157
RESEARCH DATA INTERPRETATION BY PROF A. BALASUBRAMANIAN CENTRE FOR ADVANCED STUDIES IN EARTH SCEINCE UNIVERSITY OF MYSORE, INDIA

Research data interpretation

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Research data interpretation

RESEARCH DATA INTERPRETATION

BY

PROF A. BALASUBRAMANIAN

CENTRE FOR ADVANCED STUDIES IN EARTH SCEINCE

UNIVERSITY OF MYSORE, INDIA

Page 2: Research data interpretation

2

‘All meanings, we know, depend on the key of interpretation.’

-George Eliot

Page 3: Research data interpretation

Principles of Analysis and Interpretation

Data, as used in behavioral research, means research results from which inferences are drawn: usually numerical results, like scores of tests and statistics such as means, percentages, and correlation coefficients.

Analysis means the categorizing, ordering, manipulating, and summarizing of data to obtain answers to research questions.

Interpretation takes the results of analysis, makes inferences pertinent to the research relations studied, and draws conclusions about these relations.

Page 4: Research data interpretation

Methods of data interpretationDirect visual observations of raw data

After organizing the data in tables

After making Graphical representations

After calculations using numerical / statistical methods

After mathematical modelling

Page 5: Research data interpretation

DATAData is known to be crude information

and not knowledge by itself.

The sequence from data to knowledge is:

from Data to Information,

from Information to Facts, and finally,

from Facts to Knowledge.

Page 6: Research data interpretation

DATA Data becomes information, when it becomes

relevant to your decision problem.

Information becomes fact, when the data can support it.

Facts are what the data reveals.

However the decisive instrumental (i.e., applied) knowledge is expressed together with some statistical degree of confidence.

Page 7: Research data interpretation

Fact becomes knowledge, when it is used in the successful completion of a decision process.

massive amount of facts are integrated as knowledge.

Page 8: Research data interpretation
Page 9: Research data interpretation

Usefulness and utility of research findings lie in proper interpretation.

Interpretation is a basic component of research.

After collecting and analyzing the data, the researcher has to accomplish the task of drawing inferences followed by report writing.

This has to be done very carefully, otherwise misconclusions may be drawn and the whole purpose of doing research may get vitiated.

It is only through interpretation that the researcher can expose relations and processes that underlie his findings.

Page 10: Research data interpretation

Meaning of Interpretation Interpretation refers to the task of drawing inferences

from the collected facts after an analytical and or experimental study.

In fact, it is a search for broader meaning of research findings.

The task of interpretation has two major aspects viz.,

the effort to establish continuity in research through linking the results of a given study with those of another, and the establishment of some explanation concepts.

Page 11: Research data interpretation

“In one sense, interpretation is concerned with relationships within the collected data, partially overlapping analysis.

Interpretation also extends beyond the data of the study to inch the results of other research, theory and hypotheses.”

Page 12: Research data interpretation

Interpenetration is the deviceThus, interpenetration is the device through

which the factors that seem to explain what has been observed by researcher in the course of the study can be better understood and it also provides a theoretical conception which can serve as a guide for further researches.

Page 13: Research data interpretation

Why Interpretation? Interpretation is essential for the simple

reason that the usefulness and utility of research findings lie in proper interpretation.

It is being considered a basic component of research process because of the following reasons:

Page 14: Research data interpretation

Through interpretation It is through interpretation that the researcher

can well understand the abstract principle that works beneath his findings.

Through this he can link up his findings with those of other studies, having the same abstract principle, and thereby can predict about the concrete world of events. Fresh inquiries can test these predictions later on.

This way the continuity in research can be maintained.

Page 15: Research data interpretation

Interpretation leads to establishment Interpretation leads to the establishment of

explanatory concepts that can serve as a guide for future research studies;

it opens new avenues of intellectual adventure and stimulates the quest for more knowledge.

Researcher can better appreciate only through interpretation why his findings are what they are and can make others to understand the real significance of his research findings.

Page 16: Research data interpretation

Interpretation of the findings The interpretation of the findings of exploratory

research study often results into hypotheses for experimental research and as such interpretation is involved in the transition from exploratory to experimental research.

Since an exploratory study does not have a hypothesis to start with, the findings of such a study have to be interpreted on a post factum basis in which case the interpretation is technically described as ‘post factum’ interpretation.

Page 17: Research data interpretation

Technique of Interpretation The task of interpretation is not an easy job,

rather it requires a great skill and dexterity on the part of researcher.

Interpretation is an art that one learns through practice and experience.

The researcher may, at times, seek the guidance from experts for accomplishing the task of interpretation.

Page 18: Research data interpretation

The technique of interpretation The technique of interpretation often involves the

following steps:

1. Researcher must give reasonable explanations of the relations which he/she has found and he/she must interpret the lines of relationship in terms of the underlying processes and must try to find out the thread of uniformity that lies under the surface layer of his diversified research findings.

In fact, this is the technique of how generalization should be done and concepts be formulated.

Page 19: Research data interpretation

2. Extraneous information, if collected during the study, must be considered while interpreting the final results of research study, for it may prove to be a key factor in understanding the problem under consideration.

Page 20: Research data interpretation

3. It is advisable, before embarking upon final interpretation, to , consult someone having insight into the study and who is frank and honest and will not hesitate to point out omissions and errors in logical argumentation. Such a consultation will result in correct interpretation and, thus, will enhance the utility of research results.

4. Researcher must accomplish the task of interpretation only after considering all relevant factors affecting the problem to avoid false generalization. He /she must be in no hurry while interpreting results, for quite often the conclusions, which appear to be all right at the beginning, may not at all be accurate.

Page 21: Research data interpretation

Precautions in InterpretationOne should always remember that even if

the data are properly collected and analyzed, wrong interpretation would lead to inaccurate conclusions.

It is, therefore, absolutely essential that the task of , interpretation be accomplished with patience in an impartial manner and also in correct perspective.

Page 22: Research data interpretation

For correct interpretation Researcher must pay attention to the following points

for correct interpretation:(i) At the outset, researcher must invariably satisfy himself that(a) the data are appropriate, trustworthy and adequate for drawing inferences;(b) the data reflect good homogeneity; and that(c) proper analysis has been done through statistical methods.(ii) The researcher must remain cautious about the errors that can possibly arise in the process of interpreting results.

Page 23: Research data interpretation

Errors can arise due to false generalization Errors can arise due to false generalization and/or due

to wrong interpretation of statistical measures, such as the application of findings beyond the range of observations, identification of correlation with causation . and the like.

Another major pitfall is the tendency to affirm that definite relationships exist on the basis of confirmation of particular hypotheses.

Page 24: Research data interpretation

Researcher must remain vigilant

In fact, the positive test results accepting the hypothesis must be interpreted as “being in accord” with the hypothesis, rather than as “confirming the validity of the hypothesis”.

The researcher must remain vigilant about all such things so that false generalization may not take place.

He/she should be well equipped with and must know the correct use of statistical measures for drawing inferences concerning his study.

Page 25: Research data interpretation

Researcher must always keep in view that the task of interpretation is very much intertwined with analysis and cannot be distinctly separated.

As such he must take the task of interpretation as a special aspect of analysis and accordingly must take all those precautions that one usually observes while going through the process of analysis viz., precautions concerning the reliability of data, computational checks, validation and comparison of results.

Page 26: Research data interpretation

Researcher must never lose sight of the fact that his task is not only to make sensitive observations of relevant occurrences, but also to identify and disengage the factors that are initially hidden to the eye.

This will enable him to do his job of interpretation on proper lines.

Broad generalization should be avoided as most research is not amen- able to it because the coverage may be restricted to a particular time, a particular area and particular conditions.

Such restrictions, if any, must invariably be specified and the results must be framed within their limits.

Page 27: Research data interpretation

The researcher must remember that “ideally in the course of a research study, there should be constant interaction between initial hypothesis, empirical observation and theoretical conceptions.

It is exactly in this area of interaction between theoretical orientation and empirical observation that opportunities for originality and creativity lie.”

Researcher must pay special attention to this aspect while engaged in the task of interpretation.

Page 28: Research data interpretation

Data Interpretation Methods

Data interpretation may be the most important key in proving or disproving your hypothesis.

It is important to select the proper statistical tool to make useful interpretation of your data.

If you pick an improper data analysis method, your results may be suspect and lack credibility.

Page 29: Research data interpretation

Visually scanning the data

Before doing any statistical analyses of the data you have collected, look closely at the data to determine the best method of organizing it .

By visually scanning the data and reorganizing it, you may be able to spot trends or other anomalies that may help you in your analysis of the data.

Page 30: Research data interpretation

STATISTICS Statistics is a science assisting you to

make decisions under uncertainties (based on some numerical and measurable scales).

Decision making process must be based on data neither on personal opinion nor on any belief.

Page 31: Research data interpretation

What is Statistical Data Analysis?

Data are not information! To determine what statistical data analysis is, one must first define statistics.

Statistics is a set of methods that are used to collect, analyze, present, and interpret data.

Page 32: Research data interpretation

Statistical methods

Statistical methods are used in a wide variety of occupations and help people identify, study, and solve many complex problems.

In the business and economic world, these methods enable decision makers and managers to make informed and better decisions about uncertain situations.

Page 33: Research data interpretation

Review-Statistics: “We can think of statistics as a group of

computational procedures that allow us to find meaning in numerical data”.

Descriptive statistics provide a description of what the data look like.

They provide a means to describe the points of central tendency (mean, mode, median, etc.) and dispersion (standard deviation, variance, inter-quartile range, etc.).

Page 34: Research data interpretation

Inferential statistics allow the researcher to make inferences about populations from smaller samples of the

population.

Statistics of the sample are used to estimate parameters of the population.

A parameter is a constant value representative of the population (such as population mean and standard deviation) while a statistic is any calculation performed on the sample being tested.

Inferential statistics also allow the researcher to test their research hypotheses.

Some measures used in inferential statistics include the standard error of the mean, estimators, and the p-value.

Page 35: Research data interpretation

The way that the data is interpreted can have varying effects on your conclusions.

Absolute honesty in recording and interpreting data is required to maintain the credibility of research.

All of the conditions of a situation should be considered and that we make inferences in strict accordance with the data obtained.

Page 36: Research data interpretation

Using statistics to determine relationships is paramount to the success of good research.

Using tools such as ANOVA, correlations, Fisher Exact Tests, regression, etc. can predict whether or not your research hypothesis is satisfied.

But, REMEMBER to select your p-value before you begin your research project.

Doing this will add credibility to your research.

Page 37: Research data interpretation

One other important point to remember when doing data analysis is to use parametric statistics instead of nonparametric statistics whenever possible.

Remember that parametric statistics relies on the assumptions of normality, which gives greater power than nonparametric testing.

Both parametric and nonparametric statistical tests are used for interpretation.

Page 38: Research data interpretation

Interpreting Qualitative Data: Qualitative data interpretation tends to be more

subjective in nature and many times can be influenced by the researcher’s biases.

Effort must be put into the data collection process to eliminate bias including collecting more than one kind of data, get many different kinds of perspectives on the events being studied, purposely look for contradicting information, and acknowledging your biases that relate to your research report.

Page 39: Research data interpretation

Qualitative data analysis Qualitative data analysis is time consuming and

complex because a lot of data can be created that is both useful and not useful.

There is no “correct way” to analyze qualitative data.

Efforts can be made to make your data presentation and interpretation more credible and less biased by using the above methods.

Page 40: Research data interpretation

Statistics consists ofStatistics consists of the principles and methods for

Designing studies

Collecting data

Presenting and analysing data

Interpreting the results

Statistics has been described as

Turning data into information

Data-based decision making.

Page 41: Research data interpretation

Data interpretation: Uncovering and explaining trends in the data.

The analyzed data can then be interpreted and explained.

In general, when scientists interpret data, they attempt to explain the patterns and trends uncovered through analysis, bringing all of their background knowledge, experience, and skills to bear on the question and relating their data to existing scientific ideas.

Page 42: Research data interpretation

Given the personal nature of the knowledge they draw upon, this step can be subjective, but that subjectivity is scrutinized through the peer review process.

Page 43: Research data interpretation

Data collection is the systematic recording Data collection is the systematic recording of

information;

data analysis involves working to uncover patterns and trends in datasets;

data interpretation involves explaining those patterns and trends.

Page 44: Research data interpretation

Scientists interpret data based on their background Scientists interpret data based on their

background knowledge and experience; thus, different scientists can interpret the same data in different ways.

By publishing their data and the techniques they used to analyze and interpret those data, scientists give the community the opportunity to both review the data and use them in future research.

Page 45: Research data interpretation

Data Analysis

Data Analysis is the process of systematically applying statistical and/or logical techniques to describe and illustrate, condense and recap, and evaluate data.

Various analytic procedures “provide a way of drawing inductive inferences from data and distinguishing the signal (the phenomenon of interest) from the noise (statistical fluctuations) present in the data”..

Page 46: Research data interpretation

While data analysis in qualitative research can include statistical procedures, many times analysis becomes an ongoing iterative process where data is continuously collected and analyzed almost simultaneously.

Indeed, researchers generally analyze for patterns in observations through the entire data collection phase.

Page 47: Research data interpretation

The form of the analysis is determined by the specific qualitative approach taken (field study, ethnography content analysis, oral history, biography, etc) and

the form of the data (field notes, documents, audiotape, videotape).

Page 48: Research data interpretation

An essential component of ensuring data integrity is the accurate and appropriate analysis of research findings.

Improper statistical analyses distort scientific findings, mislead casual readers, and may negatively influence the public perception of research.

Integrity issues are just as relevant to analysis of non-statistical data as well.

Page 49: Research data interpretation

Considerations/issues in data analysis There are a number of issues that researchers should be cognizant of with respect to data

analysis. These include: Having the necessary skills to analyze Concurrently selecting data collection methods and appropriate analysis Drawing unbiased inference Inappropriate subgroup analysis Following acceptable norms for disciplines Determining statistical significance Lack of clearly defined and objective outcome measurements Providing honest and accurate analysis Manner of presenting data Environmental/contextual issues Data recording method Partitioning ‘text’ when analyzing qualitative data Training of staff conducting analyses Reliability and Validity Extent of analysis

Page 50: Research data interpretation

Summarizing data Tables

Simplest way to summarize data

Data are presented as absolute numbers or percentages

Charts and graphs

Visual representation of data

Data are presented as absolute numbers or percentages

Page 51: Research data interpretation

Basic guidance when summarizing data Ensure graphic has a title

Label the components of your graphic

Indicate source of data with date

Provide number of observations (n=xx) as a reference point

Add footnote if more information is needed

Page 52: Research data interpretation

Tables: Frequency distribution

Year Number of births

1900 61

1901 58

1902 75

Set of categories with numerical counts

Page 53: Research data interpretation

Tables: Relative frequencynumber of values within an interval

total number of values in the table

Year # births (n) Relative frequency (%)

1900–1909 35 27

1910–1919 46 34

1920–1929 51 39

Total 132 100.0

x 100

Page 54: Research data interpretation

TablesYear Number of births

(n)Relative frequency (%)

1900–1909 35 27

1910–1919 46 34

1920–1929 51 39

Total 132 100.0

Percentage of births by decade between 1900 and 1929

Page 55: Research data interpretation

Graphical representation The graphical representation of data is categorized as

basic five types.

Graphical representation 1: Bar graph.

Graphical representation 2: Pie graph.

Graphical representation 3: Line graph.

Graphical representation 4: Scatter plot.

Graphical representation 5: Histogram.

Page 56: Research data interpretation

Charts and graphs Charts and graphs are used to portray:

Trends, relationships, and comparisons

The most informative are simple and self-explanatory

Page 57: Research data interpretation

Use the right type of graphic Charts and graphs

Bar chart: comparisons, categories of data

Line graph: display trends over time

Pie chart: show percentages or proportional share

Page 58: Research data interpretation

Charts Are Analog! Basic Rule: Charts show overviews - for details use tables! Quantitative data can be represented as charts by using the

following analog properties Position of graphical elements along a common scale; position of

graphical elements along identical scales at different locations (e.g. graphs arranged in a row)

Distances (lengths) Slopes and angles Areas (e.g. of circles, squares or other shapes) Lightness (grayscale) or texture gradient People differ in their ability to estimate physical properties: They are

best at estimating positions anddistances, but not so good at estimating slopes, angles, and areas (in this order).

Charts are images: Good charts enable users to easily and quickly find relevant/critical data or recognize important relations between data.

Page 59: Research data interpretation

Chart Types and Their Uses

Page 60: Research data interpretation

Pie chartContribution to the total = 100%

59%23%

10%

8%

Percentage of All Patients Enrolled by Quarter

1st Qtr

2nd Qtr

3rd Qtr

4th Qtr

N=150

Page 61: Research data interpretation

Pie Chart

Page 62: Research data interpretation

Use it to… convey approximate proportional relationships

(relative amounts) at a point in time

compare part of a whole at a given point in time

emphasize a small proportion of parts

Page 63: Research data interpretation

Do NOT use it… For exact comparisons of values, because estimating

angles is difficult for people

For rank data: Use column/bar charts in this case; use multiple column/bar charts for grouped data

If proportions vary greatly; do not use multiple pies to compare corresponding parts

Page 64: Research data interpretation

Caution!

Pie charts cannot represent values beyond 100%

Each pie chart is valid for one point in time only

Pie charts are only suited to presenting quite a few percentage values

Angles are harder to estimate for people than distances; perspective pie charts are even harder to interpret

Page 65: Research data interpretation

AREA CHARTS

Page 66: Research data interpretation

Use it to… Display over time (or any other dimension)

How a set of data adds up to a whole (cumulated totals)

Which part of the whole each element represents

Page 67: Research data interpretation

Column/Bar Chart

Page 68: Research data interpretation

Use it to…

Present few data; useful for comparisons of data

Page 69: Research data interpretation

DO NOT USE IT FOR…

Larger data sets: Use line charts

Page 70: Research data interpretation

Selecting Bars or Columns When in doubt, use columns

Use a horizontal bar chart if the labels are too long to fit under the columns

Page 71: Research data interpretation

Segmented Column/Bar Chart

Page 72: Research data interpretation

Use it to… Present a part-whole relation over time (with accurate

impression)

Show proportional relationships over time

NOTE: Segmented column/bar charts are more accurate than pie chart, because distances can be more accurately estimated than areas.

Page 73: Research data interpretation

Frequency Polygon, Histograms

Page 74: Research data interpretation

Variants Polygon: Connects data points through straight lines or higher order

graphs Histogram: Columns/bars touch; useful for larger sets of data points,

typically used for frequency distributions Staircase Chart: Displays only the silhouette of the histogram; useful

for even larger sets of data points, typically used for frequency distributions

Step chart: Use it to illustrate trends among more than two members of nominal or ordinal scales; do not use it for two or more variables or levels of a single variable (hard to read)

Pyramid histogram: Two mirror histograms; use it for comparisons

Page 75: Research data interpretation

Line Chart/Graph

Page 76: Research data interpretation

Use it…

To display long data rows

To extrapolate beyond known data values (forecast)

To compare different graphs

To find and compare trends (changes over time)

To recognize correlations and covariations between variables

Page 77: Research data interpretation

Scatterplot

Page 78: Research data interpretation

Use it to… Show measurements over time (one-dimensional

scatterplot)

Convey an overall impression of the relation between two variables (Two-dimensional scatterplot)

Page 79: Research data interpretation

Don’t Use it for… Determining and comparing trends, recognition and

comparison of change rates

More than one independent variable: Avoid illustrating more than one independent variable in a scatter plot

Page 80: Research data interpretation

Bar chartComparing categories

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4

Site 1

Site 2

Site 3

Page 81: Research data interpretation

Percentage of new enrollees tested for HIV at each site, by quarter

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4

% o

fn

ew

en

rolle

es

test

ed

fo

r H

IV

Months

Site 1

Site 2

Site 3

Q1 Jan–Mar Q2 Apr–June Q3 July–Sept Q4 Oct–Dec

Page 82: Research data interpretation

Has the program met its goal?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4

% o

f n

ew e

nro

llees

tes

ted

fo

r H

IV

Site 1

Site 2

Site 3

Percentage of new enrollees tested for HIV at each site, by quarter

Target

Page 83: Research data interpretation

Stacked bar chartRepresent components of whole & compare wholes

3

4

6

10

0 5 10 15

Males

Females

0-14 years

15+ years

Number of months patients have been enrolled in HIV care

Number of Months Female and Male Patients Have Been Enrolled in HIV Care, by Age Group

Page 84: Research data interpretation

Line graph

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4

Nu

mb

er

of

clin

icia

ns

Clinic 1

Clinic 2

Clinic 3

Number of Clinicians Working in Each Clinic During Years 1–4*

Displays trends over time

Page 85: Research data interpretation

Line graph

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4

Nu

mb

er o

f cl

inic

ian

s

Clinic 1

Clinic 2

Clinic 3

Number of Clinicians Working in Each Clinic During Years 1-4*

Y1 1995 Y2 1996 Y3 1997 Y4 1998

Page 86: Research data interpretation

Interpreting data Adding meaning to information by making

connections and comparisons and exploring causes and consequences

Relevance of finding

Reasons for finding

Consider other data

Conduct further

research

Page 87: Research data interpretation

Interpretation – relevance of finding Adding meaning to information by making

connections and comparisons and exploring causes and consequences

Relevance of finding

Reasons for finding

Consider other data

Conduct further

research

Page 88: Research data interpretation

Interpretation – relevance of finding Does the indicator meet the target?

How far from the target is it?

How does it compare (to other time periods, other facilities)?

Are there any extreme highs and lows in the data?

Page 89: Research data interpretation

Relevance of finding

Reasons for finding

Consider other data

Conduct further

research

Interpretation – possible causes?• Supplement with expert opinion

• Others with knowledge of the program or target population

Page 90: Research data interpretation

Relevance of finding

Reasons for finding

Consider other data

Conduct further

research

Interpretation – consider other data

Use routine service data to clarify questions

• Calculate nurse-to-client ratio, review commodities data against client load, etc.

Use other data sources

Page 91: Research data interpretation

Interpretation – other data sources

Situation analyses

Demographic and health surveys

Performance improvement data

Relevance of finding

Reasons for finding

Consider other data

Conduct further

research

Page 92: Research data interpretation

Interpretation – conduct further research Data gap conduct further research

Methodology depends on questions being asked and resources available

Relevance of finding

Reasons for finding

Consider other data

Conduct further

research

Page 93: Research data interpretation

Data Interpretation Answer these four questions

What is important in the data?

Why is it important?

What can be learned from it?

So what?

Remember Interpretation depends on the perspective of the

researcher. Why?

Page 94: Research data interpretation

Interpretation One technique for data interpretation (Wolcott)

Extend the analysis by raising questions

Connect findings to personal experiences

Seek the advice of “critical” friends.

Contextualize findings in the research

Converging evidence?

Turn to theory

Page 95: Research data interpretation

Frequencies and Continuous Measures Quantitative data come in two general forms:

frequencies and continuous measures.

f={(x,y); where x is a member of the set X, and y is either 1 or 0 depending on x’s possessing or not possessing M}

f={(x,y); x is an object, and y= any numeral}

Page 96: Research data interpretation

Rules of Categorization The first setup in any analysis is categorization. The five rules of categorization are as follows: 1.Categories are set up according to the research

problem and purpose. 2.The categories are exhaustive. 3.The categories are mutually exclusive and

independent. 4.Each category (variable) is derived from one

classification principle. 5.Any categorization scheme must be on one level

of discourse

Page 97: Research data interpretation

Kinds of Statistical Analysis Frequency Distributions

Graphs and Graphing

Measures of Central Tendency and Variability

Measures of Relations

Analysis of Differences

Analysis of Variance and Related Methods

Profile Analysis

Multivariate Analysis

Page 98: Research data interpretation

Graphs and Graphing A graph is a two-dimension representation of a

relation or relations.

Interaction means that the relation of an independent variable to a dependent variable differs in different groups or at different levels of another independent variable..

Page 99: Research data interpretation

Frequency Distributions Although frequency distributions are used primarily

for descriptive purposes, they can also be used for other research purposes.

Observed distributions can also be compared to theoretical distributions (normal distributions).

Page 100: Research data interpretation

Measures of Central Tendency and Variability Mean, median, mode

Standard deviation, range

Page 101: Research data interpretation

Measures of Relations Ideally, any analysis of research data should include

both kinds of indices: measures of the significance of a relation and measures of the magnitude of the relation.

Page 102: Research data interpretation

Analysis of Differences 1.it is by no means confined to the differences between

measures of central tendency.

2.All analyses of differences are intended for the purpose of studying relation. Conversely, the greater the differences the higher the correlation, all other things being equal.

Page 103: Research data interpretation

Analysis of Variance and Related Methods A method of identifying, breaking down, and testing

for statistical significance variances that come from different sources of variation.

That is, a dependent variable has a total amount of variance, some of which is due to the experimental treatment, some to error, and some to other causes.

Page 104: Research data interpretation

Profile Analysis Profile analysis is basically the assessment of the

similarities of the profiles of individuals or groups.

A profile is a set of different measures of an individual or group, each of which is expressed in the same unit of measure.

Page 105: Research data interpretation

Multivariate Analysis Multiple regression

Canonical correlation

Discriminant analysis

Factor analysis

Cluster analysis

Path analysis

Analysis of covariance structures

Log-linear models

Page 106: Research data interpretation

Indices Index can be defined in two related ways:

1.An index is an observable phenomenon that is substituted for a less-observable phenomenon. For example, test scores indicate achievement levels, verbal aptitudes, degrees of anxiety, and so on.

2.An index is a number that is a composite of two or more numbers. For example, all sums and averages, coefficients of correlation.

Page 107: Research data interpretation

Indices Indices are most important in research because they

simplify comparisons.

The percentage is a good example.

Percentages transform raw numbers into comparable form.

Indices generally take the form of quotients: ratios and proportions.

Page 108: Research data interpretation

Social Indicators Indicators, although closely related to indices—

indeed, they are frequently indices as defined above—form a special class of variables.

Variables like income, life expectancy, fertility, quality of life, educational level (of people), and environment can be called social indicators. Social indicators are both variables and statistics.

Page 109: Research data interpretation

Unfortunately, it is difficult to define “social indicators.”

In this book we are interested in social indicators as a class of sociological and psychological variables that in the future may be useful in developing and testing scientific theories of the relations among social and psychological phenomena.

Page 110: Research data interpretation

The Interpretation of Research Data Adequacy of Research Design, Methodology,

Measurement, and Analysis

Negative and Inconclusive Results

Unhypothesized Relations and Unanticipated Findings

Proof, Probability, and Interpretation

Page 111: Research data interpretation

Adequacy of Research Design, Methodology, Measurement, and Analysis

Most important, the design, methods of observation, measurement, and statistical analysis must all be appropriate to the research problem.

Page 112: Research data interpretation

Negative and Inconclusive Results When results are positive, when the data support

the hypotheses, one interprets the data along the lines of the theory and the reasoning behind the hypotheses.

If we can repeat the feat, the n the evidence of adequacy is even more convincing.

If we can be fairly sure that the methodology, the measurement, and the analysis are adequate, then negative results can be definite contributions to scientific advancement.

Page 113: Research data interpretation

Unhypothesized Relations and Unanticipated Findings The unpredicted relation may be an important key

to a deeper understanding of the theory.

For example, positive reinforcement strengthens response tendencies.

Unpredicted and unexpected findings must be treated with more suspicion than predicted and expected findings.

Before being accepted, they should be substantiated in independent research in which they are specially predicted and tested.

Page 114: Research data interpretation

Proof, Probability, and Interpretation Let us flatly assert that nothing can be “proved”

scientifically. All one can do is to bring evidence to bear that

such-and such a proposition is true. Proof is a deductive matter. Experimental methods of inquiry are not methods

of proof, they are controlled methods of bringing evidence to bear on the probable truth or falsity of relational propositions.

In short, no single scientific investigation ever proves anything.

Thus the interpretation of the analysis of research data should never use the word proof.

Page 115: Research data interpretation

Effective Data Analysis Effective data analysis involves

keeping your eye on the main game

managing your data

engaging in the actual process of quantitative and / or qualitative analysis

presenting your data

drawing meaningful and logical conclusions

Page 116: Research data interpretation

116

The Big Picture Analysis should be approached as a critical, reflective,

and iterative process that cycles between data and an overarching research framework that keeps the big picture in mind

Page 117: Research data interpretation

117

Managing Data Regardless of data type, managing your data

involves

familiarizing yourself with appropriate software

developing a data management system

systematically organizing and screening your data

entering the data into a program

and finally ‘cleaning’ your data

Page 118: Research data interpretation

Statistics Being able to do statistics no longer means being able

to work with formula

It’s much more important for researchers to be familiar with the language and logic of statistics, and be competent in the use of statistical software

Page 119: Research data interpretation

Data Types Different data types demand discrete treatment, so it’s

important to be able to distinguish variables by

cause and effect (dependent or independent)

measurement scales (nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio)

Page 120: Research data interpretation

Descriptive Statistics Descriptive statistics are used to summarize the basic

feature of a data set through measures of central tendency (mean, mode, and

median)

dispersion (range, quartiles, variance, and standard deviation)

distribution (skewness and kurtosis)

Page 121: Research data interpretation

Inferential Statistics Inferential statistics allow researchers to assess

their ability to draw conclusions that extent beyond the immediate data, e.g.

if a sample represents the population

if there are differences between two or more groups

if there are changes over time

if there is a relationship between two or more variables

Page 122: Research data interpretation

Selecting Statistical Tests Selecting the right statistical test relies on

knowing the nature of your variables

their scale of measurement

their distribution shape

types of question you want to ask

Page 123: Research data interpretation

Presenting Quantitative Data Presenting quantitative data often involves the

production of graphs and tables

These need to be 1. selectively generated so that they make relevant

arguments

2. informative yet simple, so that they aid reader’s understanding

Page 124: Research data interpretation

Qualitative Data Analysis (QDA) In qualitative data analysis there is a common reliance

on words and images to draw out rich meaning

But there is an amazing array of perspectives and techniques for conducting an investigation

Page 125: Research data interpretation

The QDA Process Qualitative data analysis creates new

understandings by exploring and interpreting complex data from sources without the aid of quantification

Data source include interviews group discussions observation journals archival documents, etc

Page 126: Research data interpretation

126

Uncovering and Discovering Themes The methods and logic of qualitative data analysis

involve uncovering and discovering themes that run through raw data, and interpreting the implication of those themes for research questions

Page 127: Research data interpretation

More on the QDA Process Qualitative data analysis generally involves

moving through cycles of inductive and deductive reasoning

thematic exploration (based on words, concepts, literary devises, and nonverbal cues)

exploration of the interconnections among themes.

Page 128: Research data interpretation

128

Specialist QDA Strategies There are a number of paradigm and discipline

based strategies for qualitative data analysis including content analysis discourse analysis narrative analysis conversation analysis semiotics hermeneutics grounded theory

Page 129: Research data interpretation

Presenting Qualitative Data Effective presentation of qualitative data can be a real

challenge

You’ll need to have a clear storyline, and selectively use your words and/or images to give weight to your story

Page 130: Research data interpretation

Drawing Conclusions Your findings and conclusions need to flow from

analysis and show clear relevance to your overall project

Findings should be considered in light of significance

current research literature

limitations of the study

your questions, aims, objectives, and theory

Page 131: Research data interpretation

Add Interpretation of Analysisof Data Include your interpretation:

What does the data MEAN with regards to that theme?

The “So what?” of the theme and/or data.

Page 132: Research data interpretation

WHY DO WE ANALYZE DATA The purpose of analysing data is to obtain usable and

useful information.

The analysis, irrespective of whether the data is qualitative or quantitative, may:

•describe and summarise the data

•identify relationships between variables

•compare variables

•identify the difference between variables

•forecast outcomes

Page 133: Research data interpretation

SCALES OF MEASUREMENT Many people are confused about what type of analysis

to use on a set of data and the relevant forms of pictorial presentation or data display.

The decision is based on the scale of measurement of the data.

These scales are

nominal,

Ordinal and

numerical.

Page 134: Research data interpretation

Nominal scale

A nominal scale is where:

The data can be classified into a non-numerical or named categories and

The order in which these categories can be written or asked is arbitrary.

Page 135: Research data interpretation

Ordinal scale

An ordinal scale is where:

the data can be classified into non-numerical or named categories -an inherent order exists among the response categories.

Ordinal scales are seen in questions that call for ratings of quality (for example, very good, good, fair, poor, very poor) and agreement (for example, strongly agree, agree, disagree, strongly disagree).

Page 136: Research data interpretation

Numerical scale

A numerical scale is:

where numbers represent the possible response categories

there is a natural ranking of the categorieszero on the scale has meaningthere is a quantifiable difference within categories and between consecutive categories.

Page 137: Research data interpretation

QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS "Data analysis is the process of bringing order,

structure and meaning to the mass of collected data. It is a messy, ambiguous, time-consuming, creative, and fascinating process.

It does not proceed in a linear fashion; it is not neat.

Qualitative data analysis is a search for general statements about relationships among categories of data."

Page 138: Research data interpretation

Simple qualitative analysis Unstructured -are not directed by a script. Rich but

not replicable.

•Structured -are tightly scripted, often like a questionnaire.

Replicable but may lack richness.

•Semi-structured -guided by a script but interesting issues can be explored in more depth.

Can provide a good balance between richness and replicability.

Page 139: Research data interpretation

Simple qualitative analysis Recurring patterns or themes

–Emergent from data, dependent on observation framework if used

•Categorizing data

–Categorization scheme may be emergent or pre-specified

•Looking for critical incidents

–Helps to focus in on key events

Page 140: Research data interpretation

TOOLS TO SUPPORT DATA ANALYSIS •Spreadsheet –simple to use, basic graphs

•Statistical packages, e.g. SPSS

•Qualitative data analysis tools

–Categorization and theme-based analysis, e.g. N6

–Quantitative analysis of text-based data

Page 141: Research data interpretation

Interpreting research results Researchers should describe their results clearly, and

in a way that other researchers can compare them with their own results. They should also analyse the results, using appropriate statistical methods to try to determine the probability that they may have been chance findings, and may not be replicable in larger studies. But this is not enough.

Page 142: Research data interpretation

Results need to be interpreted in an objective and critical way, before assessing their implications and before drawing conclusions.

Interpretation of research results is not just a concern for researchers.

Policymakers should also be aware of the possible pitfalls in interpreting research results and should be cautious in drawing conclusions for policy decisions.

Page 143: Research data interpretation

Interpreting descriptive statistics The mean or average is only meaningful if the data fall into

a normal distribution curve, that is, they are evenly distributed around the mean.

The mean or average, by itself, has a limited value.

There is an anecdote about a man having one foot on ice and the other in boiling water; statistically speaking, on average, he is pretty comfortable.

The range of the data, and their distribution (expressed in the standard deviation) must be known.

It is sometimes more important to know the number or percentage of subjects or values that are abnormal than to know the mean

Page 144: Research data interpretation

Representation v/s interpretation Tables/charts/graphs

Diagrams

Maps/ atlases/ sketches

Profiles/ cross-sections

Plots

3-D views

Animations

Page 145: Research data interpretation

Significance of Report Writing

Research report is considered a major component of the research study for the research task remains incomplete till the report has been presented and/or written.

As a matter of fact even the most brilliant hypothesis, highly well designed and conducted research study, and the most striking generalizations and findings are of little value unless they are effectively communicated to others.

Page 146: Research data interpretation

The purpose of research is not well served unless the findings are made known to others.

Research results must invariably enter the general store of knowledge.

All this explains the significance of writing research report.

There are people who do not consider writing of report as an integral part of the research process.

But the general opinion is in favour of treating the presentation of research results or the writing of report as part and parcel of the research project.

Page 147: Research data interpretation

Writing of report is the last step in a research study and requires a set of skills somewhat different from those called for in respect of the earlier stages of research.

This task should be accomplished by the researcher with utmost care; he may seek the assistance and guidance of experts for the purpose.

Page 148: Research data interpretation

Different Steps in Writing Report Research reports are the product of slow, painstaking,

accurate inductive work.

The usual steps involved in writing report are:(a) logical analysis of the subject-matter;(b) preparation of the final outline;(c) preparation of the rough draft;(d) rewriting and polishing;(e) preparation of the final bibliography; and(f) writing the final draft.

Page 149: Research data interpretation

Though all these steps are self explanatory, yet a brief mention of each one of these will be appropriate for better under-standing.

Logical analysis of the subject matter.

It is the first step which is primarily concerned with the development of a subject.

Page 150: Research data interpretation

There are two ways in which to develop a subject—(a) logically and(b) chronologically.

The logical development is made on the basis of mental connections and associations between one thing and another by means of analysis.

Logical treatment often consists in developing the material from the simple possible to the most complex structures.

Page 151: Research data interpretation

Chronological development is based on a connection or sequence in time or occurrence.

The directions for doing or making something usually follow the chronological order.

Preparation of the final outline. It is the next step in writing the research report.

“Outlines are the framework upon which long written works are constructed.

They are an aid to the logical organisation of the material and a reminder of the points to be stressed in the report.”

Page 152: Research data interpretation

Preparation of the rough draft This follows the logical analysis of the subject and the

preparation of the final outline. Such a step is of utmost importance for the researcher now

sits to write down what he has done in the context of his /her research study.

He/she will write down the procedure adopted by him/her in collecting the material for his study along with various limitations faced by him/her, the technique of analysis adopted by him/her, the broad findings and generalizations and the various suggestions he /she wants to offer regarding the problem concerned.

Rewriting and polishing of the rough draft. This step happens to be the most difficult part of all formal writing.

Page 153: Research data interpretation

Usually this step requires more time than the writing of the rough draft. The careful revision makes the difference between a mediocre and a good piece of writing.

While rewriting and polishing, one should check the report for weaknesses in logical development or presentation.

Page 154: Research data interpretation

The researcher should also “see whether or not the material, as it is presented, has unity and cohesion; does the report stand upright and firm and exhibit a definite pattern, like a marble arch? Or does it resemble an old wall of moldering cement and loose bricks.”

In addition the researcher should give due attention to the fact that in his rough draft he has been consistent or not. He/she should check the mechanics of writing spelling and usage.

Page 155: Research data interpretation

Preparation of the final bibliography. Next in order comes the task of the preparation of the final bibliography.

The bibliography, which is generally appended to the research report, is a list of books in some way pertinent to the research which has been done. It should contain all those works which the researcher has consulted.

Page 156: Research data interpretation

The bibliography should be arranged alphabetically and may be divided into two parts; the first part may contain the names of books and pamphlets, and the second part may contain the names of magazine and newspaper articles.

Generally, this pattern of bibliography is considered convenient and satisfactory from the point of view of reader, though it is not the only way of presenting bibliography.

Page 157: Research data interpretation

Thank You