV) -- the standard deviation of a data set divided by its mean. CVs can be used as a measure of consistency.
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
Plus/Minus by Days Rest
9Source: Fantsay LabsNote: data is from 2014 NFL Season
Number of Days Rest
Plus/Minus
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
NFL Cash Game Lineup Example
Source: DFS Mancave10
www.rotoql.com
www.rotoql.com
More Resources
Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL
• rotoql.zendesk.com
Monitor daily fantasy news, strategy and advice articles at the QL Wire
• rotoql.com/qlwire
If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU
• rotoql.com/university
11