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Course 4: NFL Strategy
QB Selection for Cash Games
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QB Selection: Key Stats
2
Stat Notes
Avg. Yards per Attempt Indicates opportunity for big plays and fantasy points
Playcall Distribution Better offenses get more opportunities to score
DvP Matchup Great matchups indicate consistent and chalk plays
Strength of Schedule How difficult have opponent's been? Can influence past performance
Salary Players don’t generally pay up for high-priced QBs
Value FPTs / Salary
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QB Selection: Vegas and Advanced Stats
3
Stat Notes
Team Projected Points Relate to opponent helps predict game flow
Red Zone Attempts Touches inside the scoring area
Game Flow How a game is expected to play out via Vegas
Weather High Wind and Precipitations
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QB Selection: Using Vegas
4Source: Washington Post
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Plus/Minus for Big Spread Games
5Source: Fantasy LabsNote: data is from 2014-2015 NFL Season
Position
Plus/Minus
Plus/Minus by Position for Games with Double Digit Spreads
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QB Selection: Other Factors
6Source: 4for4
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Lineup Construction with QBs: Key Elements
Stat Notes
QB CV Higher priced QBs tend to be more consistent
Ownership Cash game strategy don’t need to factor ownership
Player Usage Rates Dual threat - more consistent, higher usage
Spread QB in close games tend to be more consistent
Days Rest Thursday night games generally poor plays
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QB CV
8Source: 4for4Note: data is from 2013-2014 NFL Season
Coefficient of Variation (CV)
Position
CV by Position
Coefficient of Variation (CV) -- the standard deviation of a data set divided by its mean. CVs can be used as a measure of consistency.
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Plus/Minus by Days Rest
9Source: Fantasy LabsNote: data is from 2014 NFL Season
Number of Days Rest
Plus/Minus
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NFL Cash Game Lineup Example
Source: DFS Mancave10
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More Resources
Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL
• rotoql.zendesk.com
If you have specific questions, feel free to email us any time
If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU
• rotoql.com/university
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