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NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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Page 1: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

Course 4: NFL Strategy

WR Selection for Cash Games

www.rotoql.com1

Page 2: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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WR Selection: Key Stats

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Stat Notes

Targets Notes WR opportunity regardless matchup

YpC (Yards per Carry/Catch) Great indicator of performance and perceived ownership

Playcall Distribution Better offenses get more opportunities to score

DvP Matchup Great matchups indicate consistent and chalk plays

Salary Bargain values available at WR position

Value FPTs / Salary

Page 3: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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WR Selection: Using Vegas and Advanced Stats

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Stat Notes

Game Flow How a game is expected to play out via Vegas

Spread Larger spread = higher chance of blowout

Over / Under Higher O/U = high possibility of fantasy points

Team Projected Points Relate to opponent helps predict game flow

Snap Count Indicates how much opportunity a player gets during a game

Red Zone Targets Touches inside the scoring area

Page 4: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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Plus/Minus for Big Spread Games

4Source: Fantasy LabsNote: data is from 2014-2015 NFL Season

Position

Plus/Minus

Plus/Minus by Position for Games with Double Digit Spreads

Page 5: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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Using Vegas

5Source: Daily Fantasy TeamsNote: data is from 2013-2014 NFL Season

Page 6: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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WR Height vs Fantasy Points

6Source: Pro Football Focus

Page 7: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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Lineup Construction with WRs: Key Elements

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● WR CV

● Plus / Minus by Days Rest

● Lineup Construction - 3 WR and Flex position

● QL Wire Content

Page 8: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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WR CV

8Source: 4for4Note: data is from 2013-2014 NFL Season

Coefficient of Variation (CV)

Position

CV by Position

Coefficient of Variation (CV) -- the standard deviation of a data set divided by its mean. CVs can be used as a measure of consistency.

Page 9: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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Plus/Minus by Days Rest

9Source: Fantsay LabsNote: data is from 2014 NFL Season

Number of Days Rest

Plus/Minus

Page 10: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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NFL Cash Game Lineup Example

Source: DFS Mancave10

Page 11: NFL: WR Selection for Cash Games

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More Resources

Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL

• rotoql.zendesk.com

Monitor daily fantasy news, strategy and advice articles at the QL Wire

• rotoql.com/qlwire

If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU

• rotoql.com/university

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