Session I hannah kim

The APEC Climate Center and Open Innova6on

Hannah Kim / APEC Climate Center

Busan, Korea

UN Climate Summit held at the UN HQ in September 2014 Defining issue of our -me, bold ac-on required to reduce emissions

Advance Climate Ac6on on Five Fronts: •  Cu8ng Emissions •  Mobilizing Money and Markets •  Pricing Carbon •  Strengthening Resilience •  Mobilizing New Coali-ons APCC partners in providing robust climate predic-on technologies

Climate Change

source: www.un.org

Na6onal Planning

How do Na6ons plan for: •  Disaster Management •  Energy Demands •  Water Usage •  Agriculture in the short, medium and long term? How do policy makers decide on investments to meet both current needs and future demand? Alleviate risk of climate change efficiently and effec-vely APCC can help with climate informa-on, research and tech support

Busan Flash Flood, August 2014 source: www.bbc.com

Overview of the APEC Climate Center

The APEC Climate Center (APCC) is a leading climate informa-on service provider in the Asia-‐Pacific region. We provide seasonal climate forecasts and other climate informa-on products and services, conduct research and development ac-vi-es, and organize capacity building ini-a-ves for scien-sts from developing economies

History of the APEC Climate Center

• KMA proposed the establishment of the APEC Climate Network in 1998

• In 2005, during the 13th APEC Economic Leaders' Mee-ng in Busan, Korea, APCC was formally launched

APCC strives to strengthen scien-fic and technological coopera-on across the APEC region in order to help economies and socie-es deal effec-vely with the consequences of current and future climate-‐related hazards through the provision of climate informa-on, research and technical support

V I S I O N

Structure of the APEC Climate Center

Board of Trustees

Director

External Affairs Department

Climate Research Department

Climate Policy Department

Administration Department

Climate Prediction Team

Climate Analysis Team

Climate Change Research Team

Climate Informatics Development Team

As of August, 2014

Ac6vi6es of the APEC Climate Center

v  Climate Services

APCC provides opera-onal services such as monthly seasonal outlooks and climate monitoring and predic-on products, as well as conduc-ng climate change R&D and suppor-ng online tools and data services

•  Seasonal temperature and precipita-on outlook

•  Drought and flood monitoring, •  6-‐month lead coupled MME outlook

(ENSO, SST, IOD)

o  Global climate forecast data from 17 ins6tutes (9 economies) o  Monthly rolling 3-‐month and 6-‐month MME climate forecast o  Coopera-on on decadal predic-on and climate change projec-on

* ADSS : APCC Data Server System * OPeNDAP : Open-‐source Project for a Network Data Access Protocol * FTP : File Transfer Protocol

MME Climate Forecast

Produc-on, Analysis, & Dissemina-on

(ADSS, OPeNDAP, FTP)

Climate Monitoring

Climate Network

···

··· Joint Research

Interna-onal Collabora-on

Outreach & Training Program

Climate Science: MME Climate Forecast

Mul6-‐Ins6tu6onal Coopera6on

BSISO Forecast

-‐ Scaling Up from Seasonal to Intraseasonal Forecas6ng -‐

• Since Summer 2013, APCC has begun to release a Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscilla-on (BSISO) forecast

• Provides cri-cal informa-on for predic-ng the onset and characteris-cs of the monsoon season in the Asia region

• The informa-on can be useful for coping with extreme climate events and can help mi-gate the associated agricultural and socioeconomic impacts

Accessing APCC Forecasts

hgp://www.apcc21.org

• Rolling 3-‐month and 6-‐month lead forecasts and “State of Our Climate” assessment available on our website

• Climate highlights and forecast outlook

• Detailed monthly and regional predic-on and relevant verifica-on

• Forecast informa-on also distributed through our mailing list

h[p://clik.apcc21.net

• Innova-ve, web-‐based tool for data retrieval and climate predic-on

• Customized 3-‐MON Mul--‐Model Ensemble Predic-on and locally specific downscaling

• Produced over 1,200 MME Predic-on & 600 Verifica-on results by user requests

• Since March 2009, 3,882 visitors from 497 ci-es have accessed and used CLIK

• The visitor count is con-nuously increasing

Climate Informa6on Tool Kit (CLIK)

Ac6vi6es of the APEC Climate Center

APCC engages in various capacity building and training exercises, especially targe-ng par-cipants from developing countries. Through these ac-vi-es, we aim to build the adap-ve capacity of these groups to produce and access the highest quality informa-on for risk management and strategic planning

v  Capacity Building

Young Scien6sts Support Program (YSSP)

• APCC supports the research of outstanding young scien-sts from developing countries as visi-ng scien-sts for a period of approximately 3 months

• APCC provides data, equipment, and support from our research staff

• The visi-ng scien-sts conduct research on themes such as: o  climate predic-on and monitoring o  climate change and impact assessments

o  climate informa-cs o  climate applica-ons to relevant sectors

APCC Training Programs

• 2011: Climate predic-on, sta-s-cal and dynamical downscaling 2012a: Climate predic-on and applica-ons (agriculture and water resources) 2012b: Climate variability and seasonal predic-on 2013: Producing High Resolu-on Climate Informa-on: Scien-fic Basis and

Applica-ons 2014a: Producing High Resolu-on Climate Informa-on and its Applica-on Using

Downscaling Scheme

•  Since its establishment in 2006, APCC has trained 202 par-cipants from over 40 countries

External Training Programs

–  In response to requests from developing countries and ins-tu-onal partners, we support training programs in the requested countries

APEC Climate Symposium

•  Annual event held since 2005

•  Highlights state-‐of-‐the-‐art climate predic-on techniques as well as the applica-on of climate informa-on for social welfare and economic prosperity

•  2012 “Harnessing and Using Climate Informa-on for Decision Making”, with a focus on the Agriculture Sector (St. Petersburg, Russia)

•  2013 “Regional Coopera-on on Drought Predic-on Science to Support Disaster Preparedness and Management” (Jakarta, Indonesia)

•  2014(e) “Managing Climate Extremes and Hydrologic Disasters: Scien-fic Predic-on and Emergency Preparedness” (Nanjing, China)

Climate Science for Society and Sustainable Global Communi6es

APCC strives to respond to societal needs and is beginning to create specialized forums and informa-on products for stakeholders in sectors such as Agriculture, Health, Water Resources Management, and Energy Efficiency

v  Societal Applica6ons

A Fire and Haze Early Warning System for Southeast Asia

Crea-on of a prototype Early Warning System (EWS) for Fire Danger Condi-ons in Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore by using seasonal forecasts to predict the drought condi-ons that trigger forest fires

APCC’s exper-se in opera-onal seasonal climate forecas-ng and experience with capacity building and training programs makes it uniquely qualified to carry out this project


Pilot Study of Early Warning and Risk Assessment on Drought Disaster – Chinese Taipei

Applied sta-s-cally downscaled precipita-on predic-on to extreme droughts over northern Chinese Taipei. Developed new tools for drought predic-on based on dynamical sta-s-cal forecast results.


Assessing agricultural produc6vity under the changing climate AR5 Climate Change Scenarios → Downscaled Locally Specific Informa6on GIS + process-‐based crop model → Agricultural Produc6on Scenarios → Provincial & Na6onal Policy

Crop Modeling

•  80% of Cambodia’s popula-on •  More than 30% of the GDP

Agriculture Sector


Interna6onal Collabora6ons & Interdisciplinary Research

Collabora-ve Research on Applica-on of Seasonal Forecasts to Predict the Electricity Demand in Japan Central Research Ins@tute of Electric Power Industry, Japan


Interna6onal Collabora6ons & Interdisciplinary Research

Development of an Atmospheric Model-‐Based Rainfall and Flood Forecas-ng System for Real-‐Time Flood Alerts in Urban Areas Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Korea

Development of an APCC Opera-onal ISO MME System and Inves-ga-on of Arc-c and High-‐la-tude Influences on the East Asian Climate Interna@onal Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, U.S.A.


APCC goal is to support more effec6ve planning and implementa6on of climate change, energy and environment policies with robust climate predic6on •  APCC would like to invite access to our data services •  APCC can support and collaborate on future projects

For more informa@on please visit www.apcc21.org

Conclusion

THANK YOU! web: www.apcc21.org email: [email protected]

TEL: +82-‐51-‐745-‐3900, FAX: +82-‐51-‐745-‐3949